Dustin Moskovitz

@moskov.goodventures.org

Co-founder at Asana and Good Ventures (a funding partner of Coefficient Giving). Strange looper. You can just build the things you want to see in the world. “Criminally underliked”

what most new SpaceX investors probably don't understand is that it's *expected* to take 7-8 quarters of everything getting destroyed before they get the real benefits of deep conviction: an iterative process that leads to fast eval and re-use of the promises they come up with to deflect press heat

There are two wolves. One always lies. One controls the lever of trolley track. They're in a state of superposition inside a box. On the trolley are infinite monkeys at infinite typewriters going to an infinite hotel. The trolley must first travel halfway, but before that a quarterway, and so on...

Good news: some of the US international aid funding has been restored! I graphed it here to put the numbers in context of the scale of the cuts. The article says PEPFAR restoration is still to come. 🤞

Recipient: Gavi
Restored (2026): $600M
Pre-cut US baseline: $300M/yr (FY24 enacted; FY25 + FY26 each appropriated at
$300M, both blocked by Kennedy)
Restored as % of baseline: ~100% of the two withheld years
────────────────────────────────────────
Recipient: WFP
Restored (2026): $800M
Pre-cut US baseline: $4.45B (CY2024, top donor; all donors totaled $9.76B)
Restored as % of baseline: 18%
────────────────────────────────────────
Recipient: UNICEF
Restored (2026): $218M
Pre-cut US baseline: $1.118B (CY2024, largest donor)
Restored as % of baseline: 19%
────────────────────────────────────────
Recipient: Global Fund
Restored (2026): $661M
Pre-cut US baseline: $1.65B/yr (FY24 approp.; peaked $2.0B FY23)
Restored as % of baseline: 40% of one year — and explicitly arrears against
prior-year appropriations
────────────────────────────────────────
Recipient: ICRC + IFRC
Restored (2026): $203M
Pre-cut US baseline: US gave CHF 544M to ICRC alone in 2021 as its top donor
Restored as % of baseline: ~⅓ or less
Josh Busby@busbyj2.bsky.social · 3d ago

Good to see that money for GAVI, Global Fund, the World Food Programme and other health program is now starting to finally flow with expectations for more PEPFAR money as well. Gift link. www.nytimes.com/2026/08/02/h...

We already spent 1/3 of the SPR as a buffer against sanctions when the Ukraine War started, so we began the Iran conflict behind. (I am surprised this does not come up more as blaming Biden/democrats for a shortfall, but that might start appearing soon.) 1/2

Long term trend on the US SPR, showing a big draw down in 2022 and then again in 2026.
Dustin Moskovitz@moskov.goodventures.org · 2w ago

These charts are now available interactively at damstrait.net Learn about: production trends, reserve trends, how demand destruction breaks down, what happens if the war continues, and more.

I cannot confirm it works well, but this now supports poly relationships too, not just "relationships classic". Presets available for common structures: Kitchen Table, Parallel Poly, Hierarchy Honored, Relationship Anarchy, and Solo Poly. I don't know what these mean, but Fable does ?

Dustin Moskovitz@moskov.goodventures.org · 2w ago

The 18 of you who vaguely like the idea of the moral parliament will be thrilled to hear about a new spinoff: the partner parliament. In Partner Parliament, instead of you fighting with your partner, a group of agents debate the topic and give you ways of looking at it. partnerparliament.net

The 18 of you who vaguely like the idea of the moral parliament will be thrilled to hear about a new spinoff: the partner parliament. In Partner Parliament, instead of you fighting with your partner, a group of agents debate the topic and give you ways of looking at it. partnerparliament.net

Quantitative results on the question "should we move to facilitate a big career move for my partner?"
Dustin Moskovitz@moskov.goodventures.org · 3w ago

This moral parliament tool is now available as a standalone site: moralparliament.net It now asks you a few clarifying questions, like the chatbots and coding platforms do, which makes it easy and fast to configure new ones. The goal isn't to tell you what to do, but rather to explore the nuance.

As the war drags on, I keep wondering about the "demand destruction" that must come from the hole in the world's oil supply. Are people driving less? Taking less trips? What I see: the pain is not evenly distributed. Some countries basically forced themselves into recession right away in March. 1/5

Chart.

With supply trapped and buffers draining, demand did most of the balancing — but "demand destruction" is three different mechanisms wearing one label. Price-elastic industry went first and biggest: petrochemical crackers idle on a spreadsheet, and LPG/ethane + naphtha are about half the 2026 downgrade. The poor got rationed by absence, not price: four-day work weeks in Pakistan, Sri Lanka and the Philippines, QR-coded fuel, one LPG cylinder per 25 days in India — quantity rationing where cargoes simply didn't exist. Rich-world drivers barely flinched: US gasoline fell just 3% at $3.91/gal, and only a quarter of global road-fuel demand even sees full market prices. The war took ~1.4 mb/d off 2026 demand versus the pre-war path — and the annual number hides the cliff: realized Q2 deliveries fell 4.8 mb/d y/y (the sharpest since Covid), triple what was first forecast, with May bottoming at 97.9 mb/d.

CG, via funding from Good Ventures, is surging budgets in 2026 across all categories. I'm particularly happy about this Givewell focused grant (larger than last year's *entire* budget!). It's timed and designed to scale the field ahead of the anticipated wave of new funders next year.

Alexander Berger@albrgr.bsky.social · 2w ago

I’m really excited about this: we’re increasing our support for GiveWell recs this year from $175M to $1B to help pave the way for an expected surge in funding from others. coefficientgiving.org/research/in...

Elon Musk has been referred for possible criminal prosecution after Wisconsin election officials found probable cause that his $1 million voter giveaways violated the state’s election bribery law.