Dan Pfeiffer
@danpfeiffer.bsky.social
Pod Save America, Obama White House, Message Box, and some books
Tonight is the culmination of one of the most heated and expensive Democratic Senate primaries in history. The stakes are incredibly high, but they're perhaps highest for the Dem establishment, which threw everything it had at Abdul El-Sayed. www.messageboxnews.com/p/is-michiga...
Is Michigan a Reckoning for the Democratic Establishment?
The Democratic Establishment went all in for Stevens, tonight we find out if it worked.
messageboxnews.com
This thread is excellent - but it’s somehow worse than you can imagine. What Trump is doing here is betting against Americans in the stock market. Let us explain how he’s doing this 👇
Dan Pfeiffer@danpfeiffer.bsky.social · 2w agoTrump does so much crazy, corrupt shit that things can get lost. Last week, Truth Social announced a truly breathtaking pay-to-play scam that will allow Trump and all of his rich friends to get even richer, while everyone else is left holding the bag. messagebox.substack.com/p/trumps-mos...
Trump does so much crazy, corrupt shit that things can get lost. Last week, Truth Social announced a truly breathtaking pay-to-play scam that will allow Trump and all of his rich friends to get even richer, while everyone else is left holding the bag. messagebox.substack.com/p/trumps-mos...
Trump's Most Corrupt Act Yet (Seriously!)
He's selling Wall Street early access to market moving information
messagebox.substack.com
Trump’s speech was incoherent, poorly delivered, and pretty dangerous. It was an act of complete political malpractice that will only exacerbate his immense political problems. www.messageboxnews.com/p/trumps-spe...
Trump's Speech Was Political Malpractice of the Highest Order
The 2026 midterms are about affordability. Trump just told the country that relitigating 2020 matters more.
messageboxnews.com
Democrats tend to think politics is a contest of ideas, or a race to see who can knock on the most doors, but today’s politics is information warfare, pure and simple. Trump and the GOP are trying to take over the media; it's time Dems started fighting back. www.messageboxnews.com/p/trumps-stu...
Trump's Stunning Admission About CNN
What Trump said about CNN wasn't a gaffe. It was a confession.
messageboxnews.com
Yesterday, Mallory McMorrow suspended her campaign, shaking up the most interesting and consequential primary in the country. Here are my thoughts on why her campaign didn't take off, what happens next, and the coming electability debate over Abdul El-Sayed. www.messageboxnews.com/p/michigan-a...
Michigan and the Fight for the Future of the Party
What Mallory McMorrow's exit means for Michigan's Senate primary
messageboxnews.com
The polls are looking really bad for Trump and really good for Democrats, but can we trust the polls or are Democrats headed for yet another poll-induced heartbreak this Fall? Here are some thoughts on the reliability of polling in 2026 and beyond. www.messageboxnews.com/p/can-we-tru...
Can We Trust the Polls in 2026?
Plus a discussion of the Electoral College and the Senate map
messageboxnews.com
Tuesday night's election results have sent shockwaves through the political system. Should the establishment panic? Are Dems really embracing socialism? Is the party moving left? Here are my answers to those important questions. www.messageboxnews.com/p/making-sen...
Making Sense of the Shocking Elections in New York
What the socialist earthquake says about the party, the rise of the left, and whether Democratic leaders should panic
messageboxnews.com
Republicans desperately hope a deal with Iran will get done, the Strait of Hormuz will open, and voters will forget that Trump started (and lost) the dumbest war in history. That is wishful thinking. Here’s why the Iran War will hurt the GOP in November: www.messageboxnews.com/p/why-the-ir...
Why the Iran War Will Still Cost Trump in November
Even if Trump strikes a deal with Iran, mush political damage has been done
messageboxnews.com
Something very dangerous happened last week, and it flew under the radar. Fox News is buying Roku, which will allow the Murdochs to control the home screens of 20% of the country's TVs. This has the potential to be very bad for democracy. Here's why: messagebox.substack.com/p/the-media-...
The Media Merger that Should Really Scare Democrats
The Murdochs are about to have massive influence on what millions of Americans watch
messagebox.substack.com
Barack Obama's library opens today. A lot has changed since he came on the scene, but there is still a lot Dems can learn from Obama messagebox.substack.com/p/what-today...
What Today's Dems Can Still Learn from Obama
Why the most successful Democrat of his generation is worth studying again
messagebox.substack.com
Despite all of the focus on ads, podcasts, and messaging, elections are decided by the big forces that shape American life. Here are the four forces that will determine the midterms this fall messagebox.substack.com/p/the-four-f...
The Four Forces That Will Decide the Midterms
Political junkies obsess over the tactics. The outcome will be decided by something bigger.
messagebox.substack.com
By endorsing Ken Paxton, Trump gave Democrats a massive gift. 2026 will be our best shot to win Texas in a generation. Here’s why www.messageboxnews.com/p/the-case-f...
The Republicans Just Nominated the One Guy Who Could Lose Texas
Ken Paxton is a scandal-plagued nominee. James Talarico is a generational talent. The structural environment is better than 2018. This is the shot.
messageboxnews.com
Trump, his allies, and some credulous reporters are celebrating his big win over Thomas Massie (in a district Trump won by 35 points). They may have won this battle, but Trump and the GOP will likely pay a steep price for Trump's vengeance tour. Here's why: www.messageboxnews.com/p/everyone-t...
Everyone Thinks Trump Won Last Night. They're Wrong
Trump's revenge tour just made the GOP's midterm problem a whole lot worse.
messageboxnews.com
The brand new NYT poll points towards a shellacking for the Republicans, driven by Trump’s putrid political standing, an unpopular war with Iran, and anger about his economic policies. www.messageboxnews.com/p/the-new-ny...
The New NYT Poll Is Devastating News for Republicans
Trump's coalition is cracking, the Iran War is a drag, and Democrats hold a double-digit midterm lead.
messageboxnews.com
Thank you so much. I am so excited about this project - a subscription service for people who work in communications and politics at any level. Get access to strategic guidance, polling analysis, messaging and communications guidance, and access to an incredible community of political pros.
marie@mariej55.bsky.social · 3mo ago@danpfeiffer.bsky.social I have to say that your MessageboxPro is awesome. I have gotten so many great ideas from all the conversations in the channel. If you are helping down ballot candidates this site is awesome. www.messageboxpro.com
The Virginia Supreme Court's ruling is a gut punch. There is no sugarcoating it. But all is not lost; Democrats can still win the House and are at least slight favorites to do so. Here's why: www.messageboxnews.com/p/the-virgin...
The Virginia Ruling Was a Gut Punch. Democrats Can Still Win the House
This morning's ruling killed four Democratic pickups, but there's still hope
messageboxnews.com
@danpfeiffer.bsky.social with a great message memo for Democrats on "misplaced Republican priorities—tax cuts for the rich, forever wars in the Middle East, and ballrooms for political and moneyed elites." And Trump is helping. He "can't shut up" about the ballroom. open.substack.com/pub/messageb...
Why Trump's Ballroom Fixation is a Real Political Problem
Trump is focused on everything but lowering prices
open.substack.com
I can’t emphasize this enough. Trump’s ballroom is incredibly unpopular. People think it’s a dumb, decadent distraction. And now, Republicans want to spend your taxpayer dollars to build it. This is a midterm gift to Democrats www.messageboxnews.com/publish/post...
Why Trump's Ballroom Fixation is a Real Political Problem
Trump is focused on everything but lowering prices
messageboxnews.com
All of the headlines say that the Supreme Court just limited the Voting Rights Act. That’s wrong. The Court gave the GOP the permission to racially gerrymander. Here’s what it means www.messageboxnews.com/p/the-suprem...
The Supreme Court Just Gave the GOP a Massive Gift
What today's ruling actually does, why it matters more than the headlines suggest, and which states are about to redraw their maps.
messageboxnews.com
Ron DeSantis is trying to illegally gerrymander Florida to hold onto the GOP majority. But there's a very good chance that it is going to backfire in a big way. Here's why: www.messageboxnews.com/p/desantis-i...
DeSantis Is Betting the House on Latino Voters Who've Already Left
A new Florida map could backfire for the Republicans
messageboxnews.com
Trump's poll numbers are worse than ever. Republicans are hoping that this is just a blip related to the Iran War and that Trump’s approval might go up before the midterms. Here’s why they are probably wrong. www.messageboxnews.com/p/why-trumps...
Why Trump's Poll Numbers Won't Get Better
An end to war in Iran won't solve Trump's political problems
messageboxnews.com
Some are claiming this gerrymandering escalation was triggered by NY not Texas. That’s false. The NY Dems case is comparable to what NC Republicans did — a battle between the legislature and the courts over the post-2020 map. What Texas did is something else: rip up a map they wanted for a new one.
Last night, Virginia Democrats sent an unmistakable message to the whole party - we want Democrats who will fight fire with fire and push the envelope to stop fascism in its tracks. www.messageboxnews.com/p/what-does-...
What Does the Virginia Win Tell Us About November?
Democrats show what happens when you fight fire with fire
messageboxnews.com
White working-class voters have been Trump’s most loyal supporters and the lifeblood of the MAGA movement. Even they are now fed up with the chaos, corruption, and high costs. Trump is now underwater with this critical group. Here’s what it means, www.messageboxnews.com/p/the-hidden...
The Hidden Story: Trump Is Losing the MAGA Base
A 40-point swing in 14 months — and it's not the voters everyone's writing about.
messageboxnews.com
Pundits and the press keep saying that Tucker Carlson, Megyn Kelly, and Joe Rogan turning on Trump doesn’t matter because MAGA voters are sticking with Trump. That could not be more wrong. Here’s why: messagebox.substack.com/p/why-the-ma...
Why the MAGA Media Revolt Matters Even More Than You Think
Trump's biggest political asset just became a liability
messagebox.substack.com
The calls for the 25th Amendment are understandable but misguided. J.D. Vance and Trump’s cabinet are not accountable to voters in November. We need voters to understand that Trump is only able to act like this because Republicans in Congress let him. messagebox.substack.com/p/the-25th-a...
The 25th Amendment Isn't Coming to Save Us
Trump's deranged behavior has some Democrats selling a fantasy to voters
messagebox.substack.com
