94% of Britain's MPs are on X - I've made a website so you can explore who they follow on there. 🔍Search for any username and see which MPs follow them. 🏅There's also a leaderboard so you can see who has the ear of Westminster Link here: site.mpfollowers.workers.dev

Who Do MPs Follow?

Find out how many UK Members of Parliament follow any Twitter account.

site.mpfollowers.workers.dev

This is important. Reform keep taking positions that are only supported by the 25% of the electorate they already have and in doing so are negatively polarising everyone else against them.

Ed Hodgson@edhodgsoned.bsky.social · 5mo ago

Tracking our *negative* voting intention (who would Britons vote AGAINST): ➡️ Ref 38% (+9) 🌹Lab 34% (-4) 🌳 Con 7% (-1) 🌏 Green 7% (+4) 🐦‍ LD 3% (-) changes w/ Nov 2025 As Reform has plateaued in the polls, the number of people saying they would also vote *against* Reform has grown

Tracking our *negative* voting intention (who would Britons vote AGAINST): ➡️ Ref 38% (+9) 🌹Lab 34% (-4) 🌳 Con 7% (-1) 🌏 Green 7% (+4) 🐦‍ LD 3% (-) changes w/ Nov 2025 As Reform has plateaued in the polls, the number of people saying they would also vote *against* Reform has grown

Sunder Katwala (sundersays)@sundersays.bsky.social · 8mo ago

If voters could vote against a party (More in Common)

Interesting chart from @edhodgsoned.bsky.social @moreincommonuk.bsky.social - Labour struggling with renters. May change once Renters Rights Act comes in and if slowdown in rents (reported on BBC today) continues.

🐧 The public have spoken on the penguins kept in a windowless basement in London Aquarium: 40% think it's unacceptable and just 19% think it's acceptable

Interesting how much Bluesky usage has fallen - it is now about half of what it was in November 2024 - would be intrigued to know people's theories about why that is

Fascinated by this way of measuring a Prime Minister's popularity... By the same measure, here's the number of babies given the first name of our PMs one year into office: Keir: 0 Rishi: 37 Liz: 24 Boris: 43 Theresa: 20 David: 1,163 Gordon: 14 Tony: 135 Source: ONS

The Telegraph@telegraph.co.uk · last yr.

Read more here ⬇️

Every week we ask who Britons would vote for - this week we asked who they'd vote *against* Here's what a negative voting intention looks like: 🌹Lab 23% ➡️ Ref: 22% 🌳 Con: 10% 🌏 Green: 4% 🐦‍ LD: 4%

Something really striking about the energy transition in the UK is that, despite having halved our emissions since 1990, very few people are aware of this success - only a quarter of the public think we've made a meaningful difference to cutting our emissions

Great blog from Rory about where AI rhetoric and policy might reinforce a sense that the government isn't focusing on the issues that people care about

Rory Evans@rory-evans.bsky.social · last yr.

Shoutout to @edhodgsoned.bsky.social from More in Common for providing me with some focus group gold dust for my inaugural Substack. open.substack.com/pub/roryevan...

Really strong connection between life satisfaction and voting intention - people with low life satisfaction are much more likely to take a risk on a smaller or newer party, Labour is only comfortably ahead on people who give their life satisfaction at 10/10

The standout feature from Reform’s performance in the polls is not how many votes they are winning from the Conservatives and Labour, but how many they are gaining from non-voters. Whether or not these voters actually turn out will shape the next election - a 🧵

I think this is really interesting and revealing polling, but also worth remembering that in a fragmented/multiparty system these head-to-heads matter less to national vote patterns - it makes no difference if a Green voter prefers Badenoch to Farage if they won't vote for either anyway

Otto English@ottoenglish.bsky.social · last yr.

Going to keep saying it - the Farage effect is largely an illusion. Many, many more people loathe him than like him.

🆕 Latest @moreincommonuk.bsky.social voting intention. The Tories fall below 20% for the first time in our tracking, and Reform reach above 30% for the first time too. ➡️ REF 31% (+1) 🌹 LAB 22% (nc) 🌳 CON 19% (-2) 🔶 LD 14% (nc) 🌍 GREEN 8% (nc) N = 2,000 | 23-26 May | Change w16-19

Sign of how things have changed on Twitter/X over the last year: In the 2024 local elections, Green gains won easily the most likes on Twitter. In this year's locals, those were overshadowed by people liking and engaging with Reform wins.

At 30% of the vote, Reform UK have now effectively doubled their vote share since the General Election, drawing almost equal amounts of votes from the Conservatives, 2024 non-voters, and Labour and other left-wing parties

Luke Tryl@luketryl.bsky.social · last yr.

🆕Latest @Moreincommon_ voting intention. Reform hit 30% for the first time in our polling, opening up an 8pt lead also their highest ➡️ REF UK 30% (+2) 🌹 LAB 22% (-3) 🌳 CON 21% (+1) 🔶 LIB DEM 14% (nc) 🌍 GREEN 8% (nc) 🟡 SNP 2% (nc) N = 2,090 | Dates: 16 - 19/5 |Change w 12/5

Should you need to have GCSE maths and english to vote in UK elections? A fifth of Britons think so - and younger Britons are most supportive of the idea

One way to measure levels of polarisation between different voter groups is to assess whether people can understand or explain why people might vote for another party: On this measure, Liberal Democrat voters are the least understanding of what might be driving people to Reform

Number of wards won with more than 50% of the vote: 🌹 Labour: 3 (!!) 💚 Greens: 9 🕴️ Independents: 14 🌳 Conservatives: 27 🐦 Liberal Democrats: 55 ↗️ Reform: 66 (!!)

There has been lots of talk about a theoretical Tory-Reform pact at a national level - but look locally and around the country these parties will have to work together if they want to administer their county councils, where a Reform-Tory deal is the only way to get a majority.

Expect we will see more and more charts like this by the end of the day - an absolutely totalising rise of Reform in Staffordshire, which has be solidly Conservative for 16 years

If Runcorn really is within 4 votes it would be the closest result in a by-election in modern history. Only 2 parliamentary by elections since World War 2 have been decided by fewer than 100 votes.

Looking at initial data from Northumberland - it's revealing (and to some extent surprising) that Reform are performing best in the more Labour-y areas, and doing less well in more Conservative areas - could signal more worry for Labour later tonight

Turnout in Northumberland so far looks more or less spot on what it was in 2021

Political nerdery is a finite resource... Interest on wikipedia for UK local elections peaked in 2021 and has been declining ever since

🔥 Putting my geography degree to good use and looking at some historic weather data - Today is Britain's hottest local election on record! Typically, warm weather can increase turnout, but today's unseasonably hot May day could have the opposite effect if it ends up TOO hot...

Some dramatic age profiles for voting intention at these local elections: Steep drop-off in Lab and Green support with age, Conservatives doing particularly well with the 75+ group, Reform winning among middle-aged voters

The big test for Reform at these local elections will be if they can convince their voters to come out to vote - in our polling, Reform voters are the LEAST likely to say they usually vote in locals, but the MOST likely to say they'll definitely vote in these ones

We asked voters in this week's local elections to describe the four largest parties in England in a word - can you guess which is which?

Our polling shows Reform are likely win the mayoralty in Hull and East Yorkshire next week - to find out why people are voting for Reform we’ve been holding focus groups across the mayoralty for the last week. Here’s what I learned from a group of voters in Hull on Thursday 🧵

Luke Tryl@luketryl.bsky.social · last yr.

We find the Hull and East Yorkshire Mayoral Race is too close to call with Reform's Luke Campbell leading the Conservative Anne Handley by 3 points and Liberal Democrat Mike Ross by 5. ➡️ REF UK 27% 🌳 CON 24% 🔶 LIB DEM 22% 🌹LAB 17% 🌍 GREEN 7% 🏵️ YORKSHIRE 4%