Steve Rattner

@steverattner.bsky.social

Former head of Obama Auto Task Force. Wall Street financier. Contributing Writer to NY Times Op-Ed. Morning Joe Economic Analyst. 🌐

Bush's GOP got shellacked in 2026 in the House and the Senate with economic numbers better than Trump's right now. Inflation is more the twice as high under Trump, and job creation is a quarter of what it was before the 2006 midterms.

Stock holdings now exceed the value of primary residences in the U.S. Yet the typical family's home is worth five times their stock portfolio. In other words, the gains from the stock market boom are going to the top.

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Gas is still quite expensive at $4.35 a gallon ahead of the midterms. That's worse than the inflation-adjusted price in 2006 when the Democrats won the House and the Senate from Bush's GOP.

Since Trump took office, the personal saving rate has fallen from 5.7% to 4.1%, the lowest since 2022. With tariffs pushing up prices and real wages falling since the Iran War, families are dipping into savings to keep up.

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Take A.I. and chip stocks out of the index and the market is down 5.7% since late August. The S&P 500 is up 2.4% over the same stretch, chip stocks 16%. A.I. is holding the whole market up.

The 30-year Treasury is near 5.7%, the highest since 2002. Mortgages are back above 7%. The Fed controls short-term rates. The market sets long-term rates, and that market is getting pretty scary.

Land-grant colleges and the New Deal helped Americans move from farms to new jobs in the city. Workers hit by the China shock got far less help. A.I. is next. Government has to make sure it lifts all boats. My @nytopinion.nytimes.com op-ed: www.nytimes.com/2026/10/02/o...

Opinion | Six Charts That Show Just How Much We Need A.I.

All the worry about artificial intelligence should not obscure this key point: If we don’t develop it, we’ll be a lot worse off.

nytimes.com

A.I.'s risks are real, but they can and must be responsibly managed by government oversight. With proper guardrails, we can leverage A.I.'s transformative power for shared prosperity. Read my take in @nytopinion.nytimes.com: www.nytimes.com/2026/10/02/o...

Opinion | Six Charts That Show Just How Much We Need A.I.

All the worry about artificial intelligence should not obscure this key point: If we don’t develop it, we’ll be a lot worse off.

nytimes.com