Joni Askola
@joniaskola.bsky.social
Finnish PhD candidate and geopolitical analyst. Trying to help Ukraine with the 69th Sniffing Brigade https://buymeacoffee.com/joni_askola
A new Kremlin-backed traitorous political party is about to be announced in the US
1/5 Putin cannot win on the front lines, so he has engineered a terrifying new theory of victory. Ukraine’s allies are pathetic cowards and Putin knows it. With his army stalling, he is betting everything on raining ballistic missiles onto Ukrainian cities while the West watches
Russia's attack on Kyiv, killing at least 17, is a stark reminder of European failure. We need large long-term orders for SAMP/T NG and Aster interceptors for Ukraine. We need to pressure South Korea to sell air defense. We also need to transfer more of our systems
We need to get ready for the war of tomorrow. It will require mass and adaptability
Joni Askola@joniaskola.bsky.social · 23h ago1/9 Europe is preparing for the war of 2023, not the war of tomorrow. Minor progress since 2022 cannot undo decades of underspending. As @anderspucknielsen.dk highlights, Western military doctrine engineered for short maneuver wars and avoiding attrition is now obsolete. What should we do?
Any news on Trump’s Board of Peace? Asking for the idiots who paid to join
Europe must stop acting like the war in Ukraine will end in the next 18 months. It could last for years. We must place massive, long-term military orders for Kyiv and finally mobilize frozen Russian assets to fund them
Mearsheimer is a fraud and a disinformation agent for Russia more than an academic these days
Joni Askola@joniaskola.bsky.social · yesterday1/5 It is long past time for media outlets and serious analysts to stop platforming John Mearsheimer. Few public intellectuals have been as systematically and repeatedly wrong about Russia and Ukraine as he has
1/9 Europe is preparing for the war of 2023, not the war of tomorrow. Minor progress since 2022 cannot undo decades of underspending. As @anderspucknielsen.dk highlights, Western military doctrine engineered for short maneuver wars and avoiding attrition is now obsolete. What should we do?
1/5 The endless obsession with NATO ”expansion” hides a massive double standard regarding the CSTO. CSTO expansion was always a far greater threat to its neighbors than NATO ever was to Russia, as proven by Moscow’s unprovoked invasion of Ukraine
Russia needs to learn the concept of reciprocity: If Russia is allowed to cite NATO ”expansion” as a valid threat requiring a military response, then the West had every right to view the expansion and militarization of the CSTO as a direct threat to its own security
North Korea does far more to support Russia’s war effort than South Korea does to help Ukraine. It is high time for South Korea to sell air defense systems to Ukraine
We need to pressure South Korea to sell air defense to Ukraine
Joni Askola@joniaskola.bsky.social · 2d ago1/5 South Korea expects total solidarity from Western allies against threats from North Korea and China, yet refuses to sell critical defensive arms to Ukraine while its civilians are under attack
1/5 It is long past time for media outlets and serious analysts to stop platforming John Mearsheimer. Few public intellectuals have been as systematically and repeatedly wrong about Russia and Ukraine as he has
It is common for people to laugh at the Pantsir for all the moments it failed to intercept Ukrainian drones and missiles, but I have also heard from people fighting in Ukraine that it is an underrated and effective system
Trump is unwilling to commit in Iran, and the US lacks the munitions to sustain a fight anyway. Tehran knows this, meaning the US cannot win
1/5 South Korea expects total solidarity from Western allies against threats from North Korea and China, yet refuses to sell critical defensive arms to Ukraine while its civilians are under attack
Ukraine’s allies need to set clear red lines and deadlines for Russia, with clear consequences each time it violates or misses them
Joni Askola@joniaskola.bsky.social · 2d ago1/5 Deterrence fails when you let the aggressor draw the boundaries. For too long, Ukraine’s allies have allowed Russia, the sole aggressor in an illegal, imperialist, and genocidal war, to dictate red lines and decide the terms of escalation. It's time for us to set our own
This gives Belgium and others a solid reason to stop blocking the transfer of frozen Russian assets to Ukraine, while creating an incentive for Russia to stop its aggression (even if it won't). Ukraine gets funding for a few more years. Win-win
Joni Askola@joniaskola.bsky.social · 2d agoThe EU should give Russia five hard deadlines to end the war. Miss a deadline? Lose 20% of frozen assets to Ukraine. Five misses, 100% transferred. Make aggression cost them in real-time
Cheap unmanned systems have made the battlefield practically transparent. Today, no nation can win a war against a peer, whether attacking or defending, without committing to a long, partly attritional war that demands mass production, constant adaptation, and deep reserves
Europeans who side with Russia today are doing the exact same thing as WWII collaborators who backed Hitler and Stalin against their own countries. Plain and simple, they are traitors
Over 250 years, the US has built up $40T in public debt. Trump has been in office for less than 6 years, yet accounts for $11.4T of it, nearly 29%. No president has been worse on public debt. DOGE was a total failure, and Musk lied to you
Trump’s supporters and Putin’s supporters share a key double standard: When things go right, the leader gets all the credit, but when things go wrong, advisors get the blame. They conveniently forget that the leader chose those advisors in the first place
The EU should give Russia five hard deadlines to end the war. Miss a deadline? Lose 20% of frozen assets to Ukraine. Five misses, 100% transferred. Make aggression cost them in real-time
1/5 Deterrence fails when you let the aggressor draw the boundaries. For too long, Ukraine’s allies have allowed Russia, the sole aggressor in an illegal, imperialist, and genocidal war, to dictate red lines and decide the terms of escalation. It's time for us to set our own
Many in Europe assume our air forces would effortlessly crush Russia in a war, but we simply don't have the munitions for it. We desperately need larger stockpiles of air-launched munitions, particularly cruise missiles
Anyone who supports Massie or Flynn supports a pro-Russian traitor
