Floris Strijbos

@efpeel.bsky.social

Geophysicist, working on CCUS projects.

Every September, I test my 2021 statistical prediction against summer temperatures at De Bilt. Since 1976, the station shows a tight trend of +0.034°C/year. In terms of equivalent geographical displacement, the Dutch summer has effectively migrated south to Central France over this period. 🇳🇱➡️🇫🇷 #KNMI

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Picture on the left (Credit: 📷 Guoxiong Zheng) taken onsite. The image on the right shows a Copernicus Sentinel-1 (Radar) difference before and after the Central Nepal flood, draped over Shuttle Radar Tomography Mission (SRTM) topography and rendered as a 3D map in QGIS.

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This comparison of today's Sentinel-1 satellite data with data recorded before the dramatic Tibet-Nepal flood shows the changes in the likely source area. In the coming days, we can expect InSAR-based estimates of the volumes of displaced rock and ice.

The image shows changes to Sentinel-1 scattered data across the source area of the devastating Tibet-Nepal flood.

This is an excellent podcast series where often multiple scientists are interviewed on a topic 🧪 www.pnas.org/about/scienc...

PNAS

Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences (PNAS), a peer reviewed journal of the National Academy of Sciences (NAS) - an authoritative source of high-impact, original research that broadly spans...

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Dr Vanessa@hpsvanessa.bsky.social · 3mo ago

It's #DigitalFriday ! This is my routine appeal to #skystorians and all other academics prepping for teaching to share any software, hardware, online resources (primary, secondary, teaching tools, blogs) tips and tricks that they've found useful this week! #AcademicSky 🗃️(pls boost to relevant feeds)

According to the UNESCO Tsunami Programme there is a 100% chance of a tsunami of at least 1 meter in height occurring in the Mediterranean in the next 30-50 years [1]. The French centre for tsunami alerts (CENALT) has a 15 minute warning window to send an alert message to the authorities [2]. 1/4

Realising that naming geological entities after countries can cause territorial disputes it is proposed to rename the North American plate “Drakonia” after the explorer of the North West Pacific, Francis Drake.

Is global warming accelerating? A paper in this months Geophysical Research Letters hit the headlines. The authors observe through detailed statistical analysis and adjustments for known effects (e.g. El Niño, volcanism) a statistically significant acceleration of global warming. 1/4

The gray dots show the HadCRUT5 global temperature model adjusted for known effects like El Niño and volcanism.
A 0.18 degrees C/decade  (blue dashed) and a 0.34  degrees C/decade (red dashed) trend are shown. A Kalman filter is used to remove short term variations (red) and short- and mid term variations (blue)

The European Directive on the geological storage of carbon dioxide states that "Monitoring is essential to assess whether injected CO2 is behaving as expected, whether any migration or leakage occurs, and whether any identified leakage is damaging the environment or human health." 1/5

On the 15th of January at 15:28 local time (UTC time +1) a likely gas explosion caused several buildings to collapse in the historic centre of Utrecht. Luckily only 4 persons suffered minor injuries. It was clear though that people were shocked and didn't not now the best respond.

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The perimeter ABCD on REM data near Ermelo is interpreted as a Roman camp [1] although its dimensions are suspiciously close to metric (AB=201m, BC=299m). On the original data it is hard to see if 1930s forest roads cut the ditch and bank. Optical dating results are expected early this year. #Roman

The relative elevation map is created by taking elevation trend from C to B to A

For #hillfortsWednesday another item related to the Counts of Hamaland. The 10th century Uplathe castle. At the location of the nearby St Vitus the counts had a castle and founded an abbey ('Stift Elten'). This area straddles the border between Germany and the Netherlands.

Topographic map of Montferland showing an inset with a circular rampart

A narco-state is a country where legitimate institutions become penetrated by the power and wealth of the illegal drug trade. President Franklin Delano Roosevelt inherited from his opium trading grandparents (Mary Aspinwall Roosevelt and Warren Delano II) smuggling opium using fast "tea" clippers[1]

A painting by unknown Chinese artist of the American clipper Sea Witch near Whampoa Island, Guangdong Province, China.

In 1614 the later governor-general of the Dutch East Indies, Jan Pieterszoon Coen, is famously to have uttered the words: "There can be no trade without war, and no war without trade." [1,2] Out of context this words are easily misinterpreted as a general reflection on global trade.

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During the Quasi-war (1797-1801) French privateers took American vessels. The disputed legality of this privateering resulted in court cases running well into the 20th century. Similarly, the U.S.A. may be in morally and legally troubled waters due to strikes against vessels in international waters.

Capture of the Nord Nelson by the French privateer Bellone.

The "Hunneschans" (Gelderland) is thought to be linked to 10th century AD iron production under control of the counts of Hamaland. Archaeological finds (flint tools and burial mounts) are mainly from the Late Mesolithic and Mid-Neolithic, with limited finds from later periods. #hillfortswednesday

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We have upgraded our geomagnetic forecast today (12 November 2025) to the highest intensity level amid an ongoing solar storm. Current predictions suggest that the activity will result in potentially the largest solar storm to hit our planet in over two decades.

In the Netherlands when people contemplate climate impact they tend to look out to the sea, or over their shoulders to the rivers. It may be prudent though to start looking at the sky!

Both the magnitude and frequency of extreme rain events in increasing since systematic recording began in the Netherlands

In 1976 Courtillot and Le Mouël [1] noted the occurrence of geomagnetic jerks. A jerk is a relative sudden change in the 2nd derivative of the geomagnetic field with respect to time. If such a behaviour would occur in a time series, what would be an appropriate statistical method to detect it?

Average summer temperatures in the Netherlands since 1900 show clear break in 1st and 2nd derivative at about 1975