Lachlan Carey

@lrcarey.bsky.social

Manager in RMI's Clean Regional Economic Development initiative. Non-resident fellow at United States Studies Center, Sydney University. Mostly lurking for takes on industrial policy, clean energy, and economics.

13/ For a generation, climate was the hardest collective-action problem. That problem is dissolving—not because multilateralism worked, but because the transition stopped being a sacrifice and became an advantage. Countries act for themselves, and the climate benefits.

The most surreal and maddening feature of the campaign was that everyone agreed that high prices were the main issue but the guy explicitly, consistently running on a platform of raising everyone’s prices won voters most concerned about high prices. We hammered this time and time again and yet.

www.nybooks.com/online/2025/... In the @nybooks.com I offer historical perspectives on the political failure of Bidenomics: a massive program built thru business and nonprofit welfarism. Market-making, as I call it, has its place, but it must be embedded within more direct social benefits.

Bidenomics: Farewell to an Idea?  | Brent Cebul

As the Democratic Party reckons with another loss to Donald Trump, no issue looms larger than its continued hemorrhaging of working-class voters. It’s not

nybooks.com

Climate advocates might feel hopeless with Pres-elect Trump returning to the WH. They shouldn’t. I wrote about how to make progress for NYT 1. Focus on innovation and industrial strategy 2. Be pragmatic about fossil fuels 3. Expand the interests that gain from decarbonization

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US power demand now projected to grow by 128 GW by 2029! Last year, Grid Strategies broke the news that utilities and system operators had doubled their forecasts for electric demand growth from 2022 – a sudden jump driven by data centers and industrial load, among other factors.🧵 1/4 🔌💡

Map showing six regions with highest load growth: ERCOT (Texas), PJM (Northern Virginia), Georgia Power, MISO, Pacific Northwest and SPP

Chart of the Day: New Clean Investment Monitor data is out, so time to update the IRA growth chart. SAF and carbon management are now so far off the chart it's starting to look silly. EV supply chain manufacturing, solar, and hydrogen continue to grow rapidly, as do EV sales and storage deployment.

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Well this jumped out at me: "the value of China’s clean technology exports is set to exceed USD 340 billion in 2035, based on today’s policy settings. This is roughly equivalent to the projected oil export revenue of both Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates combined in 2024." -IEA ETP, 2024

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Chart of the Day: Required Critical Mineral Supply w/ and w/o Recycling. Source: IEA, 'Recycling of Critical Minerals' Note how copper and cobalt barely budge w/ recycling. Huge challenge building out lithium and nickel supply out to 2040.

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Very cool paper from @conorwalsh.bsky.social & Arkolakis. This really stood out: "when energy is provided by accumulable capital, as in the case of renewables, rather than exhaustible fossil fuels, innovation resources can be redirected to broad innovation and increase the aggregate growth rate"

NBER@nber.org · 2y ago

The economic impacts of moving to a renewable-dominated grid in the US, from Costas Arkolakis and Conor Walsh https://www.nber.org/papers/w33028