Neil Paine

@neilpaine.bsky.social

Sports data guy, writer, editor, podcaster, former FiveThirtyEight sports editor, proud Georgia Tech alum. https://neilpaine.substack.com/

In “honor” of EA’s new live-service Skate game dropping, today’s post is about the zombie afterlife of our once-great skateboarding games — and what happens to a fundamentally rebellious culture when corporations strip-mine it for profits: neilpaine.substack.com/p/tony-hawk-...

Tony Hawk, EA Skate and the Zombie Afterlife of Skateboarding Video Games

How the history of skating games shows us what happens when counterculture gets consumed and reanimated by corporations.

neilpaine.substack.com

With his return to the lineup, I had to write about the whole Kyle Tucker situation in Chicago — and it turns out slumps like he’s endured over the past few months are surprisingly common among the best hitters in MLB. neilpaine.substack.com/p/slumps-hap...

Slumps Happen — To Kyle Tucker, and Everybody Else, Too

The Cubs’ star acquisition looks lost at the plate, but most of the best hitters endure stretches just like this... or worse.

neilpaine.substack.com

Today’s post focuses on the only way LeBron can make a buzzer-beating push to pass MJ in the GOAT debate: Winning a ring that “counts” more. Based on a system that values rings based on their rarity to the team/city, there might be only 1 place to do that. 🗽🍎🚕 neilpaine.substack.com/p/if-lebron-...

If LeBron Wants to Pass Jordan, He Needs to Leave L.A. (and Win)

The Lakers are moving on soon — and 1 ring in a place like, say, New York City is worth more than 2 elsewhere.

neilpaine.substack.com

I made a new metric, STANTON — or the Statcast-Tuned Algorithm for Nascent Tater Output, Normalized — to measure the Home Run Derby potential of exit-velo beasts like James Wood and Oneil Cruz: neilpaine.substack.com/p/are-james-...

Are James Wood and Oneil Cruz Statcast’s Next HR Derby Chosen Ones?

The STANTON metric flags them as tater-blasters in the mold of other Derby dominators — from Aaron Judge to Giancarlo himself.

neilpaine.substack.com

The NY Rangers are in a tailspin right now, having lost 11 of 14 games with a -1.5 GPG diff. But making things worse is that the schedule only gets harder. According to Elo ratings, NYR has faced the EASIEST schedule of any team so far; their SOS rises to 4th-HARDEST over the rest of the season.

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