#ElNiño is favored to persist through early spring 2027, with an 81% chance of a very strong El Niño from October-December 2026. Learn more: wwa.colorado.edu/resources/in... @cires.colorado.edu
Western Water Assessment
@wwanews.bsky.social
WWA is an applied research program that addresses societal vulnerabilities related to weather and water resources.
Pacific Ocean temperatures transitioned to #ElNiño conditions in June. Observed sea surface temperature anomalies were approximately +1.2 °C above average in the Niño 3.4 region, indicating a moderate El Niño. El Niño is favored to persist through winter 2026-27. wwa.colorado.edu/resources/in...
Track current fires and smoke with @wwanews.bsky.social's new Intermountain West Current Wildfires and Smoke Forecast Map! wwa.colorado.edu/current-wild...
Intermountain West Current Wildfires and Smoke Forecast Map | Western Water Assessment
The Intermountain West Current Wildfires and Smoke Forecast Map provides current wildfire location and areal extent alongside the current NOAA National Weather Service Experimental Surface Smoke…
wwa.colorado.edu
In WWA's recent webinar, WWA research scientists Seth Arens and Nels Bjarke provide an update on the 2025-2026 Intermountain West snow drought, followed by an overview of the Western Drought Perspective Tool and the research supporting it. Watch here: wwa.colorado.edu/outreach/eve... #snowdrought
June 1 regional seasonal #streamflow volume forecasts were less than 50% of average for all river basins except the Wind (93%), Shoshone (87%), Yellowstone (80%), Snake (73%), and Bighorn (61%) River Basins. Learn more: wwa.colorado.edu/resources/in... @cires.colorado.edu
“I think Front Range cities will be asked, whether nicely or not, to reduce their Colorado River diversions,” said Jeff Lukas, a water consultant and former @wwanews.bsky.social and CIRES scientist. sentinelcolorado.com/metro/colora...
Colorado River's dire state demands action from urban water users, experts say — few are - Sentinel Colorado
Denver Water and Aurora Water have imposed stage-one drought watering restrictions, but others have not.
sentinelcolorado.com
NEW — @wwanews.bsky.social's report on the 2025-2026 Extreme Snow Drought in the Intermountain West provides information about likely causes of the snow drought, early impacts from record low regional snow-water equivalent, and more! wwa.colorado.edu/resources/ha...
WWA's latest rapid assessment is on the 2025-2026 extreme #snowdrought in CO, UT, and WY. The assessment covers the magnitude of extreme low snow-water equivalent (SWE) conditions in early 2026, likely causes of the snow drought, and more. wwa.colorado.edu/resources/ha... @cires.colorado.edu
In Colorado, seasonal #streamflow volume forecasts suggest 20-40% of average runoff for all major river basins. In Utah, forecasts suggest 10-40% of average runoff for all major river basins. In Wyoming, forecasts were more variable. Learn more: wwa.colorado.edu/resources/in... @cires.colorado.edu
“Ultimately, it's going to take relatively, perhaps even draconian cuts in water (use)... unless there's some major change in how we think about the system operating,” said Seth Arens, a hydrologist at the @wwanews.bsky.social on Aspen Public Radio. www.aspenpublicradio.org/environment/...
Severe Colorado River drought leads to water releases from Upper Basin reservoirs and reduced flows from Lake Powell
The Bureau of Reclamation announced plans to release water from Flaming Gorge Reservoir, and to reduce flows out of Glen Canyon Dam on Lake Powell in an attempt to prop up the Colorado River Basin’s…
aspenpublicradio.org
Ash and sediment from #wildfires can contaminate Colorado's long-term reservoir storage. "Not just for one year or two years, but sometimes for up to eight years," said Ben Livneh, CIRES fellow and @wwanews.bsky.social director, on Denver7 News. www.denver7.com/news/environ...
Colorado wildfires threaten to devastate the state's long-term water supply and reservoir storage
Aurora Water warns that leftover ash and sediment from wildfires can contaminate reservoirs and reduce storage capacity - even years after the flames are out.
denver7.com
Winter never came to Colorado. Ben Linveh, @cuengineering.bsky.social associate professor and director of @wwanews.bsky.social at @cires.colorado.edu explains the "perfect storm" overlap of climate change and natural climate swings. Learn how you can help our water supply ↓ https://bit.ly/4dIFa4P
Winter never came to Colorado. What does it mean for water supplies?
With snowpack at 40% of normal, a CU Boulder hydrologist explains why this year’s snow drought stands out and what it could mean for the Colorado River Basin.
bit.ly
“The notion that a wet April, May, June, might save us is quickly leaving the building,” said Nels Bjarke, a research scientist with @wwanews.bsky.social and CIRES. www.kjzz.org/science/2026...
'Dismal,' 'depressing' and 'seriously dry': Low snow threatens Colorado River water supply
Arizona's water supply could face major cutbacks on the heels of an exceptionally hot, dry winter in the Rocky Mountains.
kjzz.org
The #heatwave during March 2026 was unprecedented in the western U.S. temperature records since 1895. March 2026 average temperatures shattered records in Colorado (by 4.3ºF), Utah (by 5.5ºF), and Wyoming (by 2ºF). Learn more: wwa.colorado.edu/resources/in... @cires.colorado.edu
“It’s going to be a seriously dry summer ahead" — Nels Bjarke, a research scientist with @wwanews.bsky.social and CIRES. www.nytimes.com/2026/04/08/c...
Heat Wipes Out Western Snowpack, Raising Fears of Drought, Wildfire
A record-mild winter and blistering spring heat will mean higher risks of water shortages and wildfires in the months ahead.
nytimes.com
Winter never came to Colorado. What does it mean for water supplies? WWA Director Ben Livneh speaks about how warm and dry this winter was, the cause of this snow drought, and more. www.colorado.edu/today/2026/0... #snowdrought @cires.colorado.edu
Winter never came to Colorado. What does it mean for water supplies?
With snowpack at 40% of normal, a CU Boulder hydrologist explains why this year’s snow drought stands out and what it could mean for the Colorado River Basin.
colorado.edu
Colorado and Wyoming experienced the warmest February on record, and Utah experienced the third warmest February on record. All three states experienced the warmest meteorological winter (December-February) on record. Learn more: wwa.colorado.edu/resources/in... @cires.colorado.edu #temp #wx
KUNR interviewed @wwanews.bsky.social's Seth Arens about Western Water Assessments 2025 Hazards Summary. “It ended up being a very low year for Colorado River stream flow. It was somewhere around 50% of average during 2025." www.kunr.org/local-storie...
2025 brought record drought, wildfires and windstorms to the Mountain West, report finds
A new report finds 2025 brought widespread drought, massive wildfires and destructive windstorms across several Mountain West states — and underscores how closely connected those disasters have…
kunr.org
Western Water Assessment has produced a 2025 hazard summary for the Intermountain West—Colorado, Utah, and Wyoming. Read the report here: wwa.colorado.edu/resources/ha... @cires.colorado.edu #drought #wildfire #flood #hail #tornado #highwind
"We've seen a trend in the last several years—five, eight years—of stream flow forecasts consistently getting worse throughout the late winter, and even into runoff period," said Seth Arens, a scientist at @wwanews.bsky.social & CIRES. www.aspenpublicradio.org/environment/...
Snow drought in upper Colorado River basin is breaking records, setting up for a drier spring
A lack of snow, compounded by warm temperatures, has plagued Colorado, Utah, and Wyoming. That will impact how much water is available come spring runoff.
aspenpublicradio.org
Regional #snowpack and #streamflow volume forecasts are extremely low. Record-low statewide snowpack conditions exist in Colorado and Utah, while Wyoming statewide SWE is 84% of average. Learn more: wwa.colorado.edu/resources/in... #wx #weather @cires.colorado.edu
The entire region experienced much above average (top 10%) to record-warm #temperatures in December. For weather monitoring sites with at least 50 years of data, 50 of 60 sites in Utah had a record-warm December, 31 of 75 sites had records in Colorado, and 34 of 46 sites had records in Wyoming. #wx
Lander, Wyoming, is the latest community to benefit from @ciresnews.bsky.social and @wwanews.bsky.social programs to build flood resilience. The team gathered key community stakeholders and led thoughtful discussions to diagram what they would do in a disaster.
High temperatures coupled with mostly below normal precipitation caused low snow-water equivalent (SWE) and worsening drought conditions in November. Learn more: wwa.colorado.edu/resources/in... @cires.colorado.edu #wx #weather #snowpack #drought
Large areas of the region received 150-200% of normal #precipitation in October, with some locations in northern Utah, southeastern Utah, northern Wyoming, and southwestern Colorado receiving 200-400% of normal precipitation. Learn more: wwa.colorado.edu/resources/in... @cires.colorado.edu
Rapid assessment led by CIRES researchers dives deep into Pagosa Springs' third-largest flood on record. The report compiled by Western Water Assessment includes scientific and historical context to help decision makers and emergency responders buff.ly/7pBWXlz
#Drought conditions improved during September in Colorado and Wyoming, while all of Utah continues to remain in at least moderate (D1) drought. By Sept 30, regional drought coverage was 61%, a 6% improvement since the end of August. Learn more: wwa.colorado.edu/resources/in... @cires.colorado.edu
“Whenever an organization like WWA brings communities into this discussion, you can see a lot of cascading benefits from that,” says sustainability consultant Gwen Garcelon, speaking about the #drought resilience workshop that WWA held in Carbondale in 2018. Learn more: wwa.colorado.edu/impacts
Monthly #streamflow conditions were below to much below normal across large parts of the region during August. Most river basins in Colorado and Utah experienced these conditions, with record-low monthly streamflow observed in the Piedra River and at four streamflow gauges on the White River.
Regional #drought conditions expanded and worsened, especially near the Colorado-Utah border and western Wyoming, where extreme (D3) drought conditions now cover 23% of the region. Learn more: wwa.colorado.edu/resources/in... @cires.colorado.edu