A summer of escalation in the Black Sea has hurt Ukraine economically and is exacerbating world food security. A truce is needed—as is a broader reframing of Europe's Ukraine strategy, writes @tomdewaal.bsky.social. Read: carnegieendowment.org/europe/strat...

A Black Sea Truce Is About Global Food Security, Too

A summer of escalation in the Black Sea has hurt Ukraine economically and is exacerbating world food security. A truce is needed—as is a broader reframing of Europe’s Ukraine strategy.

carnegieendowment.org

❔ | #TTP: Does the EU Have a Germany Problem? Are Germany’s economic, industrial, and political struggles becoming a liability for the EU’s ability to rise to the geopolitical moment? We asked 6⃣ leading experts for their takes. #StrategicEurope #Merz #EU carnegieendowment.org/europe/strat...

Taking the Pulse: Does the EU Have a Germany Problem?

Are Germany’s economic, industrial, and political struggles becoming a liability for the EU’s ability to rise to the geopolitical moment?

carnegieendowment.org

🎧 | Russia is accelerating a campaign of sabotage and aggressive actions across Europe. @rmomtaz.bsky.social, @kadriliik.bsky.social, & @nathalietocci.bsky.social discuss how Europe should respond to Moscow's increasingly assertive actions. Listen: europe-inside-out.simplecast.com/episodes/is-...

🎥 | The speech Ursula von der Leyen can’t give. The hype around today’s state of 🇪🇺 speech has been building, but there are some things the commission president won’t be able to say. Helpfully, @rmomtaz.bsky.social has listed them on #StrategicEurope ➡️ carnegieendowment.org/europe/strat...

🆕 | European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen’s annual state of the union address is happening this week. @rmomtaz.bsky.social has written the speech that she should—but won’t—deliver. carnegieendowment.org/europe/strat...

The Speech Ursula von der Leyen Can’t Deliver

European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen is about to give her annual address on the state of the EU. Here’s what she won’t—but should—say.

carnegieendowment.org

Radical-right parties are expected to do well in upcoming elections in four of the EU's biggest member states: France, Italy, Poland, and Spain. If successful, they could prevent the union from addressing key challenges ahead, argues Stefan Lehne. Read why: carnegieendowment.org/europe/resea...

How Europe’s 2027 Elections Could Test EU Governance

Radical-right parties are expected to do well in upcoming elections in four of the EU's biggest member states. If successful, they could prevent the union from addressing key challenges ahead.

carnegieendowment.org

The aftermath of the Ceuta crisis shows Europe has drawn the wrong lessons, writes @richardyoungs.bsky.social. Rather than doubling down on failed migration policies, the EU needs to address the underlying roots of such episodes. carnegieendowment.org/europe/strat...

Europe Fails to Learn the Lessons from Ceuta

The aftermath of the Ceuta crisis shows Europe has drawn the wrong lessons. Rather than doubling down on failed migration policies, the EU needs to address the underlying roots of such episodes.

carnegieendowment.org

An overwhelming victory by a far-right-wing party in a small state in eastern Germany will have major repercussions for Chancellor Friedrich Merz’s coalition. Judy Dempsey unpacks the AfD’s victory in Saxony-Anhalt. ⤵️ carnegieendowment.org/europe/strat...

Germany’s Shattered Consensus

An overwhelming victory by a far-right-wing party in a small state in eastern Germany will have major repercussions for Chancellor Friedrich Merz’s coalition.

carnegieendowment.org

Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney has twice inspired praise for the way he has stood up to U.S. President Donald Trump. Is Carney showing a third way better than the EU has in its dealings with the Trump administration? Read experts' takes: carnegieendowment.org/europe/strat...

Taking the Pulse: Is Canada Leading a Third Way?

Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney has twice inspired praise for standing up to U.S. President Donald Trump: at the 2026 World Economic Forum in Davos and on Canada-U.S. trade negotiations. Is Carney...

carnegieendowment.org

🍃 Europe’s industrial supply chains leave it vulnerable to global shocks. 🤝 The EU needs bolster homegrown clean tech without sacrificing low-carbon ambition, write Milo McBride and Pauline Gerard. Learn more: carnegieendowment.org/europe/resea...

The EU's responses to two recent incidents expose the gulf between European perceptions and capabilities. Unless the union can bridge that gap, it will never become a real geostrategic power, writes @rmomtaz.bsky.social. carnegieendowment.org/europe/strat...

Europe’s Self-Confidence Problem

The EU’s responses to two recent incidents expose the gulf between European perceptions and capabilities. Unless the union can bridge that gap, it will never become a real geostrategic power.

carnegieendowment.org

Europe's 30 overseas territories—from Greenland to Diego Garcia—are suddenly geopolitical hotspots. Marc Pierini breaks down why defending them isn't optional for Europe. It's essential. carnegieendowment.org/europe/resea...

Europe’s Overseas Countries and Territories as Geopolitical Assets

European states control several Overseas Countries and Territories around the world that carry strategic, economic, and environmental weight. As great powers challenge the rules-based order, defending...

carnegieendowment.org

Europe's 30 overseas territories—from Greenland to Diego Garcia—are suddenly geopolitical hotspots. @MarcPierini1 breaks down why defending them isn't optional for Europe. It's essential. carnegieendowment.org/europe/resea...

Europe’s Overseas Countries and Territories as Geopolitical Assets

European states control several Overseas Countries and Territories around the world that carry strategic, economic, and environmental weight. As great powers challenge the rules-based order, defending...

carnegieendowment.org

📰 | Why MAGA's Far-Right European Ties Will Endure In supporting Europe's far-right, MAGA and Russia both want the same thing: a weaker EU. Europe must defend itself without abandoning the openness these forces exploit, writes Armida van Rij ⤵️ carnegieendowment.org/europe/strat...

Why MAGA’s Far-Right European Ties Will Endure

In supporting Europe’s far-right, MAGA and Russia both want the same thing: a weaker EU. Europe must defend itself without abandoning the openness these forces exploit.

carnegieendowment.org

The global balance of power is off-kilter, rules and norms are in disarray, and upheavals are only just starting. If there is any chance of ending the war in Ukraine, it will not be through any wide-ranging agreement with Moscow, says @kadriliik.bsky.social. carnegieendowment.org/europe/strat...

Why Europe Cannot Negotiate a New Yalta with Russia

While Russia is not ready to sue for peace on Europe’s terms, it could still either seek a ceasefire in Ukraine or try escalation. Brussels needs to prepare for both and prioritize that preparation ov...

carnegieendowment.org

The EU has built partnerships centered around climate and clean energy that are tailored to capacity building rather than shaping markets. Going forward, it will need to embrace a more business-oriented external posture, argue Milo McBride & Pauline Gerard. carnegieendowment.org/europe/resea...

A Grand Strategy for Europe’s Clean Industrial Future

Europe’s industrial supply chains leave it vulnerable to global shocks. The EU needs a pragmatic green industrial strategy that balances durable partnerships and bolsters homegrown clean tech without ...

carnegieendowment.org

Caution on the this side of the Atlantic contrasts with the attitude on the other. Donald Trump’s National Security Strategy is full of vitriol toward Europe. But in the EU’s equivalent document, Trump will be “he who must not be named,” says Stefan Lehne. carnegieendowment.org/europe/strat...

The Trump-Shaped Hole in the European Security Strategy

There is an elephant in the room when it comes to the EU’s upcoming security strategy: Donald Trump. Unless European leaders acknowledge the depth of the transatlantic crisis, true autonomy will remai...

carnegieendowment.org

🛡️ The European security strategy will be judged by spending levels and geopolitical posturing. 🧑‍🔧 But its true measure is whether it can connect new defense tech to a credible answer on power. 👉 Anything less is readiness in name only, argues Raluca Csernatoni. carnegieendowment.org/europe/strat...

Europe Needs a Strategy for its Turn to New Defense Tech

Defense tech innovations will be at the heart of Europe’s new security strategy. But so far, Brussels is making moves without a broader plan, undermining readiness and credibility.

carnegieendowment.org

🌍 Global powers are locked in a strategic competition that has turned supply chains into instruments of statecraft. The EU must weather present shocks while building the foresight to prevent long-term structural lock-in, says @sinanulgen.bsky.social. carnegieendowment.org/europe/resea...

The EU in an Era of Weaponized Interdependence

As geopolitical rivalry weaponizes global supply chains, the EU’s true vulnerability lies in emerging-risk imports.

carnegieendowment.org

Despite broad agreement among governments that the European order needs systemic change, little is actually moving in that direction. What would the optimal model for European cooperation and integration look like? 💡 @richardyoungs.bsky.social gathered ideas from eleven experts:

Europe from Scratch: Visions for a New European Order

Several leaders have called for major EU reforms, but only modest changes have resulted. What if the European order really could be reimagined from zero today?

carnegieendowment.org

For the policymaking and expert communities, it can sometimes feel like Groundhog Day. But over the past twelve months, there have also been some noteworthy evolutions. @rmomtaz.bsky.social takes stock of the deep shifts underway. carnegieendowment.org/europe/strat...

Letter from the Editor: Europe Takes Two Steps Forward But One Step Back

As we close out another season of Strategic Europe, it is worth taking stock of the deep shifts underway.

carnegieendowment.org

🆕 | The hybrid warfare landscape is evolving rapidly, leaving policymakers without clear strategies. To more effectively address emerging challenges, Raluca Csernatoni and Alicia Wanless argue governments should dig deeper into the underlying dynamics. carnegieendowment.org/europe/resea...

Assessing Information Ecosystems: How Governments Can Get Ahead of Hybrid Threats

The hybrid warfare landscape is evolving rapidly, leaving policymakers without clear strategies. To better inform their work in addressing emerging challenges, governments must dig deeper into the und...

carnegieendowment.org

❔ | #TTP: Are Watered-Down Russia Sanctions Better than None? The EU had to compromise to adopt a twenty-first sanctions package against Russia, exposing growing cracks in the union’s resolve. Is this latest, weaker round worth it to keep pressure on Moscow? 🔗 carnegieendowment.org/europe/strat...

Taking the Pulse: Are the EU’s Watered-Down Russia Sanctions Better than None?

The EU had to compromise to adopt a twenty-first sanctions package against Russia, exposing growing cracks in the union’s resolve. Is this latest, weaker round worth it to keep pressure on Moscow?

carnegieendowment.org

NATO should not do away with its annual summits, but it is struggling to ensure that they are used wisely. The alternative of having fewer meetings would not end the political motivations that have led to their abuse, says @erik-jones.bsky.social. More takes: carnegieendowment.org/europe/strat...

Taking the Pulse: Enough with the Annual NATO Summits, Already?

Over the past ten years, NATO has held almost as many summits as it did during the entirety of the Cold War. Are they still useful, or is it time to stop holding annual meetings?

carnegieendowment.org

Trump is distracted and Ukraine wants Europe to step up. The continent’s leaders must find their voice and assert it in talks with Russia, writes @alissadecarbonnel.bsky.social. Read her take on why Europeans must take charge of their diplomacy with Moscow. carnegieendowment.org/europe/strat...

Why Europe Must Take Charge of its Russia Diplomacy Now

Trump is distracted and Ukraine wants Europe to step up. The continent’s leaders must find their voice and assert it in talks with Russia.

carnegieendowment.org

Mounting economic strain and battlefield losses will not necessarily make Russia less dangerous. They could instead push Moscow toward a more aggressive hybrid campaign designed to test NATO’s Eastern flank, warns Maksym Beznosiuk. carnegieendowment.org/europe/strat...

Why Russia Could Escalate Hybrid Warfare Against Europe

Mounting economic strain and battlefield losses will not necessarily make the Kremlin less dangerous. They could instead push Moscow toward a more aggressive hybrid campaign designed to test NATO’s Ea...

carnegieendowment.org

How NATO Became Anchored in the Black Sea As Russia's war on Ukraine drags on, NATO is expanding its footprint in the Black Sea. Turkey, Romania, and Bulgaria are upgrading their fleets and deepening trilateral cooperation, writes @dimitarbechev.bsky.social. carnegieendowment.org/europe/posts...

How NATO Became Anchored in the Black Sea

NATO countries Turkey, Romania, and Bulgaria are upgrading their fleets and deepening trilateral cooperation in the Black Sea

carnegieendowment.org

❔ | #TTP: Enough with the Annual NATO Summits, Already? Over the past ten years, NATO has held almost as many summits as it did during the entirety of the Cold War. Are they still useful, or is it time to stop holding annual meetings? ⤵️ carnegieendowment.org/europe/strat...

Taking the Pulse: Enough with the Annual NATO Summits, Already?

Over the past ten years, NATO has held almost as many summits as it did during the entirety of the Cold War. Are they still useful, or is it time to stop holding annual meetings?

carnegieendowment.org

Nearly a year and a half after Europeans leaned into sucking up to the U.S. president, the strategy has produced some benefits when it comes to Ukraine. @rmomtaz.bsky.social explains how sycophancy worked on Trump. carnegieendowment.org/europe/strat...

European Sycophancy Worked on Trump

Nearly a year and a half after Europeans leaned into sucking up to Trump, the strategy has produced some benefits when it comes to Ukraine.

carnegieendowment.org

🎥 | Was the NATO Summit Good for Europe? Following years of animosity from U.S. President Donald Trump, the 2026 #NATO summit in Ankara could have been a breaking point for the alliance. @rmomtaz.bsky.social explains why it was actually more positive for Europe than many expected.