Hungary's Orban is gone. Will Peter Magyar drastically change Hungary - Russia relationship? Spoiler: don't expect any sudden moves. Meet the new kind of European pragmatism @dioniscenusa.bsky.social for Riddle Russia ridl.io/de-orbanisat...

De-Orbanisation of Hungarian Foreign Policy vis-à-vis Moscow – Riddle Russia

Denis Cenusa on what to expect from Péter Magyar’s Russia policy

ridl.io

The voters of Tisza are unlikely to simply give up if Orban wins again. The trust in the fairness of the electoral process is rather low. The EU has to be ready to step in if mediation is necessary. Via @dioniscenusa.bsky.social 8/end

There are a few features of the electoral events in #Hungary that enable drawing parallels with those in Belarus and Georgia. 🧵 1/

Orbán's rhetoric aligns with Russian narratives portraying Ukraine as a war risk for the EU and a burden on enlargement. This aims to: boost Fidesz's reelection odds and weaken Ukraine in peace talks. @dioniscenusa.bsky.social ridl.io/orban-s-surv...

Orbán’s Survival Pact – Riddle Russia

Denis Cenusa on Orbán

ridl.io

Moldova’s Pro-EU Path Unchanged After Elections: What Are Russia’s Next Steps?, @dioniscenusa.bsky.social writes. ridl.io/moldova-s-pr... #Moldova #Russia #EU

Moldova’s Pro-EU Path Unchanged After Elections: What Are Russia’s Next Steps? – Riddle Russia

Denis Cenușă on What a More Empowered Opposition in Parliament Means for Moldova’s Pro-EU Movement

ridl.io

After the parliamentary elections in #Moldova, the key focus for pro-EU forces should be providing economic growth - otherwise Euroscepticism fueled by Russia will weaken Moldova's European future @dioniscenusa.bsky.social ridl.io/moldova-s-pr...

Moldova’s Pro-EU Path Unchanged After Elections: What Are Russia’s Next Steps? – Riddle Russia

Denis Cenușă on What a More Empowered Opposition in Parliament Means for Moldova’s Pro-EU Movement

ridl.io

Why Moldova Matters | "For the past few weeks, the small nation of Moldova in southeastern Europe has received more attention than it would like. That signals its importance." @dioniscenusa.bsky.social

Why Moldova Matters

For the past few weeks, the small nation of Moldova in southeastern Europe has received more attention than it would like.

cepa.org

If you, inexplicably :-), missed the most recent episode of my 🎙️ #podcast, #TheGlobalAgora, with @dioniscenusa.bsky.social, here it is: ▶️ Moldova's elections: What will happen if pro-Russian forces win? podcasters.spotify.com/pod/show/and... #Moldova #EU #Russia #Putinswar #Ukraine

My latest piece: “Moldova’s Parliamentary Elections: A Test for the EU, a “Revenge” for Russia?” For @ispionline.bsky.social www.ispionline.it/en/publicati...

Moldova’s Parliamentary Elections: A Test for the EU, a “Revenge” for Russia? | ISPI

With parliamentary elections looming on 28 September, Moldova faces a critical juncture. The outcome could either consolidate its pro-EU trajectory under President Maia Sandu’s party or compel a delic...

ispionline.it

Moldova's elections: What will happen if pro-Russian forces win? My 🎙 #podcast, #TheGlobalAgora, with @dioniscenusa.bsky.social. ▶️ ko-fi.com/post/Moldova... If you enjoy what I do, please buy me coffee ☕️. Thank you! #Moldova #Russia #EU #Ukraine #Putinswar

Moldova's elections: What will happen if pro-Russian forces win?

Andrej Matisak published a post on Ko-fi

ko-fi.com

Moldova's elections: What will happen if pro-Russian forces win? My 🎙 #podcast, #TheGlobalAgora, with @dioniscenusa.bsky.social. ▶️ #Apple podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/m... ▶️ #Spotify open.spotify.com/episode/6RVb... ▶️ #Goodpods goodpods.com/podcasts/the... #Moldova #EU #Russia #politics

Moldova's elections: What will happen if pro-Russian forces win? Listen to another episode of 🎙 #podcast, #TheGlobalAgora. I talked to @dioniscenusa.bsky.social. podcasters.spotify.com/pod/show/and... #Moldova #EU #Russia #politics

What does #Cyprus teach the EU about candidate countries with occupied or separatist territories, such as #Ukraine, #Moldova, and #Georgia? An interview with @dioniscenusa.bsky.social, associate expert at the Geopolitics and Security Studies Center (GSSC) newunionpost.eu/2025/09/23/c...

Is Cyprus an example for Ukraine, Moldova, and Georgia?

Cyprus' lack of territorial integrity has never posed existential threats for the EU as a whole. But with the three candidates, the situation could be different

newunionpost.eu

My new paper: “The Black Sea Region and the Impact of the War: geopolitics, geoeconomics and security ‘transversal costs’ and ‘unintended benefits’”. An earlier version of this paper was funded by SONAC, with UK Ministry of Defence. For @gssc-lt.bsky.social www.gssc.lt/en/publicati...

The Black Sea Region and the Impact of the War: geopolitics, geoeconomics and security ‘transversal costs’ and ‘unintended benefits’ | Geopolitics and Security Studies Center, GSSC (previously known a...

gssc.lt

#romania Simion’s victory could have positive implications for Russia broader geopolitical calculations in the EU.His success would mark the first instance since Trump’s victory where MAGA propels sovereigntists in electoral processes beyond USA @dioniscenusa.bsky.social ridl.io/the-russian-...

The Russian versus MAGA Effect on the Romanian Elections: Which Weighs More? – Riddle Russia

Denis Cenusa on why Simion’s victory could have positive implications for Russia’s broader geopolitical calculations in the EU

ridl.io

We are pleased to share that the @consilium.europa.eu has included a publication “Rethinking the EU’s Eastern Partnership: Three Ways to Upgrade Amid Geopolitical Competition” written by the GSSC analyst @dioniscenusa.bsky.social in its list of recommended research for April. Read more:

Think Tank Review - April 2025

EU enlargement and the balance of power in the Council; invest in Europe first; defence expenditure in the context of the EU’s fiscal rules; how the European gas market can wean itself off Russian imp...

consilium.europa.eu

🧭 #EUEnlargementDilemmas No.12 🪆 Russia is emboldening sovereigntist #populism, spreading #disinformation, and weaponising economic hardship, all of which poses a threat to #EUEnlargement. 🤝 @dioniscenusa.bsky.social suggests countermeasures to protect the EU's resilience. 👇 bit.ly/42Cq4rn

🧭 Russia’s hybrid warfare on EU enlargement

Russia’s hybrid tactics — emboldening sovereigntist populism, spreading disinformation, and weaponising economic hardship — threaten EU enlargement.

bit.ly

@dioniscenusa.bsky.social on Romania’s far-right rise, Russian fingerprints, and strategic implications for Moldova

@f16col.bsky.social · 2y ago

ridl.io/romania-s-ra...

In a nutshell: if a far-right guy wins Romania, pro-Russian forces have a much better chance next year in Moldova. These dynamic is observed with great interest from Moscow @dioniscenusa.bsky.social ridl.io/romania-s-ra...

Romania’s Radical Turn and Russia’s Influence – Riddle Russia

Denis Cenusa on Romania’s far-right rise, Russian fingerprints, and strategic implications for Moldova

ridl.io

🌍Regional wake-up call: the EU’s Eastern Partnership is at a crossroads. Our associate expert @dioniscenusa.bsky.social explores how EU, Ukraine, Moldova & others navigate growing geopolitical competition, urging the EU to rethink its Eastern strategy. Read more ⬇️ #Geopolitics #EU

My latest article: “Romania’s Radical Turn and Russia’s Influence” for @RiddleRussia ridl.io/romania-s-ra...

Romania’s Radical Turn and Russia’s Influence – Riddle Russia

Denis Cenusa on Romania’s far-right rise, Russian fingerprints, and strategic implications for Moldova

ridl.io

#Ukraine: Russia and its main ally in Europe, Hungary, are using two levers to undermine Ukraine's willingness to fight on the battlefield: 1) Moscow is slowing down peace talks, negotiating with the US to reduce aid to Ukraine, and making it more susceptible to concessions;⤵️

My latest article: "The Yerevan-Baku “peace” deal and the fate of the EU’s Mission in Armenia" for @gssc-lt.bsky.social www.gssc.lt/en/publicati...

The Yerevan-Baku “Peace” Deal and the Fate of the EU’s Mission in Armenia | Geopolitics and Security Studies Center, GSSC (previously known as Eastern Europe Studies Centre, EESC)

gssc.lt

Peace Between Armenia and Azerbaijan - What’s Next for the EU Mission? What are the prospects for a peace agreement? What is the future of the EU’s EUMA mission? @gssc-lt.bsky.social Associate Analyst @dioniscenusa.bsky.social explores these questions and more in the latest bulletin.

The Yerevan-Baku “Peace” Deal and the Fate of the EU’s Mission in Armenia | Geopolitics and Security Studies Center, GSSC (previously known as Eastern Europe Studies Centre, EESC)

gssc.lt

#Russia_Sanctions: The US is dropping its pursuit of Russian oligarchs as part of its sanctions mechanism against drug cartels and terrorist groups (domestic angle of security): ⤵️

#Azerbaijan: Baku has called for the closure of the Russian House and USAID in Azerbaijan, arguing that it does not need external help. Baku is contesting the external influence.

#Ukraine: The US indicates, through Rubio's comments, the following guiding principles for the negotiations between Ukraine and Russia: 1) both sides must make concessions; ⤵️

#EU_Enlargement: The EU has not applied sanctions to Serbia, but ongoing protests have put pressure on Vučević to resign. In contrast, the nearly two months of protests in another EU candidate country, Georgia, ⤵️

#EU_Enlargement: There is no interest from the EU in escalating sanctions against the Georgian government: 1) HR/VP Kallas highlighted that sanctions on diplomatic passports are in place, but this measure can be circumvented by the proponents of the government in Tbilisi. ⤵️

#EasternEurope: US development aid has been suspended for 90 days (for now, except for Egypt and Israel). USAID is funding projects related to political and regulatory reforms.⤵️