Tavern Research

@tavernresearch.bsky.social

Presenting Tavern's newest ads: Jingles. We know audio persuades, so we built these to deliver a campaign's core message in a voter's favorite genre, exactly where they already are. 10,000 trials later, we know they work. And they're already live. Listen here

If you're making 5 ads, you can focus group or test them all. If you're making thousands, evaluation is the bottleneck. That's the problem AI has created, and it's why we built Delphi. Delphi uses tens of thousands of tests to evaluate ads find the most persuasive. Becasue better ads win.

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We hid a political ad inside a trivia quiz. The most expensive ad is the one voters skip, so we build ads voters watch. Our new format uses a familiar sequence: question, prediction, countdown, reveal, to earn attention before delivering the campaign messaging. Check it out.

How many times should your ad say the candidate's name? A simple question, but a big one. We tested one to seven name mentions on 10,000 voters, and the answer is three to five: enough that nobody forgets who the ad was about, with every remaining second spent on message.

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How many times should your ad say the candidate's name? We ran experiments on 10,000 voters to find out, using our candidates names everywhere from 1 to 7 times in 30 seconds. The answer is 3 - 5 times: enough that nobody forgets who the ad was about, with every remaining second spent on message.

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NEW: We polled 1,007 voters on Donald Trump’s handling of AI vs. their current priorities. The president’s handling of AI is 9 points lower than his approval rating (-33% to -24%). While voters say they prioritize safety, they say the president's priority is innovation.

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We polled the Democratic primary election in NH-01. Maura Sullivan leads Stefany Shaheen by 5 percentage points, as many voters are still making up their minds. Maura Sullivan 33% Stefany Shaheen 27% Carleigh Beriont 12% Christian Urrutia 4% Heath Howard 2% Not sure 22%

THREAD: We ran two polls ahead of tomorrow’s Democratic Primary in Maine. One primary election poll and one general election poll. Platner is the favorite in tomorrow’s primary. Graham Platner 68% Janet Mills 16% Others / not sure 16% (+61 in the 2-way)