Africa Center for Strategic Studies

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Advancing African security by expanding understanding, providing a trusted platform for dialogue, building partnerships, and catalyzing solutions

If you're following the Sudan war you know the basics: SAF v RSF. If you've been tracking it carefully you know it's more complicated, with national, regional, and tribal armed groups as well as Islamist groups and foreign fighters. (See the image for just the groups affiliated with the SAF.) 1/2

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African scholars have found that Chinese security assistance increases the coercive capacity of recipient governments, to repress opposition parties and violate human rights. This is nothing new, but it is a growing trend as Beijing increasingly militarizes its African engagements. 1/2

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La prolifération des drones renforce les capacités de surveillance maritime tout en permettant à des acteurs malveillants de perturber le transport maritime mondial, mettant ainsi en évidence une faille critique dans l'architecture de la sécurité maritime.

Les drones dans l'océan Indien occidental obligent à s'adapter en matière de sécurité maritime

Les drones renforce les capacités de surveillance maritime tout en permettant à des acteurs malveillants de perturber le transport maritime mondial.

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Beijing's dominance of global minerals: • half of global critical minerals production • 87% of processing and refining • 70% of rare earth minerals production • 93% of high-strength rare earth permanent magnet manufacturing • 95% of the necessary heavy processing of critical minerals 1/2

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Russia’s influence in Africa is built on a paradox. Moscow has become the dominant external actor in the Sahel and elsewhere on the continent despite providing only 1% of foreign direct investment, minimal security assistance, and a political model Africans largely reject.

Russia’s New Frontier in Africa

As Russia’s influence in the Sahel collapses, Moscow is pivoting to tactics of fomenting dissent and the allure of military rule in coastal West Africa.

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Previous eras of natural resource extraction from Africa have been highly disruptive, contributing to the "resource curse", where countries with relatively more abundant natural resources tended to become more autocratic, corrupt, and conflict prone while lagging in their development. 1/2

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If you're following the security and human rights collapse in the Sahel, you may be wondering where to find an example of security done well, with cooperation and trust between authorities and local communities. If so, you'll want to learn more about Senegal's experience:

Building Trust to Buttress Senegal Against the Growing Threat of Violent Extremism

Building trust with local communities, security agencies can gain cooperation and preempt violence, as Senegal has learned in the Casamance.

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The Western Indian Ocean is a strategically vital network of maritime corridors connecting global trade—a hub for the global economy that collectively facilitates roughly a quarter of global maritime traffic. And drones are transforming the region's security landscape.

UAVs in the Western Indian Ocean Forcing Adaptations in Maritime Security

The proliferation of UAVs is enabling malign actors to disrupt global shipping—exposing a critical gap in the maritime security architecture.

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Defense leaders facing setbacks of the magnitude seen in the Sahel would ordinarily reassess strategy, force posture, intelligence failures, partnerships, and operational priorities. Instead, the juntas in power in the Sahel have focused on further tightening the domestic political space. 1/2

Analysis by African scholars has found that Chinese security assistance strengthens the coercive capacity of recipient governments, contributes to human rights violations, and enables the repression of opposition parties.

China’s Military Footprint in Africa Deepens as PLA leads BRICS Naval Drills

China’s increasingly militarized Africa policy threatens Africa’s preference to avoid being pulled into competing geopolitical camps.

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