Bryan Smith

@cubsmith.bsky.social

Prospecting Since Patterson

A couple 20-year-olds in A+ with identical OPS: Zyhir Hope: .300/.383/.506, 147+, 11.3 BB%, 23.7 K%, 72.2 Contact% Jefferson Rojas: .301/.389/.500, 145+, 10.8 BB%, 19.1 K%, 80.7 Contact%

We heard when Counsell joined that empowering young players to bridge success from the minors to Majors was one of his strengths. There might be other examples of him doing it, but how he’s built Palencia’s confidence up in the last few weeks is now example 1A. You can *see* his self belief growing.

Never a good idea to get too high on a player at his peak moments or too low on a player in his valleys. So let me offer some Ben Brown optimism today. Number of 4-seams in a game that exceed both 96 mph and 18 IVB (rising impact). Look at the top 2; they’re actively working on improved shape.

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Jaxon Wiggins makes his Double-A debut tonight. His numbers in High-A were comical: 26.1 IP, 1.71 ERA, 0.99 WHIP 29.5 K%, 12.4 BB% 17.3 SwStr%, 32.9 CSW% .143/.257/.231//.488 opp slash

Looks like MiLB’s free game of the day is Cade Horton on the mound at 10:05 am central, so you’re welcome for ruining your work day. I’ll dump some observations during the game in here. Big thing to look for is if Horton can pass the 80-pitch mark. Has yet to do it as a pro, but 76 last outing.

My upper deck seat yesterday had me looking straight up the line at third base, and I’m still in absolute disbelief that Gage Workman wasn’t charged an error and Porter Hodge wears all those runs. Respectfully, that was not a difficult Major League play. A brutal whiff. And, HA, didn’t matter!

Fantastic West Coast trip for the Cubs. Some hints of bad habits at the plate there at the end, Amaya on Tuesday, even Tucker on Wednesday, so you couldn’t ask for better timing for a day off ahead of a hard weekend of opposing pitchers. Grind until May 11 and prosper thereafter. 21 down, 20 to go.

Felt like a B- day for Cade Horton on the mound today. Fighting slider command, fastball ride wasn’t quite at the standard of the first 2 starts. And yet, 5 IP, 1 H, 1 R. And most importantly, 76 pitches. Most since May 22 last year. May call up comin’

So Moisés Ballesteros just hit his first home run of the year. That was cool, you’ll see the great videos of that soon enough. But let’s talk about his last 30 at-bats: .467 AVG .500 OBP .733 SLG ONE STRIKEOUT

One of the first breakouts in the Cubs system I can definitely point to in 2025 is Grant Kipp, the 25 yr old out of Yale in his 4th pro season. After two AA starts, Kipp’s numbers: 10 IP, 3 H, 1 ER, 2 BB, 13 K. 34.3 CSW%. SIX pitches, including top 3 slider in the system.

My son, 10, has only yet had 2 favorite players. Anthony Rizzo and Mo Salah. After the unceremonious exit of Rizz, it would have been so disheartening to see FSG let Salah walk after *this* season. So, very thankfully: the king has returned. Ynwa.

If you had to name one thing that PCA’s increase in bat speed — 26th percentile to 67th percentile this offseason — would best help with, fastballs would have been a good guess. And so would timing up a few more barrels. And yet, 0 barrels and 255 wOBAvFB thus far. Disconnect needs solving.