"Noise in Cognition: Bug or Feature?" is now available in Perspectives on Psychological Science doi.org/10.1177/1745... (1/4)

🚨 A new preprint is out! How does utility influence mental simulations of risky events? 🤔🎲 We tested this across 4 experiments & found that most people simulate probabilities accurately, but biases emerge in key conditions! If you want to learn more, keep reading! doi.org/10.31234/osf...

New Preprint Out! 🚀🚀 Can people generate a random sequence if given enough time? Keep reading if - You make cognitive models with randomness in them - You like to explore the world, be creative, choose well - You want protection from clever agents exploiting patterns in your behavior. osf.io/awg9j

In our new preprint, my co-authors and I explore how people’s probability judgments sometimes don’t add up the way they should, and how these violations can help us compare different models of how people make these judgments! osf.io/preprints/ps...