Ivo Daalder
@ivodaalder.bsky.social
Former US Amb @NATO. Now Senior Fellow @BelferCenter. Host World Review Podcast. Author America Abroad Substack. Policy Wonk. Dog lover. Baseball fan. New Chicagoan. Old Dutchman.
Secretaries of State travel the world, to our biggest allies and to address the most pressing issues. But Marco Rubio does neither. His solo travels take him where assistant secretaries go. Rarely the boss. open.substack.com/pub/ivodaald...
The Diplomatic Cable 009: Where is Mario?
Tankers are moving through Hormuz again, under American guard. America First went to war alone, got stuck, and is now doing exactly what the global leader it scorned used to do.
open.substack.com
Oil may be flowing through the strait, but at the unsustainable cost of keeping the US Navy stuck in the Arabian Sea. Trump has proven the failure of America First and that success requires the help of allies he has spent a lifetime denouncing. newsletter.ivodaalder.com/p/the-diplom...
The Diplomatic Cable 008: Oil Is Flowing, but at What Cost?
Tankers are moving through Hormuz again, under American guard. America First went to war alone, got stuck, and is now doing exactly what the global leader it scorned used to do.
newsletter.ivodaalder.com
This week: How Anthropic turned to religious leaders to create a “moral” agent; a former head of US intel worries about China misreading the US and a former UK head of intel worries about Putin; and a look at how Russia is preparing for Doomsday. newsletter.ivodaalder.com/p/what-caugh...
What Caught My Eye (no. 81)
Some interesting articles and podcasts that caught my eye this week
newsletter.ivodaalder.com
Latest Diplomatic Cable: UK PM Burnham opens the door to Britain rejoining the EU. Economics is the true driving force, but Trump’s Washington is making the choice clearer by the day. newsletter.ivodaalder.com/p/the-diplom...
The Diplomatic Cable 007: From Brexit to BackIn?
Burnham says Brexit has done more harm than good and puts rejoining the EU on the table. It is Carney's middle-power project arriving in London, and a break with Washington.
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Europe wants more meetings to address the Russian hybrid threat. Instead, it should task NATO’s commander to develop a menu of options that is announced publicly. No need to tell Russia how and when it will respond; only that it will respond. newsletter.ivodaalder.com/p/the-diplom...
The Diplomatic Cable 006: Europe Needs a Menu, Not Another Meeting
Von der Leyen wants an EU version of NATO's Article 4. Europe's real gap is pre-agreed responses, and only NATO's command can supply them.
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This week: China’s oil average, what Congress needs to know about AI. concerns about Ukraine, and what lies behind the German far-right’s ascendence. newsletter.ivodaalder.com/p/what-caugh...
What Caught My Eye (no. 80)
Some interesting articles and podcasts that caught my eye this week
newsletter.ivodaalder.com
On World Review this week: Trump claims victory while the world knows he’s losing. Europe frets about Russia but doesn’t know what to do. What do German far-right victories mean for Europe. With Karen DeYoung, @stevenerlanger.bsky.social, Jamie Dettmer newsletter.ivodaalder.com/p/world-revi...
World Review: Trump's Busy Week, Russia Threatens, The Far Right Wins in Europe
A synopsis of this week's edition of World Review
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European warnings about the Russian threat point to two real worries: an accident that kills scores or a miscalculation that triggers a war. Both can be avoided by sending Putin a clear message: “We see what you are doing. Don’t. We will respond.” open.substack.com/pub/ivodaald...
The Diplomatic Cable 005: Is the Russian Threat to Europe Real?
Avoiding an accidental strike or miscalculation by Putin, Europe needs to unite behind a clear message: We see what you are doing. We will respond. Don’t risk a war you won’t want and can’t win.
open.substack.com
New Diplomatic Cable: A look at how Xi has Trump’s number and what Trump can do about it before it is too late. First step: don’t go to Andrews to meet Xi’s plane. It’s no sign of respect; it’s a sign of deference that Xi will see as weakness. newsletter.ivodaalder.com/p/the-diplom...
The Diplomatic Cable 004: Mr. President, Xi Has Your Number
A regular update on events in the world
newsletter.ivodaalder.com
Seven months to get a Greenland deal we could have had in days. Greenland stays part of Denmark. No American flag. US security comes from alliances and treaties, not owned territory. On the @bbcnewsunofficial.bsky.social : newsletter.ivodaalder.com/p/seven-mont...
Seven Months to Get Back Where We Started
On the BBC: the Greenland deal, and why the new Russia sanctions won't change Putin's math
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Seven months to get a Greenland deal we could have had in days. Greenland stays part of Denmark. No American flag. US security comes from alliances and treaties, not owned territory. On the BBC: newsletter.ivodaalder.com/p/seven-mont...
Seven Months to Get Back Where We Started
On the BBC: the Greenland deal, and why the new Russia sanctions won't change Putin's math
newsletter.ivodaalder.com
On World Review: Will the Fed rate rise steady the economy? Is Carney’s swoon in Europe for real? Has the Middle East become a tinderbox? Find out by listening to my conversation with Martin Wolf, @spiegelpeter.bsky.social , and @missy-ryan.bsky.social . newsletter.ivodaalder.com/p/world-revi...
World Review: Fed Raises Rates. Carney Swoons Europe. Saudis Confront Houthis.
A synopsis of this week's edition of World Review
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My latest Diplomatic Cable: Congress has just given Trump another blank check to cash in the way he wants rather than they attend. Punishing Russia is the necessary, but this is the wrong way to do it. newsletter.ivodaalder.com/p/the-diplom...
The Diplomatic Cable 003: Congress Hands Trump New Tariff Weapon
A regular update on events in the world
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Russia’s escalation is getting more brazen. NATO needs to respond. Here is how. newsletter.ivodaalder.com/p/enough-sho...
Enough. Shoot Them Down.
Russia’s targeting of a train line that carried European dignitaries from Ukraine to Poland is the latest provocation to demand a concerted response.
newsletter.ivodaalder.com
Before 9/11 CIA Director Tenet warned his “hair is on fire.” AI executives are now doing the same in warning about their technology. But like in 2001, the White House, led by Trump, isn’t listening. We may all pay a much bigger price. newsletter.ivodaalder.com/p/the-diplom...
The Diplomatic Cable 002: Avoiding an AI 9/11
A regular update on events in the world
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This week -- a look at what we learned -- and didn't learn -- after 9/11. newsletter.ivodaalder.com/p/what-caugh...
What Caught My Eye (no. 78)
Some interesting articles and podcasts that caught my eye this week
newsletter.ivodaalder.com
I’m in the same place I was exactly 25 years ago: on a plane from Europe back to the United States. Looking back on that day, the days that followed, is to realize the mistakes we made, the opportunities we lost, and the lessons we failed to learn. newsletter.ivodaalder.com/p/25-years-a...
25 Years Ago Today
Reflections on the day America was attacked -- what came after -- from the same spot I found myself 25 years ago today.
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This week, a special World Review looks back 25 years, to the terrorist attacks on New York, Washington, and Pennsylvania, and their aftermath, with 3 Belfer colleagues. open.substack.com/pub/ivodaald...
World Review: 25 Years After 9/11 — A Look Back
A synopsis of this week's edition of World Review
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There is something profoundly wrong with a society in which the producers of a technology they say can kill all humanity nevertheless accelerate the production of that technology and governments are standing by doing nothing. www.axios.com/newsletters/...
Axios AM - ⚡ Insiders warn AI could kill all humans
axios.com
A new feature on America Abroad — The Diplomatic Cable. Number 001 addresses the Witkoff-Kushner visit to Moscow and Kyiv. newsletter.ivodaalder.com/p/the-diplom...
The Diplomatic Cable 001: Witkoff and Kushner Visit Moscow and Kyiv
A regular update on events in the world
newsletter.ivodaalder.com
Witkoff and Kushner are going to Moscow to present gifts of better economic relations if the war ends. It’s not going to work, I tell CNN in an in-depth interview earlier today. newsletter.ivodaalder.com/p/putin-gets...
Putin Gets a Three-Day Break From Bombing. That's Not a Peace Plan.
I talked to Bianna Golodryga about the Witkoff and Kushner visit to Moscow and why peace was not likely at hand.
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Zondag in #buitenhof @ministerocw.bsky.social Rianne Letschert; oud-ambassadeur bij de NAVO @ivodaalder.bsky.social; oud-minister van Justitie en Veiligheid Ferdinand Grapperhaus; schijfster Connie Palmen. 12:10 op NPO1. Lees meer: bit.ly/buitenhof-6-...
This week: When 10 “Manhattan Projects” compete, even an AI Hiroshima won’t lead to global regulation, “civilizations” takes over the MAGA Right, John Roberts’ institutionalism, and (NEW!) my favorite video and podcasts. Enjoy! newsletter.ivodaalder.com/p/what-caugh...
What Caught My Eye (no. 76)
Some interesting articles and podcasts that caught my eye this week
newsletter.ivodaalder.com
This week on World Review: Canada goes to war, the US returns to economic pressure, and Trump’s coercive playbook is faltering. With Matina Stevis-Gridnef, @prashantrao.bsky.social and @antonlaguardia.bsky.social. newsletter.ivodaalder.com/p/world-revi...
World Review: US Canada Trade War, Economic D-Day, Trump's Playbook Falters
A synopsis of this week's edition of World Review
newsletter.ivodaalder.com
When you send the CIA Director to Moscow, standard diplomacy has already failed. I sat down with @BloombergTV to break down Ratcliffe’s trip and why personal rapport is no substitute for strategy. Watch the clip & read my full post 👇 newsletter.ivodaalder.com/p/sending-th...
Sending the CIA Director to Moscow Shows Washington Is Flying Blind
My interview with Bloomberg TV on why the CIA Director went to Moscow, what it shows about the US approach to Russia, and more.
newsletter.ivodaalder.com
Joined @CNN to break down the growing alignment between Russia, North Korea, China, & Iran. Trump says Kim Jong-Un respects him, but dictators follow hard power, not personal rapport. Watch the clip 🧵👇 youtu.be/H4II7TBwXuY?...
While Trump Kisses Up to Kim Jong-Un, North Korea Sends Troops to Ukraine
YouTube video by Ivo Daalder
youtu.be
This week, an interview with Carlos the Jackal, a deep look at Xi Jinping, AI and China, and an extraordinary and chilling account of what it is like to be an intelligence officer in this administration who happens to be transgender. newsletter.ivodaalder.com/p/what-caugh...
What Caught My Eye (no. 75)
Some interesting articles and podcasts that caught my eye this week
newsletter.ivodaalder.com
I spoke with @eosnos.bsky.social, Sebastian Mallaby, and @marietjeschaake.bsky.social about how AI is changing the World. An often-chilling conversation about the technology, the people behind it, and how very different societies are trying to cope. newsletter.ivodaalder.com/p/world-revi...
World Review: How AI Is Changing the World
A synopsis of this week's edition of World Review
newsletter.ivodaalder.com
America's enemies have Trump's number — they've played him like a fiddle at every turn. Rather than push back against our enemies, Trump takes it out on our friends. There’s a lesson here for allies: Bullies stop hitting when you hit back. newsletter.ivodaalder.com/p/they-have-...
They Have Trump's Number
America's enemies have Trump's number — they've played him like a fiddle at every turn. Rather than push back against our enemies, Trump takes it out on our friends.
newsletter.ivodaalder.com
A new Pentagon questionnaire sent to America's 31 NATO allies puts fealty above common interests, divides the allies among themselves, weakens collective defense, and ultimately could destroy NATO. open.substack.com/pub/ivodaald...
This is How NATO Dies
A new Pentagon questionnaire sent to America's 31 NATO allies puts fealty above common interests, divides the allies among themselves, weakens collective defense, and ultimately could destroy NATO.
open.substack.com