📖 AI has only two stable futures: a controlled equilibrium built on coordinated restraint, or an adaptive equilibrium built after capability diffuses. Nuclear deterrence is the wrong analogy. Montreal may be closer, but geopolitics makes control fragile. ajfisher.me/2026/07/28/t... #AIGovernance

AI has only two stable futures

Two futures become apparent once frontier AI becomes powerful enough to reshape society. One depends on containing its diffusion. The other depends on adapting to it.

ajfisher.me

If AI keeps advancing but most of us only get a flatter, more constrained version, are today’s models already good enough for much of commercial work? If so, advantage comes from the grindy work of closing the deployment gap, not waiting for GPT-6. ajfisher.me/2026/07/14/a... #AI #EnterpriseAI

What happens if this is as good as it gets for AI?

For many routine commercial tasks, model capability may no longer be the constraint. The goal is to close the deployment gap and turn existing AI into realised economic value.

ajfisher.me

Agents building agent swarms that are using sub agents to build software... abstraction is getting bananas.... #aiswe #agents #coding

All the powers of these AI tools - yet none of them can find me the exact replacement bolt I need for a chair. This meat sack still has some use after all... #ai #humanSkills

This week a new language model launched: Mercury 2 by inception labs. It's really, really fast & shows the potential that diffusion language models could have. I knocked together a piece last night, that works through some of the implications. ajfisher.me/2026/02/26/m... #llm #diffusion #agents

Mercury 2 won’t outthink frontier models but diffusion might out-iterate them

The release of Mercury 2 suggests diffusion models may change agent design - not by increasing intelligence, but by making iteration dramatically faster. As iteration gets cheaper, verification become...

ajfisher.me

The Coalition isn't winning the next federal election anyway (barring some form of Labor implosion). The Libs and Nats have increasingly different positions on too many issues. Split, go through the cycle and re-evaluate after. It might be for the better.... 🧵 #auspol

Like most of the dev community the last couple of weeks, I have been playing with clawdbot / moltbot / openclaw. You don't need crazy hardware to run it. A simple Raspberry Pi is plenty enough to be useful. I did a write up of my setup here: ajfisher.me/2026/02/03/o... #clawdbot #openclaw #ai

No Mac Mini, no worries: running OpenClaw on a Raspberry Pi.

OpenClaw gives us a taste of a personal AI assistant that can actually do things, but you don't need to buy an expensive Mac Mini or give full access to your digital life for it to be useful. This gui...

ajfisher.me

I have no more patience for platforms. I'm done. #offprint https://tynanistyping.offprint.app/a/3mcsvjjceei23-publishing-on-the-atmosphere

Tynan Is Typing | Tynan Purdy | Offprint

Take a peek inside my brain. Internet thoughts. Design takes. Pontificating on life.

tynanistyping.offprint.app

After the disaster that has been Gatsby after the Netlify acquisition, have finally managed to move ajfisher.me to be more simple, ditch React, and be JS free. So I'm assuming this makes my rants / musings 100% certified organic or something now?? #website #blog #development

We'll know who has won and lost this game by 3pm today. #AUSvENG #ashes

Scott Boland, OAM.... #AUSvENG #ASHES

As we come into 2026, my hot take is that Replit, Cursor etc get acquired, crushed or sold for parts. Bundling will make a comeback as MS just make "Agentic Edit" part of a standard M365 or Github license. This and more ajfisher.me/2025/12/22/a... #ai #predictions #blog #business

AI, incentives and power in 2026

The AI hype is over, and the industrial reality has begun. Here are some predictions for 2026, from the rise of disposable software to potential clashes over worker rights.

ajfisher.me

Tell us what you really think of the batting Ricky. #ashes #AUSvENG

December 20, 2025. Third Test, Adelaide, Day 4 - England 2nd Innings. Mark the day as the final death of the Bazball experiment and England beginning the climb back to test cricket relevance. #ashes #AUSvENG

Gemini canvas / artifacts / snippets getting better by the week at the moment. Silly little web app sequencer thing. Have a play, make some tunes. gemini.google.com/share/c9c5f9... #ai #genAI #gemini

‎Gemini - direct access to Google AI

Created with Gemini

gemini.google.com

An LLM advisory group using your existing subscriptions and any local models you've already downloaded. Ask, "How to poach an egg at home?" and let them debate an answer. www.youtube.com/watch?v=7Xft... #ai #llm #advisors

LLM Advisors screenshare

YouTube video by Andrew Fisher

youtube.com

via @ajfisher.social I recently learned about three-sided football, and it might sound like a trivial change to the game of football. Turns out it has really interesting implications. en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Three-s...

Three-sided football - Wikipedia

en.wikipedia.org

Discussing a post I'm writing and exploring critiques of the narrative with Gemini 3. Um, okay.... (Though maybe it's referring to Eric Schmidt?? 😅) #ai #gemini #llms

At the Web Directions Dev Summit the next few days in Sydney. Good kick off and summary of the state of the web and react being a local maximum that has led is astray by @johnfallsopp.com #web #development #wdds

The last week has been lots of strategy & innovation workshops with clients. AI played a role in supporting these activities but deep, creative work is a place where humans really shine and AI should support that. #ai #business #strategy #innovation ajfisher.me/2025/11/05/s...

Strategy is still a human activity

A week of deep strategy work with clients highlights the uniquely human capabilities that we need to keep as businesses transition to using more AI within the enterprise and across their workforces.

ajfisher.me

Why they replaced a perfectly fine taxi rank at Melbourne airport with this uber pick up thing is beyond me. Normally you want to create an improved experience but this feels like doing everything possible to make it worse. Taxi rank with zoned fares or fixed quotes via app. #pt #Melbourne

Visiting my parents at the moment - who live at the edge of a big national Park in Sydney. Happened across this well fed bugger sunning itself today. I grew up here & have always come across snakes but far fewer since I was a kid. So great to see such a healthy one again. #snake #nature #wildlife

My play queue is long and my spare time is short, but I *finally* played through GRIS over the last few weeks. What a stunningly beautiful and emotive game. We so need more of these. Also, 😭😭😭 #games #gris #grisgame #steam

I'm doing a survey on how engineering teams use AI in their work practices. Over 50 orgs have participated but would love a bigger cross section of responses. If you can take 5 mins to fill it in that would be awesome but a share would be great too! tally.so/r/3xW4gv #engineering #dx #ai

Software Engineering AI Maturity Survey

Made with Tally, the simplest way to create forms.

tally.so

This is a lovely story www.abc.net.au/news/2025-09...

Australian wins peace prize for farming idea feeding millions in Africa

A Victorian scientist whose farming technique has revolutionised agriculture in Niger has been awarded an international peace prize.

abc.net.au

some time back I built this little border radius visualizer to help figure out how some complex shapes might work- what's interesting (but understood) is how adjustments to specific corners of the element *seem* to affect other corners codepen.io/cobra_winfre...

Border-Radius Playground

...

codepen.io

Getting some truth bombs from @ghuntley.com at web directions engineering AI this evening.

Are engineering teams treating AI as productivity hacks or as a core capability to be developed? Early data from my AI in dev survey is suggesting teams of all sizes are racing ahead on generation but lacking some of the other practices to make this sustainable. #ai #dev #engineering

Interesting first data from AI & Development survey. Teams that are tiny or large+ show more maturity than their mid-sized counterparts. #ai #aisew #development #engineering

So I tried this out as well but with "boysenberry" instead in case it was patched. Results attached. #ai #chatgpt5 #llms