Alex Armlovich

@aarmlovi.bsky.social

Housing Program Officer, Abundance & Growth Fund @ CG | Sr. Fellow @niskanencenter🏗️ | Urban Econ 🌐🔰🚋 | @worksinprogress contributor | @opennyforall member | @yimbytown alum | former @cbcny | Legalize housing. Tax land. End poverty with cash

It's very hard to know what the future holds But it's also important to check: "If my reforms win, will they do anything?" It's fine when you're starting to work on messaging bills and half-loaf victories! But your long-run goal has to be SB79 etc. A

Sam@samd.bsky.social · 7d ago

yeah I think it’s very hard to project forward-looking but I also think that by any reasonable BCA, donating to a group like Open New York is infinitely more effective at getting housing built than traditional NPIC groups, particularly since many of those groups are NIMBY so there is no benefit

CG's surrogate endpoint for social BCA on housing advocacy is indeed the expected # of housing units unlocked in metros with the biggest "Glaeser Wedge" estimates A naive approach to this would indeed be naive. But I will write before YIMBYTown on what the non-naive approach looks like!

Ned Resnikoff@resnikoff.bsky.social · 2w ago

One example of the latter is I've heard EA-brained donors ask YIMBY orgs, "If I give X amount to your organization, how many additional units of housing will get built in the next decade?" Not! How! Advocacy! Works!

❗New Article❗ The Great American Property Tax Freakout! Since 2024, many states have radically reshaped their property tax systems.The changes are an example of a national trend of carving out influential groups from taxation, in this case a majority group: homeowners papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers....

The Great American Property Tax Freak Out

There has been a lot of news over the last two years, so it is understandable that neither the mass media nor the legal academy has focused on what is happening

papers.ssrn.com

New AGF blog: Transit-Oriented Development is a surprisingly underrated way to end America’s housing problems Physically realistic capacity near rail alone is >30M homes. Financially plausible capacity is ~6M to 13M. TOD is not just a boutique or niche idea! open.substack.com/pub/abundanc...

Transit-Oriented Development is a surprisingly underrated path to ending America’s housing problems

America’s rail systems are still recovering from 2020, and robot cars are coming. Legalize apartments first.

open.substack.com

Sacramento is also *the* poster child for the power of direct state zoning: The city simply accepted the state-authored SB79 code! No huge planning staff time, little implementation capacity needed. One of way to solve the local implementation capacity problem is to just *write the code for them*

M. Nolan Gray 🥑@mnolangray.bsky.social · 2mo ago

Thanks to a pro-growth local culture and advocacy by YIMBY groups like @sacyimby.bsky.social, California's last great middle-class metropolis will not be going down the inequality-and-stagnation doom loop of the coast. www.bizjournals.com/sacramento/n...

When I started wearing Uniqlo socks as color accents with Chacos & Tevas with flannels or other "LL Bean Boyfriend" outfits, I got a mix of side-eye & compliments Now I'm a pioneer

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E24-24, my proposal to raise the IBC’s single-stair apartment building height limit from three stories to four, has passed the final membership vote, and will now officially make it into the 2027 IBC 🎉

The LVT was authorized under Cuomo, but it's never been used. Very few people wrote about it before @aarmlovi.bsky.social's article for @vitalcitynyc.bsky.social, with one exception: Then-Assemblymember @zohrankmamdani.bsky.social praised value capture and § 119-r in a Jacobin interview in 2022:

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Reed Schwartz@reed-schwartz.bsky.social · 4mo ago

New York State just authorized a land value tax that could generate billions of dollars for new transit. For the @niskanencenter.bsky.social, @aarmlovi.bsky.social and I wrote about how the renewal of § 119-r in the FY27 budget could unlock a virtuous cycle of infrastructure delivery in NYC.

Mayor Mamdani's housing plan is live! There's big sweeping YIMBY stuff: -Aggressive TOD upzoning -Major permitting reform -Rescuing & transforming NYCHA They're also looking at finer details, like fixing the FDNY inspections that so often delay CofO issuance (& invite petty corruption)

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Stephen Jacob Smith@stephenjacobsmith.com · 4mo ago

Mayor Mamdani has announced the Affordable & Efficient Code Reform task force, to convene later this year. The housing plan says that among other things, elevator and plumbing reform will be considered. www.nyc.gov/content/dam/... (pgs. 98-99)

Not yet a *deal* on federal housing bill, but a bipartisan House response to the Senate version! It includes fixes to the Build To Rent ban and avoids eliminating key bipartisan provisions like the Build Now Act We will see what the Senate response is but it's a provisional sign ROAD is back!

Michael McLean@michaelmclean.me · 5mo ago

Federal housing deal seems to be reached, with fixes to allow “build to rent” housing via @aarmlovi.bsky.social punchbowl.news/hr6644_res4_...

New AGF blog: Tokyo is the world's most affordable megacity--and they're still permitting homes at many times the pace of NYC, London, Paris Yet land prices are still very high! A 1-acre suburban home in Chiyoda would cost over $100M before you nail the first board open.substack.com/pub/abundanc...

Tokyo land is still >$85 million an acre

What will happen to the highest-priced metro housing markets after YIMBYs achieve realistic housing abundance?

open.substack.com

A lesser known part of the BUILD plan in Illinois is to stop requiring parking for smaller and medium size homes (regardless of transit proximity), adaptive reuse into housing, and ground floor businesses in mixed use developments Read Jonathan’s 🧵 about why doing that matter so much

Jonathan Berk 🏠@berkie1.bsky.social · 5mo ago

Eliminating parking minimums is not about eliminating parking. It's about moving beyond outdated, 1-size-fits-all mandates, originally based on flawed 1900s formulas, that no longer reflect how people live & that drive up the cost of housing in walkable, transit-oriented areas.