Brett Morgan

@domesticmouse.com

Flutter developer relations engineer at Google Australia. Love cooking, thinking about the potential futures, and listening to random YouTubers gripe about how this wasn’t the future they were promised.

One of the weird things is watching people who obviously have never done manufacturing use manufacturing idioms without understanding the implications. Call it Dunning Kruger Engineering. Simplest one, automation vs handmade. In the world of atoms, for building one offs, hand made is cheaper.

I don’t understand why people are fantasising about dark factories as a future for software development. It’s almost like software engineers have no understanding of the reality of physical manufacturing. The cost of R&D to set up a dark factory is astronomical and makes no sense for one off items.

We are treating this change as if it is the first time we’ve seen automation as a society. It isn’t. It isn’t even the first time we’ve dealt with the fear that automation would eliminate all jobs. We have been dealing with the effects of automation since the invention of the steam engine.

As someone who has just been solidly reminded that skills are perishable, I have a suggestion. Coders who haven’t fought a compiler for three months should probably accept they aren’t coders any more. They will be forcibly reminded by reality if they don’t.

The first mistake everyone makes is linear extrapolation. We live in a non linear world, linearity is only ever a short run approximation. The second mistake is assuming permanent exponential growth. There are no exponentials in the real world. There is always a hidden constraint, somewhere.

So the big bookstore in town has more shelf space dedicated to baking bread than programming. And I can’t find any books on things like electrical engineering. I worry.

Odd reality shift. I was chatting with a startup founder about how to improve the onboarding flow of his product. He pitched me a front end role. I realised I don’t want to do work that isn’t first and foremost about using AI to improve user experience.

Silly question of the day: when did Americans stop being engineers? Go back to recordings of the 60s and the US called itself a country of engineers. Justifiably proud of what they built during WW2 and afterwards. Now? I see no pride in building stuff. Just to be fair, Australia is the same.