It’s so cool that we have all these AI tools now to free up time to talk about AI tools.
David Powell
@davidpowell.bsky.social
Does stuff at University of Pennsylvania: https://sites.google.com/view/davidpowell/
They’re called standard errors because everyone gets them wrong.
Probabilities can be unintuitive. Take this example: when I drive one kid, there’s a 70% chance that they will need to go to the bathroom within the first 10 minutes of the drive. But if i drive both of them, there’s a 180% chance we will need to stop in the first 10 minutes.
Just read a paper that said “Data is…” when it clearly should say “Data am…”
I wanted to share some notes from spending the day not at NBER: 1) I was a comfortable temperature. 2) I had decent chicken for lunch. 3) I made a casual remark about something and didn’t receive a response using the phrase “diminishing marginal utility” or “reverse causation”
Good reminder of how hard it is to access health insurance for people who are disabled by their conditions but in the waiting period for coverage for SSDI/Medicare. The mortality during the wait period for people with cancer (neoplasms) is nearly 40%. www.healthaffairs.org/doi/epdf/10....
YOU are producing the evidence. End every paper title with “: Evidence from Me”
“It’s like trying to put sunscreen on a three year old” seems like it would be a useful expression.
I invented a shift-non-share instrument but I’m not letting anyone else use it.
To give you a sense of just how long 250 years is…if you had started working on three economics papers on July 4, 1776, you would probably already have two published.
What was the meat version of Arrow’s Impossibility Theorem?
If you review a paper and the authors thank you for the comments and say that they improved the paper, then you can add “influencer” to your bio.
The most underappreciated people in our profession are the ones that select the “best referee” winners and I hope we can find a way to recognize them.
I do worry that economists might use AI to begin writing papers outside of their field.
I have decided to accept a recent compliment of my artwork as “pretty good” though it was given under the impression that our six year old drew them.
Trying to work outside more to improve the external validity of my results.
Your paper shows a clear positive effect. Please add a model which shows that the effect is ambiguous.
This paper tries to do much. Please split it into three papers so we can reject each one individually.
Change the default. Make everyone not thinking about submitting a proposal send a Letter of No Intent.
This playground says that my kids play at their own risk but little does it know that I have mitigated some of that risk through something called a high deductible plan.
If you’re facing a word limit, one way to cut down on words is to delete the limitations section of your paper and then just not have any limitations in your paper.
Do people also hallucinate fake papers? Is that the point of psychedelics?
People don’t seem to realize that diff-n-diff is actually short for “dif and only dif-n-dif and only dif”
Shoutout to eggs for just having lots of protein and not bragging about it everywhere.
Every sentence of your paper should begin with “As discussed below” or “As discussed above”
I wish there were some kind of pancreas for autocorrect fails.
Learn the ecological fallacy — average wages are higher in areas where more people have learned about the ecological fallacy.