Not gonna lie, at this point I think Congress will be better without her theatrics and nonsense like this. Katie Porter 2.0. All gimmicks, no actual value.

Nathan Goldwag @goldwagnathan.bsky.social · 32m ago

She's really starting to remind me of Anthony Weiner; a backbench Democrat representative who built an aggressive media personality into a national following and then completely fell apart when exposed to scrutiny, due to being an overweening narcissist without any deeper loyalties.

Yet another example of a seat that shouldn't be competitive. Spartz won by 19 points in 2024, Trump by 17. Let's say, it's closer to Spartz +5 or so, we're still talking a pretty massive swing left. We're seeing it time & again. Indiana, Florida, Texas....you name it. Tick tock, motherfuckers ✊

Polling USA@usapolling.bsky.social · 3h ago

Indiana - 5th House Polling: 🔴Spartz: 48%* 🔵Ford: 46% Impact Research / July 20, 2026 (Ford Internal) (Current model result has IN-5 at GOP 52% - DEM 43%) unitedstatespolling.com/p/the-republ...

You know, we talk a lot about Centrists not being great team players and/or not saying if they'll support Progressives in the general election. But we need to be clear, it happens on all sides of the party & it should be unacceptable. ....and I'm glad this clown lost last night.

Lowkey, getting him to say that number outloud is....not nothing.

FactPost@factpostnews.bsky.social · 8h ago

Trump: I shouldn't be at 42% approval. We have the greatest economy in the history of the world for any country

Look, I'll simply say this about MI-Sen. If one of the rating sites wants to put the race to start at Toss-up, I'm not going to argue with them. And I'd have said the same if Haley won. Being blunt, I don't think MI had great options this cycle, in particular once Mallory dropped out.

Absentee ballots start going out in 30 days y’all…. Buckle up, it’s nearly here 🙌

Gerry Cohen@gercohen.bsky.social · 10h ago

As of Aug 5 NC election deadlines: 30 days until absentee ballots go out Sep 4 65 days til regular registration ends Oct 9 71 days early vote starts Oct 15 76 days til absentee request deadline Oct 20 87 days early vote ends Oct 31 90 days until election day Nov 3. #ncpol

NYT now saying neither candidate is overperfomlng their benchmarks….🤔

The tough part with tonight’s MI Sen race? This is probably the worse case scenario. If anything you want one of the candidates to win big. Pulling together the voters after this bruising primary is going to be incredibly challenging. And is going to require putting a lot of egos & feelings aside.

*whispers* polling primaries is difficult. AND many did very, VERY poorly in MI Senate….

Legit glad I have a work function tonight so I can ignore a night that is likely to be full of people spouting a lot of nonsense. Both sides of the party are ripe for it tonight.

2 months later and I'm still laughing at this one.... 😂😂

Really interesting stuff here from Economist/YouGov: - Solid D districts at +25 - Solid R districts at +14 - Swing districts (anything less than solid D or R) at D+5

YouGov America@today.yougov.com · yesterday

Economist/YouGov Jul 17-Aug 3 % of registered voters who would vote for Democrats | Republicans for U.S. Congress in... Safe Democratic districts: 57% | 32% Swing districts: 45% | 40% Safe Republican districts: 37% | 51% Ratings by Inside Elections. yougov.com/en-us/articl...

👀 Told y’all we were gonna start seeing some spicy ones.

Joel Wertheimer@wertwhile.bsky.social · 2d ago

Ossoff Pulido 2028.

Normal cautions around this being an internal poll but yea.....every sign from Florida is literally terrible for the GOP. Latest case here is FL-12. Trump won this district by 15.3 points in 2020. If this district is on the map, the GOP is BEYONNNNDDD fucked!

For folks who have followed me for awhile, you’ll know this is something I talk about pretty often. And I continue to be SUPER uncomfortable with how many of my fellow Dems only dislike Trump & Trumpism because he has done things you don’t like. But want candidates & a party that dictates like him

Chris Hayes@chrislhayes.bsky.social · 5d ago

Something I think that underlies a lot of debates within the Democratic party and center-left right now is whether or not you think Trumpism has been successful as a political and ideological project. (Not, obviously, whether it's been good or not).

Lmfao you know things are bleak as fuck for the GOP when, according to FiftyPlusOne's new Senate model today, that GA is just as likely to flip as MS is....lol These motherfuckers are about to take it on the chin 😈 fiftyplusone.news/forecast/sen...

I have a hunch that we are going to see some pretty big polls this coming week, in particular tomorrow. Monday is exactly 3 months until the midterms. Perhaps NYT has some new ones coming?

If I’m honest, this feels closer to reality. Like, I won’t be shocked at this point if Talarico wins but I’ll own, I would be VERY shocked if Hinojosa takes down Abbott.

Polling USA@usapolling.bsky.social · 4d ago

Texas Polling Senate: 🔵 Talarico: 48% 🔴 Paxton: 46% Governor: 🔴 Abbott: 50%* 🔵 Hinojosa: 44% Wedgewood / July 31, 2026

Good reminder that people really, really hate states rights being violated….

Opinion Today@opiniontoday.bsky.social · 5d ago

A large majority of Americans want their own states, rather than the Trump administration, to have the final say in how elections are run. (CBS News poll) More, via Opinion Today: opiniontoday.substack.com/p/260731

I hope folks remember what I said awhile back, but I think it’s probably worth echoing daily until the midterms: This administration knows they’re royally fucked. They know they’re about to take it on the chin in the midterms. Their only focus is on making things as painful as possible until then.

Hmm…..

David Crowley@davidcrowley4wi.bsky.social · 5d ago

I'm honored to be endorsed by one of my mentors and a true progressive champion for Wisconsin, @repgwenmoore.bsky.social We are building a coalition with the strength needed to defeat Tom Tiffany and deliver for Wisconsin's working families. Let's get to work.

She’s been pretty disappointing so far but this is a very positive move!

Alex Burness@burness.bsky.social · 5d ago

Abigail Spanberger announced she is restoring the voting rights of about 66,000 people with past felony convictions, reversing the course set by Glenn Youngkin. New in @boltsmag.org: boltsmag.org/virginia-gov...

Uhhh this is literally a HORRIBLE internal for the GOP lol Under the new map, FL-08 is R+16. Showing a 7 point swing left in an internal is…a choice 🤣🤣

Fully agree here. This is a signal from a campaign & a candidate that is increasingly VERY worried. Whew this whole GOP Convention thing is going to be very fascinating. They need Trump’s voters but they also need to be disassociated with him. Tick tock, motherfuckers….

Daniel Gilmore@gilmored85.bsky.social · 5d ago

Between this and his response to the ICE shooting there, pretty clear that the polling showing a close race isnt off base

You know the funniest and most likely outcome is one of Abdul and Hong wins & one losses, thus making literally nobody happy lol All jokes aside, my current gut says the voters are going to send a ton of mixed signals that unfortunately leads to this mess continuing until the 2028 primaries 🤷‍♂️😭

Yea I’m willing to say, Ben would put this race at Lean D without hesitation for me.

NBC News@nbcnews.com · last wk.

For months, Ben Wikler has had discussions with insiders about running for future office, according to three people who spoke directly to him.

Whoever sold their donor list to Gina Hinojosa & Alex Vindman isn’t seeing heaven lol I think I’ve gotten like 10 emails from the two of them combined this week already.

Interesting! In particular that 3rd debate is very late in the cycle!