Gory Pieper 🎃

@coreypieper.com

NWS social media lead, meteorologist, other stuff.

Tropical Storm Rachel will bring hazardous conditions to Baja California and the Southwest this weekend, including damaging winds, flash flooding, and life-threatening surf and rip currents. Coastal flooding and erosion are also expected to worsen. hurricanes.gov

National Hurricane Center forecast issued at 11 AM PDT October 10, 2026, showing Tropical Storm Rachel over the Pacific Ocean southwest of Baja California, with maximum sustained winds of 60 mph and moving northeast at 22 mph. Rachel is forecast to approach the northern Baja California coast Sunday morning before weakening to a tropical depression over the southwestern United States by Sunday evening. Tropical storm warnings (blue) and watches (yellow) are in effect for portions of Baja California and Southern California. The white cone shows the probable path of the storm's center, not the full extent of hazardous conditions.Bild

10PM CT update on #Isaias: A life-threatening storm surge is expected from Dauphin Island, Alabama, to Suwannee, Florida where a Storm Surge Warning remains in effect. Residents in the warning area should continue to follow advice given by local officials.

National Hurricane Center forecast issued at 10 PM CDT October 9, 2026, showing Hurricane Isaias near the Florida Panhandle with maximum sustained winds of 90 mph, moving north at 20 mph. The forecast track takes Isaias inland through Alabama and Tennessee, then northeast toward Kentucky and West Virginia through Sunday evening. Hurricane warnings (red) and tropical storm warnings (blue) cover portions of the northern Gulf Coast and inland areas. The white cone represents uncertainty in the storm center's path, not the full extent of hazardous conditions.NOAA Weather Prediction Center map showing the greatest flash flood risk from Hurricane Isaias over the next three days, October 9–12, 2026. Moderate risk areas (red) extend along the Gulf Coast from near Mobile, Alabama, into the Florida Panhandle, with another area around Atlanta and northward toward Chattanooga. Slight risk (yellow) covers much of Alabama, Georgia, and portions of neighboring states, surrounded by broader marginal risk areas (green). Smaller maps show how the flash flood threat shifts each day.

10/09/2026, 12p ET: This is a reminder that hurricane impacts like damaging winds, flooding rain, tornadoes, and storm surge will impact areas OUTSIDE of the hurricane forecast cone. Keep up to date with the latest forecast for your area by checking your local forecast office at weather.gov.

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How are the words “hurricane” and “California” making their way into so many posts about Tropical Storm Rachel? The thing is forecast to have 40kt winds when it makes landfall in Mexico. Barely even a tropical storm. It is going to rain a lot though.

Isaias is expected to strengthen and be a strong hurricane when it approaches the northern Gulf Coast on Friday. A life-threatening storm surge is expected along a portion of the northern Gulf Coast, and a Storm Surge Warning is now in effect. Residents should follow advice given by local officials.

National Hurricane Center forecast for Tropical Storm Isaias, issued October 7, 2026, at 10 PM CDT. Isaias has maximum sustained winds of 70 mph and is moving east-northeast at 9 mph. The storm is forecast to strengthen into a hurricane before approaching the northern Gulf Coast Friday evening, with its center potentially moving inland across Mississippi and Alabama Saturday. Hurricane warnings are in effect along portions of the northern Gulf Coast. The cone represents the probable path of the storm's center, not the extent of hazardous conditions.National Hurricane Center map showing forecast peak storm surge from Tropical Storm Isaias along the northern Gulf Coast. Storm surge of 5–7 feet above ground level is forecast from Ocean Springs, Mississippi, through Mobile Bay, Alabama, to Indian Pass, Florida. Surrounding coastal areas could experience 3–5 feet near southeastern Louisiana, 4–6 feet east of Indian Pass to the Steinhatchee River, and generally 1–3 feet along portions of coastal Louisiana and the Florida Big Bend. Forecast values represent water heights above normally dry ground.

Please please please stop making a big deal out of the G7 reserves release. Yes, it’s 100 million barrels over 4 months. We - the planet - use 100 million barrels of crude every…single…day. Almost literally a drop in the bucket.

I thought people were being dramatic, claiming others were lying about not hearing this song. 😂 I hadn’t until there were headlines about it breaking a record of some kind a week or so ago. I’ve now heard it 1/6th times. It’s… fine? Kinda like Texas. Been here 23 years. It’s fine.

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I have terrible news for “I don’t watch the news”, “I don’t get political,” etc folks: apathy has demonstrably been the most impactful political stance of our, your parents’, and your grandparents’ times, and it’s never once worked out well.