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Juraj Medzihorsky@medzihorsky.bsky.social · 2mo ago“Got to tick the box first”
![A cartoon image of a website dialog. It reads
Peace deal --
It's your choice
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the terms of the deal
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Juraj Medzihorsky
@medzihorsky.bsky.social
Assistant Professor in Social Data Science at Durham U · Project Manager at V-Dem · Previously at LSE Methodology and U of Gothenburg · CEU PhD
Juraj Medzihorsky@medzihorsky.bsky.social · 2mo agoA man signs up to receive personalized performance prognostic scores from an AI and proceeds to use them with great success in his personal and professional life. But there's a (predictable) twist. Feed Him to The Machine! [Jáchyme, hoď ho do stroje!], Czechoslovakia, 1974.
,,Tento mladý muž bude potřebovat citovou odolnost. Bude ji mít?" Jáchyme, hoď ho do stroje! (HD)
YouTube video by Stanislav Horňák
youtube.com
Of Iván Szelényi's many contributions, I most often return to his work with Gil Eyal and Eleanor Townsley on the competing projects of capitalism without capitalists and capitalists without capitalism (i.e., market and regulatory discipline), as informative of the present era in the US as well.
Gabor Scheiring@gscheiring.bsky.social · 3d agoIván Szelényi (1938-2026), a towering figure in sociology, one of the finest global intellectuals Hungary and Eastern Europe has ever produced, has died. Rest in peace and solidarity. 1/6
Iván Szelényi (1938-2026), a towering figure in sociology, one of the finest global intellectuals Hungary and Eastern Europe has ever produced, has died. Rest in peace and solidarity. 1/6
![[a screenshot of the following text from Gore Vidal's novel 1876]
Then James G. Blaine was in the Grand Plaza, riding the mob’s thunder as if it were a wild horse to be broken. He waved his hat as he turned to left, to right; bowed and grinned. No doubt about it, between him and the people there is a powerful bond.
“He could sell the White House to a speculator,” I heard myself observe to Emma, “pocket the cash, and the people would still love him.” I do admire the man’s audacity.
“It’s because he is one of them. Because they’d do the same thing if they dared but they don’t dare because they know they’d be caught and they know he’ll never be caught!” Emma was breathless from cheering Blaine. I saw Baron Jacobi watching her](https://cdn.bsky.app/img/feed_thumbnail/plain/did:plc:e4zmgx4h2lfistppwfeabtbl/bafkreigrdkdrjbvroovomsfjojjczhmombbgn72dxvm6xi5c2ch3ihhx7a)
These new estimates of the socioeconomic effects of railway expansion in Habsburg Hungary are really interesting to see. Also, "GISta Hungarorum" is up there with the best database names I've seen. Foldvari and Demeter (2026) in Cliometrica: link.springer.com/article/10.1...
The Norman data centre build-up
Juraj Medzihorsky@medzihorsky.bsky.social · 6mo agoCapex, a variety of.
In S̶o̶v̶i̶e̶t̶ ̶R̶u̶s̶s̶i̶a̶ a gilded age, the money launders the grifters.
A national-social [Smer, SNS, Republika] vs civic-bourgeoisie [PS, SaS, D] axis emerges as the main one (when scaling the voter transfers excl. Szövetség and ĽSNS). The second axis pits abstainers against the two blocs' cores, perhaps associated with the respondents' investment in politics.
Juraj Medzihorsky@medzihorsky.bsky.social · last wk.Republika (ESN) gained nearly a quarter million voters of Mr Fico's gov't coalition parties Smer, Hlas, and SNS since the 2023 elections, per Ipsos. Back then, Republika won 141k votes and fell just below the 5% threshold. It seems to be Mr Musk's favorite Slovakian party, too.
Republika (ESN) gained nearly a quarter million voters of Mr Fico's gov't coalition parties Smer, Hlas, and SNS since the 2023 elections, per Ipsos. Back then, Republika won 141k votes and fell just below the 5% threshold. It seems to be Mr Musk's favorite Slovakian party, too.
Denník N@dennikn.bsky.social · last wk.PS a SaS „nekanibalizujú“ zvyšok opozície, ukazujú dáta agentúry Ipsos
With Restore added to the "blue" bloc, it'd look a bit different, of course.
The flip side is that some technologies and their associated jobs outlast confident pronouncements of their inevitable imminent demise. Vacuum tubes come to mind.
Piero Castellano 🇪🇺@pierocastellano.com · last wk.Until a few decades ago, people argued that being a shoe-cobbler was a safe and potentially extremely lucrative job. As in the 1970s was a TV repairman. And until the 1908s, opening a tobacco shop was a guaranteed success.
28% would be a strong showing for a social democratic party anywhere in Western Europe, save for Malta, Spain, Sweden, and Norway these days.
Jack Bailey@jack-bailey.co.uk · last wk.It's fascinating how our baseline expectations shift in response to party system fragmentation. My immediate response to seeing this was "this is an amazing result for Labour". But they're on *28%*. Even in the dying days of Gordon Brown Labour was comfortably in the mid-30s.
The Czech artist, anti-communist activist, politician, and national gallery director Milan Knížák (b. 1940) passed away today. A documentary on the musical side of his multi-faceted career:
aktual
YouTube video by pes badyk
youtube.com
People in their 20s are the largest cohort in today's India. Men are a majority of them. The male "surplus" is estimated to be > 8%. Per the UN WPP 2024.
Bloomberg News@bloomberg.com · 2w agoCockroach Janta Party supporters celebrate the resignation of India's Education Minister Dharmendra Pradhan at Jantar Mantar in New Delhi, after protests over alleged exam irregularities. bloom.bg/4flFbw3
The engagement is the content. That's what "the medium is the message" means for (para)social media.
Ben Ansell@benansell.bsky.social · 2w agoAm impressed that the Bluesky reaction to the YouGov lottery question has been 5% oh that’s an interesting bit of data on risk aversion and 95% leftists and liberals getting mad at each other performatively.
For comparison, the then governing Smer slid down <20% in the 2020 election which it lost. Then dropped to ~10% when Mr Pellegrini unsuccessfully challenged Mr Fico for the party leadership and left with many high-profile members to found Hlas. By the 2023 election, Smer was back to ~20%.
Juraj Medzihorsky@medzihorsky.bsky.social · 2w agoTISZA's > 40% lead over Fidesz across Hungarian pollsters in their latest polls. Chart and pooling by @gabortoka.bsky.social
TISZA's > 40% lead over Fidesz across Hungarian pollsters in their latest polls. Chart and pooling by @gabortoka.bsky.social
The Ludwig van Beethoven € banknote designs miss on one obvious opportunity.
Moritz Peter Fritschle@moritzfritschle.bsky.social · 2w agoThe euro banknotes seem to get a new look, and the @ecb.europa.eu has hosted a survey, asking which desing is the preferred one. I really like the stork on the 50€ banknote. surveys.ecb.europa.eu/10b/banknote...
Social scientists' AI takes on social media, a first pseudo-weberian sketch with four ideal types.
Summer [1934-1940] by Anton Jasusch (1882-1965) pastel on paper, 53cm x 66cm www.webumenia.sk/dielo/SVK:SN...
— A polymoat is what we need — What? — A moat for the polycrisis — Ah, I see now. A shibboleth.
Re DSIT and DBT: The UK's R&D spend in the business enterprise sector, just like in the higher education, private non-profit, and government sectors combined, was below that of not just Germany, but France as well, in terms of % of GDP, by the time the UK stopped reporting data to Eurostat in 2019.
Juraj Medzihorsky@medzihorsky.bsky.social · 8mo ago🇪🇺 Research & development expenditures in 2024, as published by Eurostat this week. 🇸🇪🇧🇪🇦🇹🇫🇮🇩🇪 and 🇩🇰 heading the field, chiefly thanks to their business and enterprise sectors. 1/2
