Konstantin Bogatyrev

@bogatyrev.bsky.social

- LSE Fellow in political behaviour at @lsegovernment.bsky.social‬ - PhD from Bocconi (2025) on electoral accountability for illiberals & authoritarians + quant methods - 🏳️‍🌈 he/they https://www.lse.ac.uk/government/people/academic-staff/konstantin-bogatyrev

We will- I have no doubt- look back at this as one of the greatest scandals of our time. It he killing of the golden goose for the UK. A destruction of one of the most profitable and successful sectors.Yet, for now all politicians have their head in the sand on this one… A critically important read.

Peter Geoghegan@petergeoghegan.bsky.social · 2d ago

Behind the bewildering transformation of British universities, are management consultants being paid millions Really proud to have this vital piece on our unis are being gutted from the inside by @jheathershaw.bsky.social on Democracy for Sale. Do read democracyforsale.substack.com/p/inside-bri...

New (and personal first!) paper out in @poppublicsphere.bsky.social w/ Chris Anderson. 🤖🗳️ Citizens increasingly use and interact with AI tools to make sense of political information and express views. We ask: what does this mean for citizens' autonomy in politics?

Perspectives on Politics@poppublicsphere.bsky.social · 2w ago

NOW OUT ON FIRSTVIEW!! The Autonomy Paradox: #Artificial #Intelligence and the Foundations of #Political #Behavior By Christopher J. Anderson & @elenapro.bsky.social doi.org/10.1017/S153...

Just an enormous difference in Russian support for the war when comparing direct question estimates with experiments from list experiments. Also, peep those CIs! sensitivity bias has to be HUGE (which it apparently is in this case) to be detected with Direct - List

Georgy Tarasenko@tarasenkogeorgy.bsky.social · last wk.

Every wave after that splits. Direct support holds at ~75%. Indirect support drops to 44–58%. The gap runs from 16 to 30 percentage points.

📄 New pre-print on SSRN New evidence on a timely question: Does holding anti-democratic leaders legally accountable produce democratic backlash? Contrary to widespread concerns, I find no evidence that accountability increased affective polarisation or reduced support for democracy. 🧵👇

Does Holding Anti-Democratic Leaders Accountable Backfire? Evidence from Bolsonaro's Arrest in Brazil

Whether holding anti-democratic leaders accountable strengthens or weakens democracy remains one of the unresolved questions in contemporary debates about democ

papers.ssrn.com

Are preferences for authoritarian rule individual predispositions—or can they spread socially? Using field + survey experiments in the Norwegian Armed Forces, we show that openness to strongman rule can spread socially. American Journal of Political Science: onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/...

American Journal of Political Science | MPSA Journal | Wiley Online Library

The increasing popularity of strongman rule in democratic societies underscores the need to explore how authoritarian regime preferences might spread socially. We assess the role of social influence ...

onlinelibrary.wiley.com

My department, @iepolisci.bsky.social has three TT lines in CP, IR, and PE to start in Fall 2027. I'm on the search committee and happy to answer any questions about the lines, the department, the university, or Madrid (spoiler alert: they're awesome).

IE Political Science Department@iepolisci.bsky.social · 2mo ago

We are hiring! We have 3 tenure track positions open: - Comparative Politics: apply.interfolio.com/188149 - International Relations: apply.interfolio.com/188150 - Political Economy: apply.interfolio.com/188151 All jobs have deadlines Oct 5th. Please help spread the word to potential candidates.

There is definitely no graveyard slot! We can go straight to our post-conference event “Mingle with Drinks in the Museum” 🍸 at the Ulster Museum after your (no doubt brilliant!) talk!

We're hiring 2 postdocs at @uio.no on my ERC-Cog project on how authoritarian regimes shape scientific knowledge. 3–4 years, U. of Oslo. Deadline: 10 Sept 2026. Great dept., terms, well funded, bustling & green Scandi capital. Apply! 👉 jobbnorge.no/en/available-jobs/job/303060/postdoctoral-fello

Postdoctoral Fellow  (303060) | University of Oslo

Job title: Postdoctoral Fellow  (303060), Employer: University of Oslo, Deadline: Thursday, September 10, 2026

jobbnorge.no

I'm working on a project on cross-national young gender gap that shows dif patterns. The below w ESS & CSES data show 1. Dif in ideology (id=standardized by country) btwn young men & women, where x is year & y is standard deviations 2. Young men & women ideology relative to other age-gender groups

This shows the difference in young men's and young women's (<30) ideology, standardized by country, over the last two decades. The trend lines include confidence intervals. A point above the dotted line indicates that young men are to the right of young women. This shows the average ideology of age-gender groups between 2002 and 2023. Ideology is standardized within country. Above the dotted line means the group is that many standard deviations more right than their country mean, while below the line means the group is that many standard deviations left of their country mean.
Seva@seva.bsky.social · 2mo ago

I've now seen four separate pieces accusing John Burn-Murdoch (Financial Times, you've seen his stuff before) of messing with his data on four separate occasions: 1. isitcredible.com/cases 2. unherd.com/newsroom/the... 3. github.com/James-Traina... 4. blog.albertkuo.me/post/2024-01...

We show that politicians' perceptual errors are primarily an expression of "midpoint hedging", a well-known cognitive quirk, leading them to skew their estimations towards 50% even when real public opinion is far from being evenly split. Hedging accounts for two thirds (!) of politicians' errors./2

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Potentially a very big deal. Changing the Westminster electoral system would fundamentally change our politics. Lesson from other countries is also that once FPP has been ditched it is unlikely to be brought back.

Rachel Sylvester@rachelsylvester.bsky.social · 2mo ago

Andy Burnham backs proportional representation for Westminster with a Labour manifesto commitment if he becomes leader. He also says he would work with the Greens. My interview for @theobserveruk.bsky.social Walk observer.co.uk/news/nationa...