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Boz

@bloggingsbyboz.bsky.social

Founder of Hxagon. Global Fellow at the Woodrow Wilson Center. Weekly Columnist at World Politics Review. SuperForecaster at GJI. Probably a few other things too. Mostly writing about Latin America.

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World Politics Review@wpr.bsky.social · 3mo ago

A very strong El Niño could hit Latin America by winter, and many of the governments in its path are already struggling with low approval ratings. While no president controls the rain, every president will own the consequences, James Bosworth (@bloggingsbyboz.bsky.social) writes.

El Niño Will Bring More Than Just Bad Weather to Latin America

Past El Niño events triggered blackouts, droughts and migration. A new one will test already fragile political systems across Latin America.

worldpoliticsreview.com

World Politics Review@wpr.bsky.social · 5mo ago

Less than three weeks into his term, Chile’s new president is already facing protests over fuel prices driven by the Iran war. As WPR columnist James Bosworth (@bloggingsbyboz.bsky.social) writes, that reflects the extraordinary risks the region faces if the war drags on.

The Iran War Casts a Pall Over Latin America’s Prospects

The economic and political impact already felt from the Iran war hints at the risks the region faces in the event it lasts much longer.

worldpoliticsreview.com

World Politics Review@wpr.bsky.social · 6mo ago

The conventional wisdom is that Chile’s outgoing President Gabriel Boric was a failure. But as WPR columnist James Bosworth (@bloggingsbyboz.bsky.social), that verdict ignores a string of successes he achieved long after being written off as a lame duck.

Chile’s Boric Was Not the Failure He Is Made Out to Be

Boric accomplished a string of policy successes long after he had been declared a lame duck for having lost the constitutional reform process.

worldpoliticsreview.com

Judah Grunstein@judah-grunstein.bsky.social · 6mo ago

"For Trump and his team, removing the people running states and criminal groups that threaten the U.S. is decisive, because individual leaders matter more than systems or institutions. It is a 'kingpin strategy' on a global scale." I wish I'd come up with that, @bloggingsbyboz.bsky.social!

U.S.-Mexico Cooperation on the El Mencho Raid Obscures Deeper Divides

Mexico and the U.S. measure the success of any individual mission—as well as the overall campaign against cartels—differently.

worldpoliticsreview.com

World Politics Review@wpr.bsky.social · 6mo ago

The El Mencho raid was a genuine moment of U.S.-Mexico cooperation. But as WPR columnist James Bosworth (@bloggingsbyboz.bsky.social) writes, the two countries measure the success of any mission—and the broader campaign against cartels—very differently.

U.S.-Mexico Cooperation on the El Mencho Raid Obscures Deeper Divides

Mexico and the U.S. measure the success of any individual mission—as well as the overall campaign against cartels—differently.

worldpoliticsreview.com

Boz@bloggingsbyboz.bsky.social · 6mo ago

Can Iran retaliate via its proxies in Latin America? See my column from last June reviewing what is known/speculated, and cautions that perhaps the fact that no successful attack has occurred since 1994 means Iran in LatAm is an overanalyzed paper tiger. www.worldpoliticsreview.com/israel-iran-...

We’ll Soon Find Out If Iran Really Poses a Threat in Latin America

The current conflict between Israel and Iran should put to the test all the threat analyses about Iran’s presence in the Western Hemisphere that have been written over the past several decades.

worldpoliticsreview.com

Boz@bloggingsbyboz.bsky.social · 8mo ago

Haiti's presidential transition council has fired the PM despite warnings from essentially everyone in the international community not to do so. They are betting that the world is too distracted to respond to their power grab. apnews.com/article/hait...

Haiti's transitional council deepens political chaos by voting to oust the prime minister

A member of Haiti’s transitional presidential council has announced that a majority of the panel has voted to fire the country’s embattled Prime Minister Alix Didier Fils-Aimé as the country’s politic...

apnews.com

Boz@bloggingsbyboz.bsky.social · 8mo ago

Peru's Congress considering impeaching President Jose Jeri over unreported meetings with a Chinese businessman seeking an energy project concession. One unreported meeting may just be a mistake. Two is a scandal. www.reuters.com/world/china/...

Peru's president embroiled in scandal over failure to disclose meetings with Chinese businessman

Peruvian President Jose Jeri is facing a preliminary investigation by the country's prosecutor as Congress looks to begin impeachment proceedings, after his recent meetings with a Chinese businessman ...

reuters.com