Brent Hodgson

@brenthodgson.bsky.social

“Strike at the roots, not the branches.” At the intersection of people, data and politics. Using data to know them, love them, and work it better. Trouble. But good trouble. “Kooyongkoot”, Wurundjeri Land. (Hawthorn, Victoria, Australia.)

A month on from this being published… Have we now witnessed the visible iceberg tip of these shadowy international networks via Hanson’s UK trip?

Alex Fein@auspoldaily.bsky.social · 2mo ago

@brenthodgson.bsky.social and @aaronsmith333.bsky.social, are you able to work your social media magic here and on the evil place (aka X, where I'm basically invisible) to spread the word on this Substack? Thanks so much!! redbridgeintel.substack.com/p/call-it-wh...

Two great campaigns wrapped up tonight - and results are coming in. Well done to Clare Glade-Wright and the Voices of Tasmania community in Huon (28% primary) And so too to Tracee Hutchison in Nepean (VIC) with Indies for MP (21% primary) (CGW a potential win; TH a likely 2CP)

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Big news! The High Court has struck out the entire web of major-party-entrenching electoral funding laws in Victoria. The move sends Sect 12 of Electoral Act back to parliament for re-drafting – and sets a precedent that informs a 2nd challenge to Fed laws. theconversation.com/high-court-t...

High Court takes an axe to Victoria’s political donations laws - and it will make federal MPs nervous

The High Court has rendered invalid an entire part of Victoria’s Electoral Act because it favours major parties at the expense of independents and smaller parties.

theconversation.com

The Farrer by-election is on-track to become a contest between IND Michelle Milthorpe and One Nation. If this eventuates, it’ll be an extremely rare result: One of only a few times in history that two candidates with no links to Labor, the Coalition, or their forebears finished #1 and #2.

1952 Victorian state election results for Brighton 1941 South Australian election results for Stirling

😂 ex-One Nation campaign director Craig Kelly showing PHON’s big-city arrogance. 1. Rural INDs have run & won in orange in Albury-Wodonga region since 2013: -before Pauline in Senate (2016) -before PHON reg’d in NSW (2018) -before PHON contested Indi/Farrer (2022) -before “teals” existed (2022)

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The Liberal Election Review contains 35 mentions of “Labor”, 42 of “ALP”, but 52 of “teal”. You’d assume a functional Opposition would be FAR more interested in the Government’s ~18 seat majority than ~6 members of the crossbench. (Interesting analysis by @browne90.bsky.social below.)

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In case you thought the housing crisis couldn’t get any worse… Here’s the CIS advocating for big business to take a bigger role in the rental sector as build-to-rent institutional landlords:

Senator BRAGG: It seems to me that there's a lot of arbitrage here. At the moment, sure, mum-and-dad investors are incentivised to provide rental supply to other Australians. Some people think that's good; other people think that's bad. The government, nonetheless, have a whole agenda to support the idea of institutions engaging in providing properties for others to rent, whether that be through their build-to-rent tax arrangements or the changes that the Treasurer is asking ASIC to look at to the disclosure arrangements through RG 97, which I know that the Property Council and others have pushed. And there's the Housing Australia Future Fund. There appears to be a big push here to replace mums and dads with institutions. Is there any evidence that mums and dads are bad landlords?

Dr Tulip : There's a lot. Australia has some of the worst rental insecurity in the OECD. We have more turnover of tenants, and that turnover is disproportionately driven by landlords. That reflects the fact that we have the wrong landlords—that most of our rental stock is owned by mum-and-dad investors, as you mention, who only offer very short leases, and they churn. I think the median rental property in Australia only lasts as a rental for five years. It's more than double that in many European countries, because their rental stock is owned by large landlords who offer long-term leases and want the tenants to stay as long as they can. So, yes, I think there are strong arguments for preferring institutional landlords over mum-and-dad landlords.