Chris Fonnesbeck

@fonnesbeck.bsky.social

Quantitative hack, PyMC Labs

A new event-forecaster dpack just landed in decision-lab! Ask "when will X happen?" and it runs an ensemble of independent Bayesian forecasters in PyMC, returns one calibrated estimate, and never mistakes consensus for proof. GitHub Repo: git.new/Y678Uy3 #PyMC #Bayesian

decision-lab/decision-packs/event-forecaster at main · pymc-labs/decision-lab

Run tested, autonomous agent workflows on your data for meaningful decision-making - pymc-labs/decision-lab

git.new

This is really stupid, but the president has repeatedly claimed that Iran’s military capabilities were totally destroyed, so I feel obligated to rhetorically ask what the US is shooting at and retaliating to if Iran has no military anymore? Why does anyone indulges such transparent lies at all?