📰"We should find ways to have human-centered approaches to borders, in respect of human needs of people who are crossing. And we need to listen to our partners", comments @kellyp90.bsky.social in @csmonitor.bsky.social www.csmonitor.com/World/2026/0...

Europe seeks new solution after migrant surge in Spanish enclave

EU ministers are holding an an emergency meeting to discuss how to respond to the migration surge in the Spanish territory of Ceuta in north Africa.

csmonitor.com

📰 Iran views a return to full-scale fighting with Israel & US as increasingly inevitable, says Ellie Geranmayeh in @financialtimes.com. "What we have seen in the last week is a much higher risk appetite to pre-emptively up the ante rather than always be reactionary" www.ft.com/content/a298...

Iran sets pace in war with Donald Trump

Tehran’s military raised stakes with Washington by further expanding battle across Middle East

ft.com

If the Houthis continue to block Saudi exports while attacking critical infrastructure, Riyadh may conclude that "diplomacy has become a mechanism for managing its own strangulation", writes @cinziabianco.bsky.social

The Saudi dilemma: How Yemen could shape the next phase of the Iran war – European Council on Foreign Relations

As the Houthis attack Saudi ships and infrastructure, Riyadh faces an increasingly difficult choice: absorb the blows to stay out of the Iran war or retaliate a

ecfr.eu

📺️ “What is needed right now is a strong signal from the United States that it is in fact interested in a deal rather than preparing for another major war with Iran”, tells @ecfr.eu’s Ellie Geranmayeh to @aljazeera.com amid renewed US-Iran escalation. buff.ly/CftjSSK

Aslani-Geranmayeh13-300726

Aslani-Geranmayeh13-300726

buff.ly

🗞️ "After the understanding fell through and attacks restarted, Iran’s leaders further developed the belief that they must "not concede an inch” on key issues, particularly on Hormuz", assesses @ecfr.eu's Ellie Geranmayeh for @aljazeera.com www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/7/...

Iran pushes back against US as regional attacks heat up

New round of strikes raises fears of further escalation as Iran rejects Omani proposal for joint Hormuz oversight.

aljazeera.com

📰I'm not sure many people have much confidence that the agreement is a pathway to a constructive endgame here, whether in terms of facilitating the disarmament of Hezbollah or advancing an Israeli withdrawal from Lebanon, notes @jbdacey.bsky.social in @deutschewelle.dw.com

Lebanon's pilot zone plan: Can it work?

The Israeli army has handed so-called "pilot zones" back to the Lebanese, The move is meant to facilitate an end to fighting between Hezbollah and Israel, and to Israeli occupation. But locals and…

dw.com

"Europeans should use their channels with mediators to dissuade Iran from opening new fronts in Bab al-Mandab and against Saudi Arabia, while pressing Trump to hold back from widening American attacks to Iranian Infrastructure", concludes @cinziabianco.bsky.social

The Saudi dilemma: How Yemen could shape the next phase of the Iran war – European Council on Foreign Relations

As the Houthis attack Saudi ships and infrastructure, Riyadh faces an increasingly difficult choice: absorb the blows to stay out of the Iran war or retaliate a

ecfr.eu

📺️ “I think the Iran war was a stress test for all of the Golf monarchies and it has accelerated a lof of pre-existing trends", analyses @cinziabianco.bsky.social in a video for @deutschewelle.dw.com. Watch it here 👇️https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=py2brIVMbew

How Iran war has deepened the Saudi-UAE rivalry | Mapped Out

Saudi Arabia and the US have announced a nuclear deal that has rocked the Gulf. The landmark agreement would establish a civilian nuclear program in Saudi Arabia with the help of US companies.…

youtube.com

📑 NEW @ecfr.eu commentary by @cinziabianco.bsky.social: As the Houthis attack Saudi ships & infrastructure, Riyadh faces an increasingly difficult choice: absorb the blows to stay out of the Iran war or retaliate and risk a dangerous escalation. Read the piece here 👇 ecfr.eu/article/the-...

The Saudi dilemma: How Yemen could shape the next phase of the Iran war – European Council on Foreign Relations

As the Houthis attack Saudi ships and infrastructure, Riyadh faces an increasingly difficult choice: absorb the blows to stay out of the Iran war or retaliate a

ecfr.eu

🎙️“The framework has maximalist demands of Lebanon and minimalist demands of Israel”, comments Maha Yahya on the trilateral framework deal signed by Israel, US & Lebanon in the latest episode of @ecfr.eu's WOMENP podcast. Listen to it here👇️

Lebanon: On the brink of war or peace? – European Council on Foreign Relations

Ellie Geranmayeh is joined by Alia Moubayed, Randa Slim and Maha Yahya to discuss what the trilateral framework deal signed by Israel, the US and Lebanon means

buff.ly

🚨 Starting now! Mondher Tounsi, @saharmechmech.bsky.social, @zaghdoudist.bsky.social, and @tmegrisi.bsky.social are joining TIMEP to discuss Tunisia's trajectory five years since Saied's power grab and what the future holds for the country. Tune in and join us: www.youtube.com/watch?v=_HWo...

"North Africa’s longer-term struggle will be maintaining the foreign currency streams that fund imports and, by extension, social programmes. In other words, the war has triggered consequences that will become new structural realities", writes @tmegrisi.bsky.social

Down and out from Rabat to Cairo: The Iran war and North African instability – European Council on Foreign Relations

The war between the US and Iran is destabilising North African economies, putting an already fragile region at the very edge of polycrisis

ecfr.eu

🎙️Lebanese President Aoun meets US President Trump in Washington today to discuss the ongoing conflict & possible solutions for long-term stability in Lebanon. For recommendations & regional perspectives listen to @ecfr.eu's WOMENP podcast👇️ ecfr.eu/podcasts/epi...

Lebanon: On the brink of war or peace? – European Council on Foreign Relations

Ellie Geranmayeh is joined by Alia Moubayed, Randa Slim and Maha Yahya to discuss what the trilateral framework deal signed by Israel, the US and Lebanon means

ecfr.eu

🎙️"The key ask from the US side is going to be for the government of Lebanon, particularly the Lebanese Armed Forces, to show visible progress on Hezbollah disarmament", comments Randa Slim in the latest @ecfr.eu WOMENP podcast on Lebanese stability

Lebanon: On the brink of war or peace? – European Council on Foreign Relations

Ellie Geranmayeh is joined by Alia Moubayed, Randa Slim and Maha Yahya to discuss what the trilateral framework deal signed by Israel, the US and Lebanon means

ecfr.eu

📰 After American soldiers died in latest US-Iran escalation, @ecfr.eu's Ellie Geranmayeh tells @nytimes.com: “This is the wake up moment for both sides...they either take the diplomatic off ramp now or risk allowing the war to spiral beyond managed escalation.” www.nytimes.com/2026/07/20/w...

Tehran and Washington Face a ‘Wake Up Moment’ Over the War

U.S. and Iranian attacks are unfolding in a way that risks a wider war they cannot contain, analysts warn, unless they can return to negotiations quickly.

nytimes.com

🎙️Ahead of upcoming White House visit by Lebanon's President, listen to latest @ecfr.eu WOMENP podcast unpacking recent Israel-Lebanon framework deal, ground reactions & implementation prospects. With Lebanese experts Alia Moubayed, Randa Slim & Maha Yahya 👇️ ecfr.eu/podcasts/epi...

Lebanon: On the brink of war or peace? – European Council on Foreign Relations

Ellie Geranmayeh is joined by Alia Moubayed, Randa Slim and Maha Yahya to discuss what the trilateral framework deal signed by Israel, the US and Lebanon means

ecfr.eu

📰"Iran is prepared to pay a very, very high cost, including the continued blockade by the American side, in order to retain and sustain this control over the Strait of Hormuz going forward" @ecfr.eu's Ellie Geranmayeh tells @wsj.com www.wsj.com/world/middle...

Trump’s Tightening Squeeze on Iran Will Heap More Pain on Its Battered Economy

Trump is betting that renewed pressure will convince Tehran to release its hold on the Strait of Hormuz while the regime is betting it can hold out.

wsj.com

North African countries are hyper vulnerable to the Iran war’s geopolitical & geoeconomic fallout, pushing the region closer to instability. Read @tmegrisi.bsky.social 's commentary here 👇 ecfr.eu/article/down...

📑 NEW @ecfr.eu commentary by @tmegrisi.bsky.social: the war between the US & Iran is destabilising North African economies, putting an already fragile region at the very edge of polycrisis. Read the piece here 👇 ecfr.eu/article/down...

Down and out from Rabat to Cairo: The Iran war and North African instability – European Council on Foreign Relations

The war between the US and Iran is destabilising North African economies, putting an already fragile region at the very edge of polycrisis

ecfr.eu

🧵US-Iran MoU is unravelling over Hormuz. In @foreignpolicy.com @ecfr.eu's Ellie Geranmayeh argues Tehran+Trump risk being bogged down in endless conflict despite having same strategic goal to reopen Strait. Here's how mediators could bridge the Hormuz gap foreignpolicy.com/2026/07/15/h...

How the United States and Iran Can Solve Hormuz

Fees for passage through the strait are likely inevitable.

foreignpolicy.com

📰 “No one should be surprised, given where we are at, that there will be elements within the Iranian regime that do want the assassination of Trump as the ultimate revenge,” says Ellie Geranmayeh in @nytimes.com www.nytimes.com/2026/07/13/w...

Iranian Hard-Liners Threaten Trump as U.S.-Iran Strikes Continue

Some Iranians are calling for revenge against President Trump and Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu of Israel for the February killing the country’s supreme leader.

nytimes.com

🔴 It is high time the EU ban trade of all goods & services from Israel’s illegal settlements in the West Bank. An @ecfr.eu joint call ahead of the EU Foreign Affairs Council by Sigmar Gabriel @aranchagonzalez.bsky.social Pascal Lamy Enrico Letta @ceciliamalmstrom.bsky.social ecfr.eu/article/the-...

The EU should ban all trade with Israeli settlements – European Council on Foreign Relations

It is high time the EU follow its own trade policy and ban trade of all goods and services from Israel’s illegal settlements in the West Bank

ecfr.eu

In @nytimes.com newsletter, Ellie Geranmayeh unpacks how a powerful minority in Iran views the MoU as “essentially a ruse" & US is "playing for time” before another war & “those who argued for a pragmatic end to the war have been naïve.” messaging-custom-newsletters.nytimes.com/dynamic/rend...

📰“Three weeks in, the Memorandum of Understanding (MOU) looks incredibly fragile,” says Ellie Geranmayeh in Decode39 decode39.com/15580/second...

Second day of attacks as Trump’s Iran ceasefire breaks ”over” Hormuz - Decode39

The US-Iran ceasefire is nearing collapse three weeks after it was sealed. ECFR’s Ellie Geranmayeh says the core tension is now over Hormuz, as neither side has a better option than the diplomatic tra...

decode39.com

At ECFR's #ACM, Ellie Geranmayeh argued that despite its flaws and political risks, the Iran memorandum should be treated as an opportunity rather than dismissed. Watch the full address: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ftGWEGIPHmI

Europe’s (ir)relevance in the Middle East: Legacy alliances or strategic reinvention?

YouTube video by ECFR

youtube.com

In an interview with @nytimes.com, Ellie Geranmayeh warns that a moment of tension in US-Iran talks could come if there's a discrepancy between stockpile of near-weapons grade uranium that existed before the 12-day war & what inspectors calculate once on the ground www.nytimes.com/2026/06/23/w...

After Wars and False Starts, Cautious Optimism for U.S.-Iran Talks

nytimes.com

The world should seize the MoU signed last week by the US and Iran as the basis for a genuine diplomatic opening, including on the nuclear file, writes Ellie Geranmayeh from @ecfrmena.bsky.social in the @financialtimes.com www.ft.com/content/9eac...

How to bridge the impasse over Iran’s nuclear programme

If the next phase of negotiations fails, Washington and Tehran could find themselves locked in an endless cycle of war

ft.com

🧵 In her latest Op-ed for @financialtimes.com, Ellie Geranmayeh argues that while the US-Iran MOU is vulnerable & faces opposition from hawks already, "it is not necessarily destined to fail. The world should seize it as the basis for a genuine diplomatic opening" 👇 www.ft.com/content/9eac...

How to bridge the impasse over Iran’s nuclear programme

If the next phase of negotiations fails, Washington and Tehran could find themselves locked in an endless cycle of war

ft.com

After first high level US-Iran meeting since the MOU, Vance says Iran has agreed to let international inspectors back. Follow @ecfr.eu's Iran Nuclear Monitor to see forecasts of deal scenarios that would enhance IAEA supervision of Iran's nuclear program ecfr.eu/special/iran...

Iran nuclear monitor: Month by month – European Council on Foreign Relations

America and Israel have bombed Iran since 2025 to block Tehran's path to nuclear weapons. ECFR’s interactive dashboard, updated monthly, assesses current eviden

ecfr.eu

Europeans alone cannot force Israelis into a two-state solution. But they can begin to reshape the incentive structures and demonstrate to Israel that its actions have consequences, writes @hlovatt.bsky.social ecfr.eu/article/euro...

Europeans don’t need consensus to challenge Israel and its settlements – European Council on Foreign Relations

Israel is accelerating its settler project and deepening conflict, frustrating many EU member states. The bloc should use its trade and financial tools to impos

ecfr.eu