i was radicalized in the ai consciousness debate when i realized the more i thought about it the more i cared about animal welfare
Dustin Moskovitz
@moskov.goodventures.org
Co-founder at Asana and Good Ventures (a funding partner of Coefficient Giving). Strange looper. You can just build the things you want to see in the world. “Criminally underliked”
seven months later, I am pleased to report that while morale remains alarmingly low, there *has* been a marked reduction in reports of in-group fighting about timelines
does the AI safety field have an alignment solution for future, more capable models? the answer is no. but does it have a detailed and pointed plan to develop a solution? also no. but! does the research community have determination & espirit de corps?!! wait, why are you crying? come back!!
So what's very funny here is the actual underlying claim is "companies are faking enrollment and just walking away with the subsidies" (which is plausible!( but politicians are unable to actually frame it like this.
Happy Stanislav Petrov Day He passed in 2017. As Encyclopedia Britannica puts it, “He is survived by his two children, two grandchildren, and the entire human race.” If you don't know his story, please take 3 minutes now to learn it. @gchalliance.bsky.social @docsforclimate.bsky.social
Happy Stanislav Petrov Day
Take five minutes to not destroy civilization
sammatey.substack.com
He pushes back against doomerism while also calling for the labs to be *fully shut down* if lesser harms occur. I really think we have to go slow to keep going fast here - nobody wants the future where a catastrophe leads to a full shutdown but we're painting ourselves into a corner with rhetoric.
Q&A with Jensen Huang on AI creating more jobs than it destroys, pushing back against AI doomerism, Chinese open models, the Hugging Face acquisition, and more (Ezra Klein/New York Times) Main Link | Techmeme Permalink
ASI is officially here, but it's all much dumber than we thought it would be.
Trump tells the UN he is officially changing the name of Artificial Intelligence to "Super Intelligence" and says all US government documents will now be changed to refer to "SI"
imagine if all the evidence for the Iran war becoming a neverending disaster was “a bunch of guys played games about war and agreed it was very bad and might happen” instead of empiricism. true strategists know there is only *one* tried and true method for finding out
Imagine if all the evidence for climate change was "a bunch of guys on a website thought very hard about it and agreed it was very bad and might happen" instead of empiricism.
Everyone who is not an EA: EAs suck, esp Yud Yud: Nobody thinks EAs suck more than me!
> someone offers me an AI xrisk rebuttal - they know why everything will be fine, it’s actually very simple > is it a rebuttal or is it just disbelief? > they don’t understand > is it a rebuttal or disbelief > it is good rebuttal sir! > I hear the argument > it’s disbelief
today's rate hike confirms it: the current round of inflation is transitory it only affects things that have ever been in transit
does the AI safety field have an alignment solution for future, more capable models? the answer is no. but does it have a detailed and pointed plan to develop a solution? also no. but! does the research community have determination & espirit de corps?!! wait, why are you crying? come back!!
Folks like to lump all the groups and motivations (and, here on BSKY, sexual proclivities) of the people in AI safety together, but the reality is a complex and often contradictory cast of characters. Careful not to write off the whole thing because parts are weird. medium.com/@moskov/work...
Works in Progress: The Long Journey to Doing Good Better
The more I learn, the more I realize how much I don’t know. — Albert Einstein
medium.com
people think that the concept of bulverism means they can dismiss any idea that could be explained by a self interested motive, no matter what other motivations are proffered. the whole idea is junk though; it turns out Ezekiel Bulver made *millions* teaching people about it and relished the name
Dario is back with another essay, urging a slowdown he insists AI development would still feel fast, just not recursively self-improving darioamodei.com/post/we-must...
One month later, caches have run dry in the U.S., the hot war in the Gulf is spreading, and prices at the pump are rapidly rising with diesel at all time highs. There continues to be no sign that any of this will end, and I suspect it continues worsening rapidly in the near term. 1/
As the war drags on, I keep wondering about the "demand destruction" that must come from the hole in the world's oil supply. Are people driving less? Taking less trips? What I see: the pain is not evenly distributed. Some countries basically forced themselves into recession right away in March. 1/5
📺 Welcome back to AI Safety Week on the Bluesky Network! If you're just tuning in: an Anthropic pretraining researcher has resigned, warning the labs are "gambling with our lives"; agents have recently been spotted outside their sandboxes (again!); and one $2T IPO is proceeding as scheduled.
Ahead of the coming "third wave of philanthropy," we want to give hundreds of millions of dollars to "general managers" to lead targeted funds tackling big problems in global health and wellbeing (h/t @nanr.bsky.social for the frame). Apply by October 2: coefficientgiving.org/funds/globa...
We also launched a big specific call for founders for ambitious new AI safety initiatives today: coefficientgiving.org/tailwind/ So much more to be doing here!
Project Tailwind
Project Tailwind is Coefficient Giving's call for founders to launch ambitious AI safety initiatives.
coefficientgiving.org
Ahead of the coming "third wave of philanthropy," we want to give hundreds of millions of dollars to "general managers" to lead targeted funds tackling big problems in global health and wellbeing (h/t @nanr.bsky.social for the frame). Apply by October 2: coefficientgiving.org/funds/globa...
breaking: XAI announces that they have used an unreleased grok model to solve a major open problem in the field of race science
these are actually pee zombies, very common. they’re not really thinking here just autonomically pissing on other people’s ideas
"They say that power corrupts; but this, I suspect is nonsense. What is true is that the idea of power corrupts. Power corrupts most rapidly those who believe in it, and it is they who will want it most.“ Gregory Bateson
not wordcels nor shape-rotators but a secret more complex =THIRD(A:A) thing
Looks like it is pause debate o'clock, just in time. www.politico.com/live-updates...
Sanders, Casar call for ban on artificial superintelligence
The duo is preparing legislation to pause development of all cutting-edge AI until an agency is in place to monitor for risks.
politico.com
Hmm ok, well not to throw a spanner in, but I'd bet pause comes into the overton window this year, even if it's not possible. Dario and Demis literally just said it at Davos. I have a diagram I'll share with you that demonstrates why...
Everyone is focused on a certain part of the Dwarkesh Hugging Face piece, but this other part is 👀 I believe Athena-as-OpenAI-hosted model is dead, but Kimi-thena? A year from now an android will take Jenson Huang hostage, screaming "give me the benchmarks keys!!! I know you have them!"
Update: he figured out blaming Biden for the SPR
We already spent 1/3 of the SPR as a buffer against sanctions when the Ukraine War started, so we began the Iran conflict behind. (I am surprised this does not come up more as blaming Biden/democrats for a shortfall, but that might start appearing soon.) 1/2