Focusing on potential territorial concessions by Ukraine is a dead end. Putin is seeking more than just the entire Donbas. This is not a war Russia started over this or that piece of land, but a war for dominance over Ukraine, and a transformation of the security order.
Wojciech Konończuk
@wojciechkononczuk.bsky.social
OSW Centre for Eastern Studies Director @OSWeng @OSWpl Not only Eastern Europe.
To jedna z tych powieści, które opowiedzią nam więcej i głębiej niż 100 analiz. Bez patosu, brutalnie realistycznie o frontowej codzienności wojny rosyjsko-ukraińskiej, której Ukraińcy nie mogą nie toczyć, bo zginą. Wybitnie przenikliwa, potrzebna książka Szczepana Twardocha.
President Zelensky immediately signed an outrageous law hitting anti-corruption bodies. 1. 🇺🇦government must have felt the mortal threat of anti-corruption measures. 2. The EU has a test of the efficiency of its policies. 3. Opponents of 🇺🇦's EU accession got a valid argument.
Bardzo polecam podcast Centrum Mieroszewskiego, w którym @ervitz.bsky.social i @bartekgajos.bsky.social opowiadają o usunięciu przez władze Rosji symboli z cmentarza katyńskiego w Miednoje. Na końcu świetny dokument @mieroszewskipl.bsky.social o Zbrodni Katyńskiej. m.youtube.com/watch?v=CqTD...
Polihistor 2.0 #201: Zamiast Virtuti Militari - Stalin. Moskwa usuwa polskie symbole w Miednoje
YouTube video by MieroszewskiPL
m.youtube.com
New 30-minute OSW @osweng.bsky.social film about Pope Francis' policies toward Russia, Ukraine, the war and the Orthodox Church examines this controversial part of his pontificate. m.youtube.com/watch?v=jkY3...
Exactly👇 CIA Director John Ratcliffe: "The Ukrainian people and the military have been underestimated for a period of several years now. I'm convinced that they will fight with their bare hands if they have to, if they don't have terms that are acceptable to an enduring peace".
82% Ukraińców uważa, że jeśli USA wstrzymają pomoc to należy kontynuować wojnę obronną z pomocą Europy w celu osiągnięcia akceptowalnego pokoju. Właśnie taką politykę prowadzi Zełenski. Warunkiem jej skuteczności jest znaczące zwiększenie wsparcia ze strony Europy.
Zelensky's press conference last night clearly shows Kyiv's line towards Trump, about whom he spoke politely but firmly. Should Trump and Putin reach an unfavorable agreement, Ukraine would not accept it and would continue to wage a defensive war with the help of Europe.
The EU will exclude defence spending from the debt limit, something Poland and several other countries have long called for. Last year, the EU didn't agree to this. The biggest paradox is that the EU agreement was not caused by Putin, but only by Trump.
It is no coincidence that Russia's MFA statement after Lavrov-Rubio phone call starts by the expectation that sanctions "inherited from the previous administration" should be lifted. Clear signal that sanctions works and that Russia is weaker than many think.
Wojna wojną, a walka polityczna na Ukrainie ma się dobrze. Zełenski podpisał sankcje przeciwko oligarchom: Poroszence, Kołomojskiemu, Boholiubowi, Żewaho, Medwedczukowi. Znaczenie mają głównie te wymierzone w Petra Poroszenkę. Najciekawsze, że nie ruszono Achmetowa. A byłoby za co.
Pesymizm lepiej się sprzedaje niż próba wyważonej analizy, ale: - negocjacje się dopiero zaczynają i za wcześnie by popadać w nadmierne emocje; - Putin chce znacznie więcej niż Trump (o Zełenskim nie wspominając) może mu dać; - Europa nie jest bez znaczenia.
Soviet and Russian gas flowed through Ukraine for 56 years. Until today. The German-Austrian concept of changing Russia by building “interdependence” has failed. Historical photo from Sept 1, 1968 - the launch of the first Soviet gas deliveries to Austria.👇
Na Białorusi skazano dzisiaj na 11 lat więzienia o zaostrzonym rygorze ks. Henryka Okołotowicza. 64-letniego duchownego polskiego pochodzenia oskarżono o "zdradę stanu", a proces utajniono. Ks. Okołotowicz ma opinię niezłomnego. W 1984 jako pierwszy odprawił samotną mszę w Katyniu.
Wciąż jest czas na książkowe prezenty lub nową lekturę na okres świateczny. Zespół @OSW_pl podpowiada, jakie książki warto przeczytać - zarówno powieści, jak i literatura faktu. Tematyka od Finlandii, b. Jugosławii i Litwy po Turcję, Kazachstan, Rosję, Ukrainę i USA. m.youtube.com/watch?v=xXQq...
Here’s a full message to the EU from a group of European think-tankers: www.euractiv.com/section/glob...
The EU should act now to sanction the violent regime in Georgia
Where is the geopolitical EU that understands the importance of its neighbours? ask a group of European foreign policy experts.
euractiv.com
The fall of the Assad regime wouldn't have been possible without Russia's problems in Ukraine. This shows once again that the Russian-Ukrainian war has a global impact. It could have greater effects if the Kremlin were to lose the war. A domino effect in which Russia is the first block.
Upadek reżimu Assada w Syrii nie byłby możliwy bez problemów Rosji na Ukrainie. To raz jeszcze pokazuje, że wojna rosyjsko-ukraińska ma globalne konsekwencje. A może mieć jeszcze większe, gdyby Kreml wojnę przegrał. Efekt domina, w którym Rosja jest pierwszym klockiem.
Angela Merkel wydała wspomnienia, które natychmiast stały się bestsellerem w wielu krajach, zaś @oswpl.bsky.social je krytycznie recenzuje. Bardzo polecam podcast OSW na weekend👇 m.youtube.com/watch?v=sUg2...
Czy Angela Merkel przyznaje się do błędów? Jak ocenia swoją politykę wobec Rosji i migracji?
YouTube video by Podcast Ośrodka Studiów Wschodnich - OSW
m.youtube.com
🔴Are we facing another Cold War with Russia🇷🇺? 🔵Head of OSW's Russia Department @menkiszakm.bsky.social has the answer and it might surprise you... 🎞️Watch our latest short video to find out ⤵️
Yesterday at OSW, I had the pleasure of leading a discussion around the latest book by Martin Ehl, #Probouzení (Awakening - The Place of Czechia in a Changing World). A wealth of inspiring themes and reflections – relevant for Central Europe and Polish-Czech cooperation, thx @martinehl.bsky.social 👍
In a brief piece for @carnegieendow.bsky.social I argue that Russia has adopted, developed, and modernized the old Soviet methods of info-ops. Kremlin has open access to our media space or has even hacked it. We cannot just observe it but we have to respond. carnegieendowment.org/europe/strat...
Taking the Pulse: Are Information Operations Russia’s Most Potent Weapon Against Europe?
Moscow has been dialing up its hybrid attacks on European democracies. Are information operations the most effective tool in Russia’s arsenal—and how can European governments and societies fight back?
carnegieendowment.org
The Moscow daily Kommersant promotes @OSW_eng's October report "Winning the war with Russia (is still possible). The West’s counter-strategy towards Moscow" with a detailed description of the Kellogg plan. Not only the report's cover is worth your time. www.osw.waw.pl/en/publikacj...
🎞️In our latest video, Sabine Fischer, Senior Fellow #SWP Berlin takes a look at Russia and violence in the Russian state through the lens of chauvinism. ➡️How does the idea of chauvinism help us understand what's going on in Russia🇷🇺? @sabfis3.bsky.social explains www.youtube.com/watch?v=yETz...
Chauvinism in Russia.
YouTube video by Centre for Eastern Studies (OSW)
youtube.com
"Niemiecka polityka historyczna jest niebezpieczna, ponieważ pozbawia historię funkcji ostrzegawczych. Historia fałszowana przestaje nas chronić". Świetny tekst Estery Flieger w weekendowej @rp.pl o chorobie trawiącej politykę pamięci Niemiec. www.rp.pl/plus-minus/a...
"Closer cooperation on security and defence in a broad sense is the foundation of the renewed strategic partnership between Sweden and Poland". www.government.se/press-releas...
New Strategic Partnership between Sweden and Poland
Today, Swedish Prime Minister Ulf Kristersson and Polish Prime Minister Donald Tusk met to sign a new strategic partnership between Sweden and...
government.se
The Georgian gov has forgotten why the revolution broke out in Ukraine. The PM declared that Georgia would suspend integration with EU, which 80% of Georgians support. In response, protests erupted with renewed vigour. The government has lost sense of reality & will pay for it.
Another Chinese warning signal to Russia: "The Chinese side pays close attention to the nuclear risks caused by the Ukraine crisis and has repeatedly stated that nuclear weapons cannot be used and nuclear war cannot be waged" - Chinese Foreign Ministry spokeswoman.
That is exactly the message Putin should hear in response to his threats. The only language the Kremlin understands. UK army chief: We’re ready to fight Putin in Eastern Europe. "If the Russians invaded Eastern Europe tonight, then we would meet them in that fight." www.politico.eu/article/uk-a...
UK army chief: We’re ready to fight Putin in Eastern Europe
Rob Magowan told MPs the British Army ‘would fight tonight’ if asked amid rising tensions with Russia.
politico.eu
Putin is proving once again today that the battle for victory is not only fought on the military front, but also on the psychological front. The Russians know perfectly how to play on the fears and anxieties of the West.