AFP Analytics

@afpanalytics.bsky.social

Hockey analytics consulting firm providing innovative insight to fans, agents, & teams. Focus on player valuation. Weekly episodes of the MaxTermPod. Still hanging around X. @kylestich.bsky.social @jamesfinch.bsky.social Linktree: https://t.co/u2eaEq14HM

Sam Steel and the Dallas Stars have agreed to a contract extension. Steel has developed into a solid two way forward in the bottom six for Dallas. This season, there is potential opportunity for him to take on an increased role in the top 6! #NHL

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Tim Washe and the Anaheim Ducks agreed to a contract extension. A 4th line faceoff specialist, Washe was only projected at 1x$1.5M. The added term and UFA years bought makes the actual $2.25M AAV rather reasonable. #NHL

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EXTENSION IMPACT🚨 After extending Ostlund, the #Sabres should have north of $30M (per CapWages) next year. Skinner buyout decreases 4M, Zucker's 4.75M & some other smaller deals coming off the books too. Quinn, Kulich, Crevier are pending RFAs! Running it back is affordable #NHL

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AFP Analytics@afpanalytics.bsky.social · 4w ago

Noah Ostlund and the Buffalo Sabres have agreed to a long term extension! We only had a ST projection as a LT deal based on comps was unlikely. $6.6M likely ends up being a long term steal for Buffalo in this new cap environment! Ostlund had solid impacts in his first #NHL year!

EXTENSION IMPACT🚨 Even with the Batherson deal, it looks like the #Senators should have plenty of space to work with ($30M-$31M per CapWages). Even if they were to keep all pending free agents (very unlikley), they'd still have somewhere in the $5M-$7M range to work with! #NHL

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AFP Analytics@afpanalytics.bsky.social · 4w ago

Drake Batherson & the Ottawa Senators sneak in a 8yr #MaxTerm contract extension! Originally projected at 6yr/~9.8 AAV, not a shock (especially with the market shift this offseason) to see him slot in right above Kempe and Tuch. The elite scoring winger stays in Ottawa long term! #NHL

Ryan Leonard & the Washington Capitals have agreed to a contract extension! This deal is a projection in itself of what Leonard is expected to be. He has top 6 scoring potential but will need to take another step or two from last season to provide the value expected from this deal. #NHL

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Drake Batherson & the Ottawa Senators sneak in a 8yr #MaxTerm contract extension! Originally projected at 6yr/~9.8 AAV, not a shock (especially with the market shift this offseason) to see him slot in right above Kempe and Tuch. The elite scoring winger stays in Ottawa long term! #NHL

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Noah Ostlund and the Buffalo Sabres have agreed to a long term extension! We only had a ST projection as a LT deal based on comps was unlikely. $6.6M likely ends up being a long term steal for Buffalo in this new cap environment! Ostlund had solid impacts in his first #NHL year!

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John Klingberg has officially retired. Primarily known for his time with the Dallas Stars , he also spent time in the #NHL with the Toronto Maple Leafs, Edmonton Oilers & San Jose Sharks. Known as a offensive defenseman, his best season was in 17-18 with DAL, producing a 8-59-67 line.

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Fraser Minten & the Boston Bruins have agreed to a long term extension! We only had a short term projection (a mistake on our part). That said, we like this deal for the Bruins. Minten ultimately played 2nd line minutes at 5v5 with promising results in his first full #NHL season.

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Graf, a top-9 winger for the San Jose Sharks, certainly arrived in his first full season (46 points). That seems to have led to a very nice short term deal, even considering he was a 10.2(c) free agent. He'll be RFA w/ 1 year until free agency at the end of this deal! #NHL

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Tommy Novak & the Pittsburgh Penguins have agreed to a contract extension. A solid middle six forward who has split time between center and wing, Novak can provide secondary scoring. This deal comes in a little low considering his role/ability. Great work Dubas & team. #NHL

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The San Jose Sharks & Macklin Celebrini have agreed to an extension that will kick in for the 27-28 season. He was THE player to watch out for to keep pushing north beyond the Carlsson $18M AAV. This deal is in a reasonable spot considering the market shift this offseason. #NHL

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🚨 A new @MaxTermPod is live! We recap a busy week in the #NHL and provide some in-sight into upcoming arbitration cases. Could Kane & Hellebuyck end up in Buffalo? What are the #NYR up to? How might Jamie Drysdale's arbitration hearing go? Available on all major platforms! youtu.be/_-Ph9lDpL6E?...

2026 Free Agency, Offer Sheets, and a New Cap Culture

James and Kyle reflect on July 1st and what has followed. Where did we see some interesting trends? Did certain teams stand out? Thoughts on the Hayton and Carlsson offer sheets, a shifting cap…

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Leo Carlsson is taking his talents back to... Long Beach? The Anaheim Ducks have matched the Philadelphia Flyers offer sheet. $18M is much higher than projected, and seemingly much more than Anaheim expected. Gauthier needs a new deal too! All of a sudden, cap is tight for the Ducks! #NHL

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The Troy Stecher AAV is $1.35M on a 2 year deal. Fair contract for both sides. Historically, Stecher is a under the radar defensive defenseman. Should help as bottom pair or extra defenseman for the Toronto Maple Leafs. #NHL

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