Tessera

"China’s controls are changing Japan’s political calculus: dependence on Chinese supply is no longer just a commercial risk but an economic-security vulnerability" buff.ly/LHYyznI | by Jing Ge

China’s tungsten export controls on Japan are backfiring

Written by Jing Ge. China’s controls are changing Japan’s political calculus: dependence on Chinese supply is no longer just a commercial risk but an economic-security vulnerability.

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"The recurring nature of these crises is not simply a story of unresolved disputes or periodic diplomatic failure — it reflects the persistence of a rivalry that continues to structure the relationship itself" www.9dashline.com/article/why-... | by Edwin Akpotu

Why India-Pakistan crises keep returning

Written by Edwin Akpotu. While diplomacy can reduce immediate risks, longer-term change depends on progress on Kashmir, reductions in cross-border violence, and stronger political support for engageme...

9dashline.com

"China is not abandoning UNCLOS but reinterpreting and operationalising it selectively. As a result, legal norms are increasingly mediated by power and practice rather than applied in a uniform and authoritative manner" buff.ly/YOoxtrB | by Gilang Kembara

Artificial Islands, real power: reshaping maritime order in the South China Sea

Written by Gilang Kembara. China’s island-building strategy in the South China Sea is not only reshaping the maritime order, but also provoking responses from regional claimants and external actors — ...

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9DASHLINE @9dashline.com · 3w ago

"Southeast Asia would prefer US-China ties remain lukewarm, neither leading to a new Cold War nor the creation of a new G-2 which undercuts their interests" www.9dashline.com/article/sout... | by @hmarston.bsky.social

Southeast Asian states are looking for options, but the United States isn’t giving them much to work with

Written by Hunter Marston. The recent Russia-ASEAN Summit is only the latest example of a more diffuse and loosely organised world order, in which Washington plays a less central role, and its rivals ...

9dashline.com

"Left unresolved, this deadlock carries its own strategic cost: renewed instability would further strain already fragile economy, deter investment needed to revive the nickel sector, and cast doubt on France’s capacity to manage its own territory" www.9dashline.com/article/new-... | by Paco Milhiet

New Caledonia’s election settles little

Written by Dr Paco Milhiet. Left unresolved, this deadlock carries its own strategic cost: renewed instability would further strain an already fragile economy, deter the investment needed to revive th...

9dashline.com

9DASHLINE @9dashline.com · 3w ago

"Ukraine’s survival rested on two pillars that had little to do with the seabed or the sky: overland routes that kept it connected to the outside world and a decentralised domestic network that kept traffic moving at home. Taiwan has neither." buff.ly/K8n4WGN | by You-Hao Lai and Ren-Wei Chang

Ukraine’s real lesson for Taiwan’s communications resilience

Written by You-Hao Lai and Ren-Wei Chang. Multinational cloud providers should be included to show that their Taiwan-based nodes can function when cut off from the overseas systems that normally contr...

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9DASHLINE @9dashline.com · 3w ago

"China’s diplomatic strategy draws its strength from long-term prioritisation, central coordination, and tactical flexibility. Europe, by contrast, holds more economic leverage over a domestically fragile Beijing than it chooses to deploy" www.9dashline.com/article/is-e... | by Marie Hiliquin

Is Europe doing Beijing’s work for it? China’s invisible coercion strategy

Written by Marie Hiliquin. Europe, facing a myriad of diplomatic and economic pressures from China and lacking a unified centre, is increasingly engaging in self-containment on China policy — exemplif...

9dashline.com

"Future crises are unlikely to be short and swift; they will more likely be prolonged and escalatory. Even in a purely logistics-support role India will need to reckon with collateral costs of involvement in such a contingency" www.9dashline.com/article/quad... | by Anuttama Banerji & Nayanima Basu

Quad maritime surveillance – A game changer?

Written by Anuttama Banerji and Nayanima Basu. While the IPMSC marks a pivotal shift in US foreign policy strategy, particularly its military posture in the Pacific Ocean, this initiative, coupled wit...

9dashline.com

"The Iran war, waged in the name of nuclear non-proliferation, has reinforced a lesson for Asia’s major powers: the protection the US-led order extends to them is conditional, granted or withheld at Washington’s discretion" www.9dashline.com/article/asia... | by Debodipta Nandan

Asia hedges against a US-led order it no longer trusts

Written by Debodipta Nandan. The Iran war, waged in the name nuclear non-proliferation, has reinforced a lesson for Asia’s major powers: the protection the US-led order extends to them is conditional,...

9dashline.com

In the second instalment of our #USA250 series, we again invite a number of leading experts to examine what the decline of the United States as a champion of liberal democracy means for the Indo-Pacific. Read here: www.9dashline.com/article/in-f...

Can Indo-Pacific democracy thrive without US leadership?

9DASHLINE asks several leading experts to examine whether the decline of US democracy weakens liberal democracy in the Indo-Pacific — or creates opportunities for new democratic models to emerge.

9dashline.com

CSIS Japan Chair @japan.csis.org · last mo.

"The northeastern borderlands of India — especially the communities living along the India-Myanmar frontier — are often treated as a route to be secured rather than as societies to be understood" www.9dashline.com/article/the-... | by Satoshi Ota

The invisibility of Northeast India's borderland communities in Japan-India cooperation

Written by Satoshi Ota. If the Indo-Japanese partnership is to fully reflect the principles associated with a Free and Open Indo-Pacific, development efforts should extend beyond strategic and economi...

9dashline.com

In @9dashline.com’s USA250 forum, @kristigovella.bsky.social writes that the challenge for Indo-Pacific governments may be less about creating new institutions and more about strengthening the ones that can anchor the region’s future. https://bit.ly/4fgZudP

"While a consolidation strategy offers a sensible course correction, deterrence in the Indo-Pacific depends as much on regional confidence in long-term political commitments as it does on military capability" www.9dashline.com/article/the-... | by Dr Anisa Heritage

The case for an overarching US Indo-Pacific strategy

Written by Dr Anisa Heritage. While a consolidation strategy offers a sensible course correction, deterrence in the Indo-Pacific depends as much on regional confidence in long-term political commitmen...

9dashline.com

As the US marks its 250th anniversary, we invite several key experts to analyse how a changing US foreign policy and regional minilateralism are reshaping Indo-Pacific geopolitics: buff.ly/lvQbyyp

Future of the Liberal International Order in the Indo-Pacific

As the US marks its 250th anniversary, we invite several key experts to analyse how a changing US foreign policy and regional minilateralism are reshaping Indo-Pacific geopolitics.

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The Navigator — latest issue out now! This month: • Taiwan–Lithuania ties shaped by shared pressure and political alignment • An Indo-Pacific defined by fragmentation and adaptation Stay ahead with our regional roundup. Read here: buff.ly/XpTM5ic

THE NAVIGATOR

Welcome to the June edition of The Navigator. This month’s brief examines Taiwan–Lithuania relations, where shared experiences of external pressure have driven closer political and tech cooperation. ...

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New Episode 🎙️ This month Dr Huong Le Thu joins @zsuzsettte.bsky.social and @richheydarian.bsky.social to discuss: - Energy shocks and strategic decisions - How events in the Mid East are impacting life in Southeast Asia In cooperation with EPinASEAN Apple buff.ly/dVOHDn5 Spotify buff.ly/ox3PxA0

Energy Shocks and Strategic Choices: How Southeast Asia Is Navigating Turbulence in the Middle East

Podcast Episode · The Bridge: Europe's Indo-Pacific Podcast · June 24 · 46m

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"European Indo-Pacific strategies are increasingly visible, but they also remain cautious and often ambiguous: a reflection of a fundamental tension in Europe’s position within US-China competition" www.9dashline.com/article/nato... | by Liselotte Odgaard

NATO and the IP4: Caught between ambition and restraint

Written by Liselotte Odgaard. As US strategy increasingly prioritises the Indo-Pacific while delegating greater responsibility to allies, NATO-IP4 cooperation is likely to deepen selectively — focusin...

9dashline.com

"The real problem is the political space between accident and attack, where coercion can operate before attribution is settled." buff.ly/nRMLqaI | by Jing Ge

Taiwan’s undersea cables are an Indo-Pacific crisis test

Written by Jing Ge. Taiwan’s undersea cables are not only a communications vulnerability; they are also a test of crisis discipline in the Indo-Pacific. In a Taiwan Strait crisis, a severed cable coul...

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"The Commission likely fears that revoking Pakistan’s GSP+ status could present an opportunity for China to deepen ties with Pakistan and entrench its influence in South Asia" www.9dashline.com/article/pref... | by Eve Register

Preferential tariffs but unmet promises: Pakistan’s GSP+ status

Written by Eve Register. The protection of human rights has long been a founding principle of the EU. While the GSP+ programme represents an opportunity to advance this goal, human rights will remain ...

9dashline.com

"The lesson for Taiwan is uncomfortable but necessary. The AI shield is not a shield unless it is supported by social resilience, Taiwan's own diplomatic voice, and democratically authorised security policy" buff.ly/dJJUyH2 | by Percy Yixuanchen Yu

Taiwan's democratic trilemma after Beijing

Written by Percy Yixuanchen Yu. Taiwan must satisfy three demands that pull against one another: keeping its elected voice visible, avoiding a performative assertion of sovereignty that could invite e...

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The Navigator — May issue out now! This month: • Heatwaves, energy shocks and supply-chain strain drive Indo-Pacific hedging • Europe shifts toward “strategic self-containment” on China Stay ahead with our regional roundup. Read: buff.ly/zALoHEa

THE NAVIGATOR

Welcome to the May edition of The Navigator. This month highlights a defining trend across the Indo-Pacific: economic pressure and strategic competition are increasingly intertwined, as heatwaves, en...

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"The potential to combine Chinese technological innovation with localised implementation means that Southeast Asia could yet transform its demographic challenge from a looming crisis into an engine of economically innovative and socially equitable growth" buff.ly/7QiJzHB | by Khyati Singh

9DASHLINE — China’s ‘silver tech’ revolution: A blueprint for Southeast Asia’s ageing societies?

Written by Khyati Singh. The potential to combine Chinese technological innovation with localised implementation means that Southeast Asia could yet transform its demographic challenge from a looming ...

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"A protracted war that the Tatmadaw cannot win, but remains capable of sustaining, is becoming an increasingly poor investment for China" buff.ly/Pqp6r67 | by Linn Thit Htoo

9DASHLINE — How ASEAN should respond to Myanmar’s manufactured parliament

Written by Linn Thit Htoo. A protracted war that the Tatmadaw cannot win, but remains capable of sustaining, is becoming an increasingly poor investment for China.

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"Instead of using this platform to champion a fairer system as an emerging leader of the Global South the Indian govt appeared content to secure a seat at the global power table and seek investment from the very Big Tech it has itself criticised" www.9dashline.com/article/indi... | by Kushang Mishra

9DASHLINE — India’s AI summit contradictions could undermine its credibility as an alternative to the US-China digital models

Written by Kushang Mishra. Instead of using this platform to champion a fairer system as an emerging leader of the Global South, the Indian government appeared content to secure a seat at the global p...

9dashline.com

"If other middle powers in the Indo-Pacific follow Jakarta’s stance in resisting formal alignment, the region may become one where multilateral cooperation works in peacetime but falls short in crises, including grey zone escalation" buff.ly/IhEILZH | by Muhammad Izzuddin Al-Haq

9DASHLINE — Indonesia’s strategic autonomy and the absence of Indo-Pacific trilateralism

Written by Muhammad Izzuddin Al Haq. If other middle powers in the Indo-Pacific follow Jakarta’s stance in resisting formal alignment, the region may become one where multilateral cooperation works in...

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