SPOOKIEROS

@k13205.bsky.social

0ω0 what's this? ⟦she/her pronouns kthx丨29丨huge nerdo⟧

Hey #SGDQ2026 is tomorrow, so time to bring my prediction model back up! I've made a couple of updates to fix some details, and though I see a couple of things that need fixing, I don't think I will have sufficient time today to get to them so SAVE THAT FOR FLAME FATALES. btw this graph is sgdq2025

Bild

I really wanna do another image in this style and ya'll are cool so... RAFFLE TIME! Rules: - Follow me! - Repost this! - Leave a comment with your character ref and 3-4 words to describe what you want! I will not be giving a WIP for this! This is very trust-me style so be ready for surprises <3

Bild

Hey, you know what I did on Twitter that I haven't done on here? Watching a random Youtube EAS video and liveblog grading it for its meteorological accuracy. Why don't I do that right now??? (source: one of them just popped up on my youtube feed and i went why not)

RANDOM ART RAFFLE! There will be three winners! Post a ref sheet and a number! It has to be a number nobody else has picked! Please follow me and repost this too! This raffle will be up until tomorrow!

BildBildBildBild

Hey you! Nerd reading this! Do you like hidden role/mechanic social deduction games? I'm running a DIscord one, and need a couple more people to start. It'd be fairly low commitment; you'd only need to do one daily thing. If this sounds interesting to you, lemme know and I can scoot you an invite~

Good morning, and welcome to the last day of #AGDQ2026! We are SOOOO close to hitting that $30M raised for PCF across all events, so let's get that met as soon as possible, then sit back and watch so many great runs for the final day!

Bild

Good morning #AGDQ2026, and welcome to Friday! Last night was so exciting hitting the million, now let's hit the $30 million raised for PCF today! reminder that's at $1,473,392.88 which is very much in reach for tonight.

Current: $1,071,143
Estimate: $2,030,072 with standard deviation $201,056
Quartiles: $1,887,971 to $2,156,966
95% interval: $1,677,315 to $2,462,427

It's the middle of the week in #AGDQ2026, and I am so excited to see what this Animal Crossing run entails~ Just a heads up, I am traveling today so updates may be scant. So, how about we all donate to PCF to make this really jump up whenever I get back

Bild

Good morning #AGDQ2026! After a very successful first day of the marathon yesterday, let's keep going and raise more money for PCF!!! here's hoping i didn't miss too many memes that developed overnight

Current total: $166,350
Estimate: $2,767,143 with standard deviation $474,303
Quartiles: $2,433,496 to $3,069,447
95% interval: $1,921,949 to $3,775,795

The #AGDQ2026 prediction model is LIVE! See pinned post for more details about the model. Yes, the update has made it so that I can actually post predictions as soon as the marathon starts. Here's to another week of Games Done Quick, and let's keep raising money for the Prevent Cancer Foundation!

Model estimates $2,395,287 with a standard deviation of $375,690

It is with pleasure I can announce my updated Games Done Quick prediction model in time for #AGDQ2026! Willing to listen to any suggestions for improving the presentation of the dashboard, as that stuff shouldn't take long to implement.

A Dashboard showing the new prediction model, with data from 9:30 AM on Friday from AGDQ 2025 showing.

So if you remember by #GamesDoneQuick tracker from the last couple of marathons, and normally, this is the time where I remember and update it with the data from last event. Well, I'm rewriting it, and it's getting close to finished~ There's gonna be a lot of cool new stuff with this version.

Model update status:
Backbone is green for Sunday and Weekday, yellow for Saturday.
Data and Weights are green for all three models.
Active is green for Sunday, red for Weekday and Saturday.
Integration is black for Sunday/Weekday, and yellow for Weekday/Saturday.
Final model is red for Data, green for Graph, and yellow for Display.

Hey anyone want to take part in a social deduction, hidden role/mechanics game that I'm running on Discord? I'm two people shy of being able to start. Doesn't need much effort, just like a couple minutes a day at minimum. If this is of interest to you, reply and lemme know so I can send a link.