Croydon For Europe

@croydonforeurope.bsky.social

The cold hard facts: - Farage is vulnerable on his finances. - Big majority think he's dishonest on them. - Even most Reform voters don't think he's honest. - He's failed to convert a poll lead to MP gains. - Poll lead has shrunk from 11% avg last year to 4% avg now. All else is pure misdirection.

Headline voting intention: June 2026
Reform UK
├┫26%
Labour
24%
Conservative
18%
Green Party
┫13%
Lib Dems
11%
Other
┫8%
Reform lead = +2
Base: 1,045 British adults 18+, 25-30 June 2026; Headline Voting Intention: all 9/10 certain to vote, always/usually/it depends vote in General Elections = 745 Margin of error is displayed at +/-4% All polls are subject to a wide range of potential sources of error. On the basis of the historical record of the polls at recent general elections, there is a 9 in 10 chance that the true value of a party's support lies within 4 points of the estimates provided by this poll, and a 2 in 3 chance that they lie within 2 points. This is especially important to keep in mind when calculating party lead figures.
IpsosYouGov Westminster voting intention (28-29 June 2026)
If there were a general election held tomorrow, which party would you vote for? %
Reform UK
24
Conservative
20
Labour
20
Green
13
Lib Dem
13
Restore Britain 3
SNP
3
Plaid Cymru
1
Your Party
1
Other
2
YouGov
28-29 June 2026Do you think Nigel Farage has or has not been honest about his financial affairs?
Politics (7744 GB adults - 8 July 2026)
Has been honest
All
12%
Con
21
Lab
5
Lib Dem
6
Reform
40
Green
2
Has not been honest
60%
44
82
81
22
88
Don't know
29%
35
14
13
39
11
YouGov
What the world thinks

Got rudely woken up by a kraken of a thunderstorm over Croydon. Couldn’t get back to sleep. Remembered today is the 10th anniversary of #EURef, felt gloomy but then found #Cakewatch has returned! One of the best podcasts and much missed! Can’t wait to listen.

Chris Kendall@ottocr.at · last mo.

Steve and I recorded this a couple of weeks ago for release today and, predictably, plenty has happened in the intervening two weeks to reinforce most of what we said to each other. cakewatch.fireside.fm/tenyearslater