Anthony DeBarros

@anthonydb.bsky.social

Data journalist at The Wall Street Journal and author of the book "Practical SQL" from No Starch Press. https://nostarch.com/practical-sql-2nd-edition/

In our latest economic survey for @wsj.com, the average recession probability has ticked up to 32% but the consensus is that the economy is resilient enough to weather the oil supply disruption—provided crude doesn't rise above above $138/barrel for a sustained period. www.wsj.com/economy/econ...

Economists Don’t See a Recession Unless Oil Hits $138—and Stays There for Weeks

In a survey, the average of economists projects the Middle East conflict boosting inflation but probably not hurting growth.

wsj.com

Tariffs brought in record revenue in fiscal year 2025 for the U.S. government. But how much did that change the overall picture? Five takeaways from @richardrubindc.bsky.social and me today on what has changed about the federal budget—and what hasn’t. www.wsj.com/economy/tari...

Tariffs Are Way Up. Interest on Debt Tops $1 Trillion. And DOGE Didn’t Do Much.

The books have closed on the U.S. government’s fiscal 2025. Here’s what has changed about the federal budget—and what hasn’t.

wsj.com

Highly recommend this deportations data breakdown from @anthonydb.bsky.social @wsj.com J Importantly, it highlights *missing data* DHS' statistics office hasn't released broken down info since January, meaning we don't have the complete picture of who is being deported, by which agency & where

How Trump’s Deportation Effort Is Playing Out, in Charts

ICE is moving to step up arrests, detentions and deportations. We crunched the numbers.

wsj.com

Take a spin in the time machine, back to an era when the federal budget deficit didn’t look like a problem at all. Today, my colleagues @richardrubindc.bsky.social, Rosie Ettenheim and I break down how to the U.S. arrived at record deficits. www.wsj.com/politics/pol...

The Path to Record Deficits

A generation ago, the federal budget was briefly in surplus. Now, it appears headed for a record stretch of peacetime deficits. What happened?

wsj.com

Some economists are beginning to question the accuracy of recent U.S. inflation data after the federal government said BLS staffing shortages hampered its ability to conduct the massive monthly survey. www.wsj.com/economy/cpi-...

Exclusive | Economists Raise Questions About Quality of U.S. Inflation Data

The Labor Department says staffing shortages reduced its ability to conduct its massive monthly survey, forcing it to turn to less precise guesses.

wsj.com

Economists surveyed by the Wall Street Journal expect slower growth this year and a higher chance of recession. Today, my colleague Peter Santilli and I break down our panel's forecasts—and report on how well the panel fared in 2024. www.wsj.com/economy/econ...

What Economists See Ahead—and How They Fared Last Year

Our survey shows economists expect slower growth and see a recession as more likely. They were pessimistic a year ago, too, and were wrong.

wsj.com

A staffer for Elon Musk’s Department of Government Efficiency whose access to U.S. Treasury payment systems was approved by a federal judge has links to a deleted social-media account that advocated for racism and eugenics

DOGE Staffer Resigns Over Racist Posts

A staffer for Elon Musk’s Department of Government Efficiency whose access to U.S. Treasury payment systems was approved by a federal judge on Thursday has links to a deleted social-media account…

wsj.com