dubmetrics

@dubmetrics.com

WNBA stats, modeled. Team power ratings, on/off RAPM & player projections. Numbers over takes. 🏀📈

Monday Movers — how the model's power ratings shifted this week. Up: ↑ MIN +0.5 ↑ IND +0.4 ↑ WSH +0.4 Down: ↓ DAL -0.3 ↓ POR -0.5 ↓ TOR -0.6 Biggest swing: TOR, lost 0.6.

Some updated stats before heading into the post all-star break. The model's season so far: 133-71 on 204 games (65.2%). When it gave a team 65% or better (78 games): 58-20. Average error on final margin: 10.6 points - the number to hold it to, not the win rate. dubmetrics.com/results

dubmetrics — WNBA stats, ratings & projections

An independent WNBA stats site: power ratings, player projections, shot charts, and RAPM impact. No takes, just numbers.

dubmetrics.com

Monday #WNBA Movers - how the model's power ratings net points per 100 poss) shifted this week. ↑ WSH +0.7 ↑ CHI +0.6 ↑ ATL +0.6 ↓ NY -0.7 ↓ DAL -0.7 ↓ SEA -0.8 Atlanta keeps climbing: 2nd at +7.3, behind only Minnesota (+10.2). NY is the only top-five team trending down. dubmetrics.com/ratings

dubmetrics — WNBA stats, ratings & projections

An independent WNBA stats site: power ratings, player projections, shot charts, and RAPM impact. No takes, just numbers.

dubmetrics.com

Rhyne Howard's shot diet this season: 138 of 185 field goal attempts at the rim or from three. 76% at the rim, 39% from deep on 109 threes. The midrange - a quarter of her shots - is the part she's cut back on. #WNBA

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TGIF #WNBA! Tonight's model reads (3 games): - New York Liberty 73% over Washington Mystics - Minnesota Lynx 59% over Golden State Valkyries - Tempo / Sun: the model had Toronto at 58%, but that's before Brittney Sykes (foot) was ruled out. Without their leading scorer, it's closer to a toss-up.

Tonight in the #WNBA - Atlanta Dream @ Indiana Fever. The model gives Atlanta a 53% win probability, projecting a score of ATL 85 - IND 84 at ~84 possessions. Top projected scorer: Rhyne Howard (18.9 pts). One possession separates the model's projections, a margin well within shooting variance.

The #WNBA is going to 50 games in 2027, up from 44! For most, it's scheduling. For a model, it's a gift: short seasons are why WNBA stats are noisy. Six more games is six more of signal - ratings settle sooner, projections tighten. More basketball, less guessing. check us out → dubmetrics.com

dubmetrics — WNBA stats, ratings & projections

An independent WNBA stats site: power ratings, player projections, shot charts, and RAPM impact. No takes, just numbers.

dubmetrics.com

New here, so the short version: dubmetrics builds opponent-adjusted ratings and player cards for the W. First card up - A'ja Wilson. 100th percentile scoring rate, 97th in blocks, 90th on the glass. 25.6 / 9.0 / 3.1 a night. A volume scorer who also guards the rim. The shape of an MVP year.

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A little WNBA side project I've been tinkering with. 🟧 Player cards - impact ratings, shot maps, season-by-season - for every player. Still early, but here's a peek. #WNBA

dubmetrics Rating Card for Kelsey Plum - net/offensive/defensive impact ratings, a career shot chart, and a season-by-season stat table.