Patrick Dubuque

@euqubud.baseballprospectus.com

bbwaa // writer with a thrift store degree // managing editor @ baseball prospectus

Two more transaction analyses from me today as we wrap up the deadline. First: breaking down the Foster Griffin trade, explaining the Nats' approach toward the return, and being annoyed at how by being good this year Griffin ruined a perfectly good joke.

Transaction Analysis: Foster, A Reason for Cheer | Baseball Prospectus

Washington Nationals trade LHP Foster Griffin to the Cleveland Guardians for LHP Will Dion, LHP Josh Hartle, RHP Kendeglys Virguez, and OF Nick Mitchell. I don’t mind being wrong, as a baseball analys...

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I'm thankful that—during the Adley era—I was invited to write the Orioles' 2023 season essay for @baseballprospectus.com and all my warnings about Mejdal/Elias's over-reliance on spreadsheets & prospects as the cornerstone for building a World Series team will be in print for as long as print exists

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Wrote up the Taylor Ward trade, in which I apologized a little for my Luis Castillo analysis. The M's are always going to be weird about money, but they did go and use it, and use it well.

TA: The Seattle Mariners, Who Have Not Given Up, | Baseball Prospectus

Baltimore Orioles trade OF Taylor Ward to the Seattle Mariners for RHP Alex Hoppe, RHP Harrison Kreiling, and RHP Brock Moore.  The Mariners aren’t selling. Or at least, they aren’t just selling. After taking a series from Toronto on July 5, the team went on a 6-14 run that even the All-Star break couldn’t reset, falling to a season-worst five games under .500. The team then dealt Luis Castillo, which was a sale in technicality but not in spirit: the All-Star no longer fit in either Seattle’s rotation or the reputation he’d built with the club. That the move provided the front office with a surprising amount of financial flexibility was also, in itself, not a necessary indicator of anything. The M’s have embezzled that flexibility in the past, when trading Robinson Canó for Jarred Kelenic, and again when trading Marco Gonzales and Jarred Kelenic for Jackson Kowar. Financial flexibility is often where the modern “fan as armchair GM” thing tends to break down. There’s an appeal to having to manage, mentally, a baseball team under the constraints of a budget; limits beget creativity. But in the game of pretending to run a baseball team, there’s no intrinsic value in just pocketing money, and in real life, there’s a lot of it. That’s why the typical salary dump trade, like the Tyler Mahle deal, are the most demoralizing in sports. In a capped league, such moves theoretically create the potential for new moves, but generally they’re being done by the same people who made the bad acquisitions that needed to be dumped. In baseball, they’re nothing more than a non-apology, labeled as a “smart move.”

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Good morning. Last night I wrote about the big trade of the weekend. That's right, Tyler Mahle has been assigned exactly 1.0 Kremer Units, which makes him a good pickup for the Braves. As for the Giants... I was less kind to the Giants.

TA: In Atlanta, Quantity is Job One | Baseball Prospectus

San Francisco Giants trade RHP Tyler Mahle to the Atlanta Braves for RHP Anthony Molina. Although heaven knows who Tyler Mahle even is, anymore. Then man has worn so many caps, thrown with so many arm...

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Good morning. I burned the midnight oil last night to write up the Skubal trade, and in the fresh light of morning… yeah, it’s still just sad, mostly. I get why it happened, but I don’t get why it had to happen.

Patrick Dubuque@euqubud.baseballprospectus.com · 3d ago

For the night owls: I've written up the transaction analysis for the Skubal trade at @baseballprospectus.com, with the help of @jeffreypaternostro.bsky.social on the prospect side. It's free to read with a basic sub, but as a summary: It's a bummer, but not for the reason you might think.

(explaining MLB's economic history to someone): So you see, for 100 years players were under team control and heavily underpaid for their services. Then they reached free agency and got a bunch of money all at once. Weirdly, this is also how the sport's salary structure works on the individual level

Good morning. I burned the midnight oil last night to write up the Skubal trade, and in the fresh light of morning… yeah, it’s still just sad, mostly. I get why it happened, but I don’t get why it had to happen.

Patrick Dubuque@euqubud.baseballprospectus.com · 3d ago

For the night owls: I've written up the transaction analysis for the Skubal trade at @baseballprospectus.com, with the help of @jeffreypaternostro.bsky.social on the prospect side. It's free to read with a basic sub, but as a summary: It's a bummer, but not for the reason you might think.

For the night owls: I've written up the transaction analysis for the Skubal trade at @baseballprospectus.com, with the help of @jeffreypaternostro.bsky.social on the prospect side. It's free to read with a basic sub, but as a summary: It's a bummer, but not for the reason you might think.

TA: Dodgers Get Skubal; Everyone Else Gets Depressed | Baseball Prospectus

The big trade of the deadline finally happened, and also maybe shouldn't have happened.

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