Kevin Nelson

@kevinnelson.theoutfield.nyc

✍️ @theoutfield.nyc

NYCFC are struggling in the boxes in 2026 and their loss to Charlotte felt like a microcosm of that. I took a look at their seasonal trends in the penalty area and how a couple defensive lapses in/around the box cost them vs. Charlotte at @theoutfield.nyc!

outfield.nyc

The Outfield@theoutfield.nyc · 4mo ago

NYCFC's g+ differential in the penalty areas is the worst it's been since 2015. @kevinnelson.theoutfield.nyc looks at how the Pigeons’ futility in the box has the team on a four-match winless streak. Read more here: www.theoutfield.nyc/p/whats-in-t...

“For a player whose DP contract designation often gets more discussion than his defense, New York City is lucky to have him at any price.”

The Outfield@theoutfield.nyc · 4mo ago

Thiago Martins didn’t make the trip with NYCFC to Vancouver and the Whitecaps dismantled everything he usually holds together. @kevinnelson.theoutfield.nyc broke down the defensive collapse and why their captain is so important. theoutfield.substack.com/p/o-captain-...

Quantifying CB performance is super tough, but @kevinnelson.theoutfield.nyc makes it looks super easy to look past the DP tag to see how Thiago Martins ranks among the elite in MLS.

The Outfield@theoutfield.nyc · 4mo ago

Thiago Martins didn’t make the trip with NYCFC to Vancouver and the Whitecaps dismantled everything he usually holds together. @kevinnelson.theoutfield.nyc broke down the defensive collapse and why their captain is so important. theoutfield.substack.com/p/o-captain-...

Wrote some words at @theoutfield.nyc on Vancouver’s dominant performance vs. NYCFC and why (surprise, surprise) the Pigeons really need Thiago Martins.

The Outfield@theoutfield.nyc · 4mo ago

Thiago Martins didn’t make the trip with NYCFC to Vancouver and the Whitecaps dismantled everything he usually holds together. @kevinnelson.theoutfield.nyc broke down the defensive collapse and why their captain is so important. theoutfield.substack.com/p/o-captain-...

Looked into how approach to possession (or resilience to maintain it) changed by game state when writing on NYC vs STL for @theoutfield.nyc. Using avg. possession chain length as a proxy, the avg. change when leading by one goal in '25 was ~-15%, controlling each team's poss. at even game states.

Bild

In looking into the latest NYCFC game, came across some data that the Pigeons may alter their approach to possession more than most when leading by a goal in the Pascal Jansen era. They did so again vs. St. Louis and it cost them, read more words at @theoutfield.nyc!

The Outfield@theoutfield.nyc · 4mo ago

NYCFC dominated possession 58–42 for the majority of the match, then surrendered that advantage entirely in the final stretch and paid for it. @kevinnelson.theoutfield.nyc breaks down why NYCFC didn't come away with three points against St. Louis City: www.theoutfield.nyc/p/puckered

Maxi Moralez (39 y.o.) and Leo Messi (38 y.o.) epitomized the “old man game” when they faced off last week. Just a couple of veteran Argentines controlling the game at half the speed as every one else on the field. Wrote words on their battle on @theoutfield.nyc

The Outfield@theoutfield.nyc · 4mo ago

If NYCFC wants to be a contender this season in MLS, they have some more work to do. @kevinnelson.theoutfield.nyc looks at what went right and what went wrong against Inter Miami and Messi. www.theoutfield.nyc/p/short-kings

Pascal Jansen showed his tactical flexibility vs. Colorado as NYCFC launched and squished their way to another victory. Deep dive into how they did so at @theoutfield.nyc

The Outfield@theoutfield.nyc · 5mo ago

NYCFC usually dominates possession, but last week the Pigeons surrendered nearly 60% of the ball & still won convincingly by pressing Colorado into submission. @kevinnelson.theoutfield.nyc on how Pascal Jansen is one of MLS's most stylistically diverse managers: www.theoutfield.nyc/p/knock-your...

third in a row, @kevinnelson.theoutfield.nyc has yet another great recap out, always must read I’m very lucky not just to be able to break down X’s and O’s with guys post-match, but also have the privilege to experience chatting with KP after a brace given what he’s been through 👇

The Outfield@theoutfield.nyc · 5mo ago

There is more to unpack from NYCFC's 5-0 win over Orlando than just bidding adieu to Óscar Pareja. @kevinnelson.theoutfield.nyc looks at the analytics of red cards & how Pascal Jansen pushing Keaton Parks forward could solve problems for the strikerless Pigeons: www.theoutfield.nyc/p/three-for-...

Turns out it’s easier playing up a man. I wrote about how NYCFC took advantage of their third consecutive opponent red card, this time vs Orlando with some fun Keaton Parks striker stuff.

The Outfield@theoutfield.nyc · 5mo ago

There is more to unpack from NYCFC's 5-0 win over Orlando than just bidding adieu to Óscar Pareja. @kevinnelson.theoutfield.nyc looks at the analytics of red cards & how Pascal Jansen pushing Keaton Parks forward could solve problems for the strikerless Pigeons: www.theoutfield.nyc/p/three-for-...

There was some good and there was some bad from NYCFC in dealing with the Union’s typical chaos. None of it may have mattered as much as referee Chris Penso though, I wrote about it all with @theoutfield.nyc.

The Outfield@theoutfield.nyc · 5mo ago

Philadelphia dialed up the pressure and chaos. Chris Penso tried to be the main character. But it was NYCFC that came away with the three points. @kevinnelson.theoutfield.nyc breaks down how here: www.theoutfield.nyc/p/into-the-c...

I wrote some words on how the Galaxy gave NYCFC some gaps to attack out wide but the Pigeons were unable to capitalize. Some concerning signs from the attack highlight the importance of figuring out a solution at CF and getting a healthy Keaton Parks season.

The Outfield@theoutfield.nyc · 5mo ago

Good News: Pigeons got a point on the road. Bad News: The attack had a very predictable striker-sized hole in the middle of the final third. @kevinnelson.theoutfield.nyc breaks down NYCFC's season opener and why Pascal has more figuring out to do before Sunday. www.theoutfield.nyc/p/stuck-in-f...

Last week’s Montreal v. NYCFC game featured more tactical nuance than I was expecting. I wrote about the battle between acting head coaches Marco Donadel & Mehdi Ballouchy & how NYCFC struggled to find ways to defend Montreal’s inside fullbacks, w/ Dante Sealy as one of the primary beneficiaries.

The Outfield@theoutfield.nyc · last yr.

NYCFC: unbeaten vs East playoff teams, but swept by last-place Montréal. @kevinnelson.theoutfield.nyc breaks down the latest loss—and how Donadel used inside fullbacks to outmaneuver #NYCFC. www.theoutfield.nyc/p/the-poutin...