96 BDBV cases in healthcare workers at the time this comment was written, and that's only the confirmed ones... These people are essential and deserve better IPC and PPE!

The Lancet Infectious Diseases@thelancetinfdis.bsky.social · last mo.

New Comment The Bundibugyo virus disease outbreak: a warning signal for risks to health workers www.thelancet.com/journals/lan...

Biosecurity depends critically on the early identification of novel pathogens. Our international team developed a global multi-scale model of infectious diseases to evaluate the time to detection in aircraft wastewater vs. other surveillance modalities. www.medrxiv.org/content/10.6...

Excited to share our new dengue research with a great international team. We introduce a framework that integrates different modelling disciplines to i) explain past spatiotemporal dynamics and drivers, and ii) forecast future trajectories, thereby providing diverse insights for decision-makers.

Moritz Kraemer@mugkraemer.bsky.social · 9mo ago

Multi-model approach to understand and predict past and future dengue epidemic dynamics royalsocietypublishing.org/doi/10.1098/... Brilliant work by @cathalmills.bsky.social + many others

Rt measures how quickly a pathogen spreads and was central to understanding and controlling COVID-19. In our latest work, we extend this concept to vector-borne diseases, developing a new, renewal equation–based framework that links infection dynamics in humans and vectors. doi.org/10.1111/2041...

Renewal equations for mosquito‐borne diseases

During infectious disease outbreaks, estimates of time-varying pathogen transmissibility, such as the instantaneous reproduction number Rt$$ R(t) $$ or epidemic growth rate rt$$ {r}_t $$, are used...

doi.org

Methods in Ecology and Evolution@methodsinecoevol.bsky.social · 10mo ago

📖Published📖 In our new research article authors provide general renewal equations for mosquito-borne diseases 🦟 Find out more about their framework here 👇 buff.ly/CLfy3Ad 🌍 🧪

open.substack.com/pub/rorycell... This post about the importance of knowing the difference between truth tellers and myth makers in healthcare has already attracted a comment from a member of the “plandemic” community which nicely makes my point about the dangers of disinformation

The Truth About the Covid App

Myths about its cost and effectiveness stop us learning lessons

open.substack.com

🐔 Calling all backyard poultry keepers in England! We want to hear your thoughts on avian influenza control measures. If you have fewer than 50 birds, please share your experiences and suggestions for future strategies. Survey 🔗 tinyurl.com/e535naw4 #AvianInfluenza #AnimalHealth #OxfordStatistics

When an epidemic hits, how long does it take to get going with common epidemic analysis tasks? A couple of weeks ago, we asked representatives from over a dozen UK organisations and universities who work actively on epidemic analysis and modelling how long the below tasks would take them.... 1/

It was a pleasure to have helped in this exciting work on the potential for AI to transform our pandemic preparedness. Led by the excellent team of @mugkraemer.bsky.social and @sjbhatt.bsky.social

Moritz Kraemer@mugkraemer.bsky.social · last yr.

AI is poised to accelerate understanding in infectious diseases, but its value needs to be demonstrated through close collaboration between research, industry, society, and policy. Paper free to read: rdcu.be/eaxEw Summary here: www.ox.ac.uk/news/2025-02...

Our DPhil student @cathalmills.bsky.social presented on his framework estimating the reproduction number for vector borne diseases at the #dengue analytics meeting at the Pandemic Hub (pandemichub.who.int) last week. Looking forward for this community to grow. arxiv.org/abs/2409.18726