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Dustin Gouker

@dustingouker.bsky.social

Sports betting and gambling industry consultant/analyst. Pennsylvanian turned Oregonian. Love and hate all Philly sports. GWU alum. Find my words at: https://closingline.substack.com/ Consulting work: https://closinglineconsulting.com/

163 Posts242 Follower174 Folgt
Drew Harwell@drewharwell.com · 5mo ago

. @amandalfischer.bsky.social: “How is an 86-year-old theocratic leader supposed to lose his power other than through death?” @dustingouker.bsky.social: “They could have easily made the title ‘by way other than death,’ but that’s obviously not as exciting to trade" Gift link: wapo.st/4slNDyG

Bettors wagered $54 million on Khamenei’s death. Now they’re not getting paid.

Kalshi, a prediction market site, has sparked outrage after freezing $54 million in bets on the death of Iranian leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, citing a rule against profiting from death.

wapo.st

Sean Keeley@seankeeley.bsky.social · 5mo ago

"One of the points of prediction markets is supposed to be getting us to “the truth” and probabilities of real-world events. This whole episode was basically the polar opposite of that at Kalshi." - @dustingouker.bsky.social

The Chaos of Khamenei Prediction Markets

As the world became aware that the US and Israel had conducted strikes against Iran, many were discovering for the first time that traders were wagering on outcomes related to those strikes.

bit.ly

Dustin Gouker@dustingouker.bsky.social · last yr.

I was on Twitter for a bit to get some engagement for my new newsletter, and 1. It still doesn’t work for getting people to read content and 2. It’s still terrible there. I will try not to relapse.

Dustin Gouker@dustingouker.bsky.social · 2y ago

The Packers fan who filmed the asshole Eagles fan also getting put in a body bag is the good stuff. www.barstoolsports.com/blog/3536101...

Upon Further Review, It Would Appear The Packers Fan Who Recorded Incident In Philly Is Also A Gigantic Loser

Before we get going here let me just start off by saying this is the last blog I'm writing about this subject. I don't care if anymore updates come out of it. I am so ungodly sick of this story and ca...

barstoolsports.com

Dustin Gouker@dustingouker.bsky.social · 2y ago

Was on Twitter for a hot second, and the third entry under the "news" tab for news about DefSec nominee Pete Hegseth came from Libs of Tik Tok, if you're wondering how things are going over there.