Dan Elton

@delton.bsky.social

Science enthusiast and researcher. Founder @metascienceobs.bsky.social . I write about science, metascience, progress studies, AI, and other topics. speak the truth, even if your voice shakes. http://moreisdifferent.blog

New on my Substack! I think I figured out why Xocova is very effective as a COVID-19 prophylactic while Paxlovid is not. Look at the pharmacokinetic profiles of the two regimens - levels of Paxlovid dip dangerously low every 12 hrs, which can allow the virus to get a foothold. Read more 👇

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Interesting difference between Metaculus (a forecast aggregator) and Kalshi (a prediction market) regarding hantavirus… Prediction markets seem to struggle with getting low probabilities right probably because lure of a large return lures in gamblers. There may be other reasons as well.

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Since 2022 the Japanese have had access to Xocova, a once-daily SARS-CoV-2 antiviral that is superior to Paxlovid. It is even approved for prophylactic use in Japan. A critical upcoming FDA decision will determine the fate of this drug in the US. A lot hangs in the balance! Read full🧵below ⬇️

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WSJ and NYT are both reporting Trump will fire FDA chief Makary. Which means it is time to dig out my Substack post from 2024 where I discuss two great candidates who can reform the FDA: Joseph Gulfo, MD and Balaji Srinivasan. (The 3rd person I discuss, Jim O’Neill, is slated to be NSF Director!) 🔗⬇️

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Quarantine, quarantine, quarantine! #hantavirus “The Ushuaia landfill is where Argentinian authorities suspect the Dutch couple inhaled particles from the feces of long-tailed pygmy rice rats, which carry the feared Andes strain of the hantavirus—the only form known to transmit from human to human”

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This Sunday I'll be participating in a livestream where I'll be discussing what I've built so far at @metasciencejournal.bsky.social. I'll also be discussing my website @gene-wizard.bsky.social where you can upload your genetics data and get detailed information on your SNPs & polygenic risk scores.

U.S. Transhumanist Party@transhumanist.bsky.social · 4mo ago

Sunday, 4/12/2026, @ 1 PM Pacific Time, the U.S. Transhumanist Party invites Dr. Dan Elton (@delton.bsky.social) to present on 2 of his scientific projects: The Metascience Observatory (advancing scientific rigor) & Gene Wizard (platform for whole-genome analysis). www.youtube.com/watch?v=SZsu...

The White House is proposing massive cuts to NIH, NSF, and NASA. Meanwhile, they are wasting 2-3 billion A DAY in a misguided and completely counterproductive war in Iran, and asking to increase the already bloated DoD budget by $500 B. I've never been this mad at an administration in my life!

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Moderna CEO: "we've told investors that we will no longer be running phase 3 trials (for vaccines). It's not possible to make a return on investment without access to the US Market" www.bloomberg.com/news/videos/... (quote from around 4:15 in the video)

Moderna CEO Says Vaccine Scrutiny Curbing Trials

Moderna CEO Stephane Bancel says the company does not plan to invest in late-stage vaccine trials because of growing scrutiny of immunizations from US officials. He speaks with Lisa Abramowicz at the ...

bloomberg.com

I am not a fan of Peter Diamandiss and Singularity University! Their “Abundance” conferences are scamy networking events for the ultra-rich. The conference appears increasingly out-of-touch in the light of the growing Abundance movement, which is actually focused on realizing abundance for all! 1/5

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PSA: on Nov 26th the White House's Office of Science & Technology policy released a Notice of Request for Information (RFI), the subject of which is "Accelerating the American Scientific Enterprise". Submit your cool ideas! Deadline to respond is Dec 26th www.federalregister.gov/documents/20...

Notice of Request for Information; Accelerating the American Scientific Enterprise

The Office of Science and Technology Policy (OSTP) requests input from all interested parties on Federal policy updates that aim to accelerate the American scientific enterprise, enable groundbreaking...

federalregister.gov

Take a moment today to send letters to your congresspeople urging them support the National Institute for Healthy Longevity & Aging Research (NIHLAR) and the Advanced Approval Pathway for Longevity Medicines. Both advocated by The Alliance for Longevity Initiatives! actionnetwork.org/letters/driv...

Drive Aging Research Gains by Supporting the Implementation of NIHLAR & AAPLM

Writing to your elected officials is the most direct way to influence the future of aging research and health policy in America. Right now, promising therapies that could prevent age-related disease o...

actionnetwork.org

PSA: tomorrow afternoon (Oct 30th) ekkolapto is hosting an online (Zoom) Salon w/ Niko McCarty from AsimovPress, a one-of-a-kind magazine about scientific progress in biology. Should be really interesting and a great chance to ask Q's to Niko! RSVP here luma.com/asimovpress?...

The Future of Research–In & Out of Academia w/ Niko McCarty from Asimov Press | Computational Philosophy Online Salon · Zoom · Luma

WHAT ⭐️: • Niko McCarty (Asimov Press) (Substack) (Asimov Press on X) (LinkedIn) • Join us as we have an open salon-style discussion on the future of research…

luma.com

Mind First Foundation Chief Scientist Preston Estep has published a review of "If Anyone Builds it Everyone Dies". A key point is that we need more rigorous scientific study of Steve Omohundro's emergent AI drives! Furthermore, AI scientists may help us craft safe AI. s-rsa.com/index.php/ag...

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