Scott James

@drscottjames.bsky.social

Reader in Political Economy, King’s College London www.kcl.ac.uk/people/dr-scott-james Geoeconomics of finance, monetary politics, City of London BANK POLITICS (OUP, 2023) https://global.oup.com/academic/product/bank-politics-9780192898609?cc=gb&lang=en&

Without going full Hall & Soskice, unpicking some aspects of Thatcherism (centralisation + privatisation) but not others (financialisation) also risks creating a larger and more fragmented state whilst leaving the fundamental drivers of the UK’s stalled growth model intact

Scott James@drscottjames.bsky.social · 2w ago

Whatever reversing ‘neoliberalism’ means, a necessary condition must surely be reframing the City of London as a historic contingency amenable to state reform and not as a reified structure to be accommodated

Whatever reversing ‘neoliberalism’ means, a necessary condition must surely be reframing the City of London as a historic contingency amenable to state reform and not as a reified structure to be accommodated

If it’s traditional for effective PMs to appoint heavy hitting Chancellors to drive their domestic agenda, then Burnham’s strategy might be to delegate to a heavyweight Foreign Sec to create more space at home. But struggling to think of a precedent: Major & Hurd/Rifkind?

Burnham’s soft left populism clearly aimed at halting and potentially reversing Reform’s rise through targeted and politically driven redistribution, but it risks providing considerable space for a revived traditional Tory growth & competitiveness agenda

Re Tooze & Setser on the profit dollar, stablecoins might be seen as an effort to resolve - or at least delay or deflect - the contradictions: leverage offshore private (rather than official) demand for dollars as a vehicle currency whilst creating a captive market for USTs

Chartbook 457: The metamorphoses of the dollar

The general question I find myself preoccupied with right now is how we think - or fail to think - radical economic change.

adamtooze.substack.com

I see that the OBR has published its fiscal risks report. I kinda feel that something might happen that forces a change of course at some point before we get to debt at 1000% of GDP? And this implies that it's not a very meaningful scenario?

The OBR's famous exponential growth in debt/GDP graphs.

With the US Treasury using $ stablecoins to create a captive market for T-Bills, and the BOE providing a gilt backstop to £ stablecoin issuers, we need to talk about the new infrastructural power of crypto

A reminder that one of the most immediate and consequential tasks for Burnham and his chancellor will be finding a replacement for Andrew Bailey by March 2028. But that timing probably comes too late in the electoral cycle to seriously rethink the Treasury-BOE relationship.

CBI is a regime grounded in a distinct ecosystem of economic interests & epistemic politics. Left and Right opponents have polarised views on monetary policy and represent incompatible constituencies. Lack of consensus on what replaces CBI is a recipe for politicisation without institutionalisation.

Britain’s politicians need to worry less about the bond markets – and more about the Bank of England | Daniela Gabor

A new model of central banking would weaken the power of bond vigilantes – and help progressive politicians pay for transformative change, says academic Daniela Gabor

theguardian.com

We also need better theories of financial repression if this is the most likely and feasible route to fiscal consolidation. Pragmatism over orthodoxy is also prudent, but to what end? Otherwise it risks degenerating into muddling through the polycrisis until something shows up

Chartbook 448 Price controls, nationalization, financial repression, fiscal-monetary coordination - embracing the Four Horsemen of Heterodoxy

If the current state of the world economy is marked by stark cognitive dissonance, if what is not sustainable cannot be sustained, then what comes next?

open.substack.com

Still not sure there’s an internally consistent Toozian account of moral hazard. You’re either relaxed about the crisis-driven ratchet effect expansion of CB balance sheets, and the systemic hazard it generates, or you need a coherent theory of unwinding which isn’t conditional on growth.

Chartbook 447: The US economy in May 2026 - How much cognitive dissonance can you handle?

Open your favorite business paper or news site right now and you will be confronted with a scene of spectacular cognitive dissonance.

open.substack.com