Alex Chapman

@alchap.bsky.social

Head of Economic and Environmental Policy at the New Economics Foundation. Cyclist and MK Dons fan. Personal account.

My dad was arrested in London yesterday for holding a placard saying "I oppose genocide, I support Palestine Action". He's a retired university lecturer who is involved in his local church. Prior to yesterday's demonstration his only legal infraction was a speeding ticket for doing 36 in a 30 zone.

The right questions getting asked. This week in the Times, Alistair Osborne punctures the myth that a third runway at Heathrow is "crucial for business". Why? Because of the CEO's admission that the "decline in business travel appears to be permanent.../1 www.thetimes.com/business-mon...

Heathrow’s investment plan punctures the third runway myth

The airport has admitted the decline in business travel is permanent, and wants to spend £10bn raising passenger numbers by only ten million

thetimes.com

You've heard of frequent flyers, but we've got some new research for you on the idea of ultra- frequent flyers. Exciting work from my colleague @alchap.bsky.social where he makes a compelling case as to why this new class of flyers is not paying it's fair share of tax and how we can fix it. 👇👇

New Economics Foundation@neweconomics.bsky.social · last yr.

This government wants to expand airports up and down the country. But who will this really benefit? Ultra-frequent flyers. @alchap.bsky.social spoke at today's Environmental Audit Committee.

statistic of the day: approving the expansion of Heathrow, Luton and Gatwick airports would wipe out ALL the benefits of the government’s 2030 "clean power" target within five years of expanded operation, according to analysis by the New Economics Foundation (NEF) neweconomics.org/2025/01/airp....

Airport expansion would wipe out carbon savings of government’s clean power plan

Claimed growth benefits of expansion don’t stack up and will create major climate damage

neweconomics.org

As the Chancellor reaches for growth there's one place she won't find it - OBR forecasts. OBR multipliers devalue public spending and keep us in a doom-loop of austerity Our new report offers a framework that flexibly embraces the positive potential of public spending

The front cover of a NEF report titled "Forecasting a better future: The case for a 'bucket approach' to fiscal multipliers"

So today the Chancellor has said that airport expansion is "good for families wanting to go on cheap holidays". This is her "growth" plan. Making it cheaper to go to (e.g.) a Spanish island. How about making it cheaper to get to Blackpool, Great Yarmouth or Torquay?

"Yes, and" ...more damage from climate hazards ...more regional inequality ...a smaller domestic tourism sector ...a bigger current account deficit ...more costly traded carbon prices ...higher land and energy prices ...more noise and air quality Etc.

Bild

It's extraordinary that we are having this public debate about airport expansions with barely a whisper about what it means for domestic tourism. It's no coincidence the UK's overnight tourism sector is in decline, i.e. contributing to our stagnant growth. We keep making it cheaper to go overseas!

Bild

The aviation industry, in defence of the economic benefits of airport expansion, are pointing to the Airports Commission's 2015 work. Fun fact: The Commission's forecasts were catastrophically wrong. Business passenger numbers are way off. So their outputs on GDP growth etc. are total nonsense.

Bild

Twist in the Heathrow saga this morning. Insiders are asking the right questions about whether the supposed growth benefit is really worth the catastrophic climate damage afterall...

Bild