📅 Happening July 9! Register now for our webinar on the latest in the #USMCA review process with trade experts David Gantz, @simonlester.com, @meredithlilly.bsky.social & @inumanak.bsky.social. 🔗 bit.ly/4we622H

My latest for CD Howe on Canada's tricky path to the USMCA review, and negotiating the tariff relief needed from the US to journey forward. cdhowe.org/publication/...

Link to my full discussion on trade diversification on TVO this week.

The Rundown@therundowntvo.bsky.social · last yr.

If the U.S. is an unreliable trade partner, where does Canada seek new trade deals, or strengthen existing agreements? Is it even possible to replace the U.S.? @jeyantvo.bsky.social asked @meredithlilly.bsky.social (@npsia.bsky.social), Julie Nguyen (@yorkuniversity.bsky.social), and Mark Warner.

I’ll be on TVO’s TheAgenda tonight talking about trade diversification, amidst Canada-US trade tensions. Tune in!

The Rundown@therundowntvo.bsky.social · last yr.

U.S. protectionism is forcing Canada to look further afield for trade partners. What does that look like? Tonight at 8/11pm with Julie Nguyen ( @yorkuniversity.bsky.social), Mark Warner (MAAW Law), @meredithlilly.bsky.social (@npsia.bsky.social) and @jeyantvo.bsky.social at 8/11pm #cdnpoli #cdnecon

My interview w FP's Gabe Friedman on changing Cda-US trade relations under Trump 2.0: - Tariffs as sanctions & the power of threats; - Canada’s unhelpful public debates on retaliation & what Mex is doing right; - Cdn options as US leadership & coop decline. open.spotify.com/episode/0N0K...

How Trump is pouring gas on the fire of de-globalization

Down to Business · Episode

open.spotify.com

The closest recent approximation of a country-by-country, product-specific tariff is the EU's CBAM. In a shocking development, the EU learned CBAM is administratively complex and onerous, and offers limited benefits. So, now they plan to ditch 80% of it.. www.reuters.com/sustainabili...

EU considers exempting most companies from carbon border levy

The European Commission may consider scaling back its carbon border levy to just 20% of the companies covered by the scheme, because they account for nearly all of the emissions involved, the EU's head of climate policy said on Thursday.

reuters.com

Something I wrote on reciprocity in trade negotiations, particularly between partners of very different size and influence. Though this excerpt is from a chapter on temporary entry provisions, the reciprocity point is broader. Full chapter here: amazon.ca/Canadas-Flui...

I enjoyed the conversation last week with economist colleagues @trevortombe.bsky.social, Stephen Tapp, and Dan Ciuriak on Canadian policy toward Trump, tariffs and trade moving forward. Thanks CABE for organizing. Watch it here: cabe.ca/webinar/cabe...

My comments in today's Toronto Star on Canada's trade diversification challenges. And for the trade nerds, gravity even got a shoutout in a major Cdn daily. www.thestar.com/politics/fed...

My interview on the future trade implications of Canada's Digital Services Tax and Online Streaming Act during Trump 2.0: www.theglobeandmail.com/canada/artic...

Canada’s digital services tax and online regulation bills are likely Trump trade targets

Donald Trump’s executive order directs the U.S. treasury secretary to investigate countries with tax rules that are ‘extraterritorial or disproportionately affect American companies’

theglobeandmail.com

My interview with Gabe Friedman of the FP on Canada's EV supply chain in light of Trump 2.0 and linked IRA investments: financialpost.com/commodities/...

Fate of $100 billion in Canadian EV projects in doubt as political landscape shifts

Trudeau steps down, Trump steps in, leaving some to wonder whether the burgeoning battery and EV supply chain will survive. Read more here

financialpost.com

My conversation with CD Howe Inst on Trump, tariffs and the threat to Canada: www.cdhowe.org/publication/...

Trump's Tumultuous Tariff Threat with Meredith Lilly and Daniel Schwanen – C.D. Howe Institute

Donald Trump isn’t backing down from his threat to hit Canada with 25 percent tariffs. But Canada is fighting back. Michael Hainsworth speaks with Meredith Lilly of Carleton University and Daniel Schw...

cdhowe.org

Many seem surprised that Trump supports the H-1B program. But his openness to the program has been consistent over time. I wrote about it in this 2021 chapter comparing the US H-1B and Canadian TFW program reforms (1/4):

My new podcast with Chris Hernandez-Roy of the Center for Strategic and International Studies @csis.org on addressing Canada-US trade relations under Trump 2.0. I also touch on the role of Cdn political uncertainty on the signals being sent/received in US & Mex. www.csis.org/podcasts/35-...

Trade, Tariffs, and the Future of U.S.-Canada Relations | 35 West | CSIS Podcasts

In this episode, Christopher Hernandez-Roy sits down with Dr. Meredith Lilly, Professor and Simon Reisman Chair in International Economic Policy at Carleton University and former Foreign Affairs and I...

csis.org

Great and informative piece on provincial differences to US tariff exposure by @trevortombe.bsky.social .

Trevor Tombe@trevortombe.bsky.social · 2y ago

About 2.4 million jobs are exposed to U.S. tariffs, and about 300,000 of those jobs are at suppliers to exporters in another province. My latest on @TheHubCanada on what Trump's threats mean for workers: thehub.ca/2024/12/12/... #cdnecon #cdnpoli

After some recent remarks from Canadian officials on Mexico as a “back door” for Chinese products to enter the Canadian/US markets, I had the opportunity to provide my two cents over at the IELP blog. (Thanks @simonlester.com!) ielp.worldtradelaw.net/2024/12/gues...

Not sure why the US’s efforts to limit exposure to ICJ judgement on climate obligations is surprising. Pretty standard for US to seek to limit multilateral institutions from infringing sovereignty and exposing US to higher obligations than exist domestically. 1/3 www.theguardian.com/environment/...

Fury as US argues against climate obligations at top UN court

US says current climate rules are satisfactory, prompting condemnation from activists and vulnerable countries

theguardian.com

ICYMI last week. Reposting my conversation with Sean Speer at TheHub on Trump, tariffs and the trade consequences of Canada's Online Streaming Act for USMCA. thehub.ca/podcasts/can...

‘Canadians can’t panic’: Meredith Lilly on Canada-U.S. trade relations and how the Online Streaming Act is making things worse

thehub.ca

Check out my latest conversation on Trump, tariffs and the consequences of Online Streaming Act for Canada-US relations moving forward. Podcast with Sean Speer at The Hub. open.spotify.com/episode/4wYJ...

Hub Dialogues: Meredith Lilly on Canada-U.S. trade relations and how the Online Streaming Act is making things worse

Hub Podcasts · Episode

open.spotify.com

If you are into podcasts, here's one from Trade Knowledge Matters with me and @meredithlilly.bsky.social as guests, in which we talk about: statutes Trump might use for tariffs; the USMCA 2026 review; digital trade conflict; US-China trade relations; and the WTO.

Great conversation with Trade Knowledge Matters and @simonlester.com on trade with the US in the coming months.

Simon Lester@simonlester.com · 2y ago

If you are into podcasts, here's one from Trade Knowledge Matters with me and @meredithlilly.bsky.social as guests, in which we talk about: statutes Trump might use for tariffs; the USMCA 2026 review; digital trade conflict; US-China trade relations; and the WTO.

Is focusing on the ‘win-wins’ the right way to deal with Trump, as Trudeau advises here? www.ctvnews.ca/politics/tru...

Trudeau says APEC leaders focused on how to trade with Trump administration

Prime Minister Justin Trudeau is meeting with South American leaders in Peru today, in his second day at the Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation summit.

ctvnews.ca

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