🚨 NEW: Our new analysis has found that the funding settlement issued with the Defence Investment Plan will lead to a net loss in jobs in the UK. 📑 Buying the Dip: The Defence Investment Plan Will Produce Domestic Unemployment Our key findings 🧵👇
Kevin Cashman
@cashman.bsky.social
America watching, and thinking about anti-militarism and climate @transitionsec.bsky.social | fellow Economists for Peace & Security and Just Foreign Policy | previously @ceprdc.bsky.social | 🇺🇸 in 🇬🇧
PANEL EVENT: Securing The Future? War and Peace in a Warming World Join us at London Climate Week with @samar42.bsky.social, @adriennebuller.bsky.social, Adam Hanieh, Guillaume Long and Lorah Steichen. 🗓️ Fri 26 June ⏰ 6.30-8.30PM 📍 Science Gallery, London, SE1 9GU 🎟️ luma.com/ohafnco9
Securing the Future? War and Peace in a Warming World · Luma
Panel Discussion and Live Podcast with The BREAK—DOWN. Co-sponsored by the Transition Security Project This event is part of the Climate Security Forum @…
luma.com
Leases on more than a fifth of the 222,000 acres of Hawaiian land occupied by the US military are set to expire. What could Hawaiʻi look like if the military didn’t occupy so much land? Watch our new video to learn more 👇
🚨 NEW ESSAY: “Military Minerals: How US Military Demand Is Intensifying Extraction on Indigenous Lands” Nessie Nankivell explores the Pentagon’s expansion of mining on Indigenous territories in Canada. transitionsecurity.org/military-min...
Military Minerals: How US Military Demand Is Intensifying Extraction on Indigenous Lands
As Pentagon demand for minerals grows, Canada’s mining expansion is accelerating extraction on Indigenous territories.
transitionsecurity.org
“No matter what happens to Cuba, this is a clear signal to other countries that renewables are something that they need to focus on.” @cashman.bsky.social interviewed by @cnn.com on our report detailing how Cuba can break free from the US blockade with renewables.👇 edition.cnn.com/2026/05/13/c...
As the US starves it of oil, Cuba is pulling off one of the fastest solar revolutions on the planet — with China’s help | CNN
Cuba is struggling with nationwide blackouts as the US’s effective oil blockade strangles fuel supplies. But the crisis may accelerate its clean energy revolution
edition.cnn.com
An inconvenient truth from @giuliomattioli.bsky.social: “To make car use reliable & convenient, we made the use of other modes less reliable & convenient, for example by giving cars priority over the use of street space. Moving in the other direction would require taking some of that space away.”
Vienna’s public transport is the envy of the world – so why can’t it ditch cars?
Austrian capital mulls expanding tram network and park-and-ride car parks in effort to reduce private vehicle use
theguardian.com
DC brain: The two most significant events of the last 2,000 years: the founding of my religion and my country’s middle class tax revolt.
The comparison should really be with things that cost a $1 trillion. Trump’s War on Iran Could Cost Trillions theintercept.com/2026/03/17/t...
Trump’s War on Iran Could Cost Trillions
“My kids’ kids, and probably their kids, are going to be paying for this,” said one official briefed on the U.S war on Iran.
theintercept.com
The New York Times@nytimes.com · 3mo agoPentagon officials, mum for weeks on the cost of the war in Iran, have made their first public estimate: $25 billion so far. But what does a cost on that scale really mean?
Preconditions for a new USAID post-Trump should foreground the saving lives part, and get rid of the "advancing our interests" part — which included regime change initiatives and money hoses for US contractors (neither of which advance the interests of everyday people anywhere).
Nick Kristof@nickkristof.bsky.social · 4mo agoUSAID employees represented some of the best of the US, advancing our interests and saving a life on average every six seconds. Now? Most were laid off, and this heartbreaking piece says half are still jobless. www.nytimes.com/2026/04/21/u...
I’m pleased to share my latest report for @transitionsec.bsky.social: Sunrise After the Blockade. The report argues that cheap solar could help Cuba break free of US energy dominance — and that the world should help pay for it. transitionsecurity.org/sunrise-afte... 1/
Sunrise After the Blockade
Cheap solar could help Cuba break free of US energy dominance — and the world should help pay for it
transitionsecurity.org
“Once a driver of stable employment, jobs in the arms sector have declined even as military spending soars.” @tkbarnes.bsky.social exposes the broken relationship between the Pentagon’s soaring budget and secure jobs. transitionsecurity.org/labor-of-the...
Labor of the US Military-Industrial Complex
Jobs in the military industry have declined even as the Pentagon budget soars, exposing a broken industrial model.
transitionsecurity.org
I am pleasantly astonished how much more the media is covering the climate & ecological impacts of war in the last year compared to when I started working on this stuff a decade ago. Just this week we have coverage in really diverse outlets- Wired on one hand, the Lancet on the other. Links below.
“The case for solar in Cuba is so compelling and what the US is doing is so cruel ... it is creating a humanitarian crisis on purpose.” Our latest briefing by @cashman.bsky.social on Cuba & breaking free of US energy dominance in Yale Climate Connections 👇 yaleclimateconnections.org/2026/04/as-c...
As Cuba’s grid fails, solar power becomes a lifeline » Yale Climate Connections
Ten percent of the Caribbean nation’s electricity was generated by renewable energy in 2025, up from 3.6% in 2024.
yaleclimateconnections.org
Articles about Jared Kushner's diplomatic role with Iran that mention Kushner has received billions from the Saudi government (2/28-4/19): NYT: 5 of 58 WashPost: 1 of 43 WSJ: 0 of 40 AP: 0 of 26 CNN Wire: 0 of 18 NY Post: 0 of 17 Chicago Tribune: 0 of 4 LA Times: 0 of 4 Boston Globe: 0 of 2
“The US’s energy dominance strategy seeks to entrench dependence on fossil fuels, stall the green transition and strengthen US power.” Our new briefing by @cashman.bsky.social on how Cuba could break free from the US blockade with renewables in @theguardian.com 👇 www.theguardian.com/world/2026/a...
Cuba could beat US energy blockade with $8bn investment in renewables, says thinktank
Report by Common Wealth argues rest of the world should pay for country’s transition as reparative climate finance
theguardian.com
“Cuba’s crisis is part of the US ‘energy dominance’ strategy, using coercion and force to control energy supplies and, ultimately, Cuba itself.” Cuba could break the US blockade with renewables — & the world should help pay for it. 🖋️ @cashman.bsky.social www.transitionsecurity.org/sunrise-afte...
Sunrise After the Blockade
Cheap solar could help Cuba break free of US energy dominance — and the world should help pay for it
transitionsecurity.org
a new report by @cashman.bsky.social at @transitionsec.bsky.social on the US’s war on Cuba, the resulting energy crisis in Cuba, and a possible counter to the US strategy of energy dominance transitionsecurity.org/sunrise-afte...
Sunrise After the Blockade
Cheap solar could help Cuba break free of US energy dominance — and the world should help pay for it
transitionsecurity.org
“Cuba is in the midst of a US-imposed energy and humanitarian crisis.” Our new briefing by @cashman.bsky.social examines how Cuba could break free of US energy dominance with renewables — and why the world should help pay for it. www.transitionsecurity.org/sunrise-afte...
Sunrise After the Blockade
Cheap solar could help Cuba break free of US energy dominance — and the world should help pay for it
transitionsecurity.org
“We’ve had heavy bombers, US strategic bombers, being launched from British soil to strike Iran. It’s a key part of the US strategy and it means that we are unfortunately involved in this illegal and destabilising war.” Khem Rogaly on @lbc.co.uk 👇
This is exactly what @cashman.bsky.social and I warned about last week in @the-breakdown.bsky.social: oil shocks have all sorts of bad outcomes- higher prices hit working class people the hardest, windfall profits for oil companies, and as seen here, justification for new fossil fuel production
Iran war could boost Trump's Alaskan gas vision
The proposal, estimated at $44 billion, has long been an uphill climb.
axios.com
“Security cannot be achieved through force projection in the Gulf. In the meantime, the people of Iran & working-class communities across the world will continue to suffer the consequences of US fossil energy dominance” 🖋️ @pmbigger.bsky.social & @cashman.bsky.social www.break-down.org/oil-war-ii/
Oil War II
Responses to the American-Israeli war on Iran
break-down.org
"Windfall profits are the hidden redistribution that happens with every oil shock...They are perfectly legal, thoroughly opaque and a recurring part of the system, as we see now with the war on Iran." www.theguardian.com/commentisfre...
We can tell you who will really get rich from this oil crisis – and how we can stop them | Isabella Weber and Gregor Semieniuk
Soaring oil costs signal the great transfer of wealth away from households, but also a new opportunity to redistribute it, say economists Isabella Weber and Gregor Semieniuk
theguardian.com
“The war on Iran is part & parcel of the US’s omnicidal ‘energy dominance’ agenda, turbocharging the climate crisis today while rooted in the long standing architecture of a fossil fuelled empire.” 🖋️ @pmbigger.bsky.social & @cashman.bsky.social for @the-breakdown.bsky.social 👇
Oil War II
Responses to the American-Israeli war on Iran
break-down.org
The BREAK—DOWN@the-breakdown.bsky.social · 5mo agoPart II of our symposium on the American-Israeli war on Iran. @katemac.bsky.social on the long-term effects of the closing of the Strait of Hormuz on oil markets and petrostates @pmbigger.bsky.social and @cashman.bsky.social on the Omnicidal Fossil Empire www.break-down.org/oil-war-ii/
Part II of our symposium on the American-Israeli war on Iran. @katemac.bsky.social on the long-term effects of the closing of the Strait of Hormuz on oil markets and petrostates @pmbigger.bsky.social and @cashman.bsky.social on the Omnicidal Fossil Empire www.break-down.org/oil-war-ii/
Oil War II
Responses to the American-Israeli war on Iran
break-down.org
Our final tally of the climate pollution cause by Israel and allies' assault on Gaza is out today in @cp-oneearth.bsky.social. Emissions are not the most important reason to demand an end to the US & Israel's aggressive, illegal military interventions, but they are yet another reason to demand it.
Israel-Gaza conflict carbon emissions exceeded 30 million tons
Comprehensive greenhouse gas emissions (GHG) inventories are vital for effective climate governance. However, a decade after the Paris Agreement, sign…
sciencedirect.com
"The Transition Security Project estimates that the 2022 energy shock cost the EU and UK $1.8tn between 2022 and 2025, while US firms made $241bn in windfall profits. Higher inflation pushed up interest rates, making capital-intensive renewables harder to finance than fossil fuels."
Damian Carrington@dpcarrington.bsky.social · 5mo agoThe @theguardian.com view on the Iran crisis exposing UK’s energy vulnerability: clean power offers protection - The war reveals UK’s exposure to volatile fossil fuel prices. More North Sea drilling will not shield households, building green energy will www.theguardian.com/commentisfre...
“Instead of clinging on to a broken transatlantic partnership, Europe needs to develop an independent foreign policy based on international solidarity, restraint and climate collaboration.” Our briefing in @theguardian.com 👇 www.theguardian.com/environment/...
UK must double down on renewables as wars drive up energy costs, experts say
Fossil fuel price surge after US-Israeli attacks on Iran prompts calls to end dependence on ‘volatile’ energy source
theguardian.com
Great write up of the tremendous work by my colleague @cashman.bsky.social showing the absurdly huge cost that Europeans are paying for hitching their wagon to US LNG instead of going all-in on renewables.
Transition Security Project@transitionsec.bsky.social · 5mo ago“Instead of clinging on to a broken transatlantic partnership, Europe needs to develop an independent foreign policy based on international solidarity, restraint and climate collaboration.” Our briefing in @theguardian.com 👇 www.theguardian.com/environment/...
The US–Israeli attack on Iran will deepen the cost of living crisis. The last energy shock cost Europe $1.8tn. Europe’s leaders have backed the illegal war that may cause the next shock. The transatlantic alliance is Europe’s trillion dollar bill. 🧵 transitionsecurity.org/trillion-dol...
Trillion Dollar Bills: The Costs of Transatlantic Dependence for Europe
From imposing fossil energy dominance to NATO spending targets, the US is extracting more from Europe and putting the climate transition at risk.
transitionsecurity.org
The U.S. torpedoed a ship w/ 180 crew that was 2k miles from Iran It had just been in a joint exercise that....the US had also been in. The ship “thought it was safe in international waters,” said Hegseth, “instead, it was sunk by a torpedo,” Just 32 survivors. www.nytimes.com/2026/03/04/w...
