Ensembleator
@ensembleator.bsky.social
Semi-retired meteorologist, living in lovely #YVR since 1994. I often write forecasts using abbreviations due to social media character limits. Dnt wry, U wll gt it.
Quick before i'm back at 🔥: AQ poor to fair this AM ovr the LM. Haze is the light pink shading and it settles out (fallout) ovnite when the sfc cools and the air stabilizes. Dark purple to the NE-E-SE of #YVR are fires (heat signatures in short wave IR imagery). AQ shd improve this PM w/inflow
Busy w/🔥 but I'd though I'd share this pic from Lillooettt Lake this morning showing layers of stratification in smoke.
Tied up with Fire weather but I thought I would put this out here: temp trend this week for #YVR. Mid-upper 20's T-W-Th City and low 30's inland. Warm ovnite too. However, haze from large fires in the Cariboo may take a little off. Not expecting dense smoke here, just haze but it will be obvious.
Amazing auto cumulus sky this morning as a cold front gets organized offshore #YVR. No time this morning working in the interior.
Semi-stationary long-wave upr low 54N 143W lifts an upr trof W of OR across WA tdy, followed by an upr trof now W of VI later Thu. SW US upr hi bulds NW for Fri, followed by the long-wave low on the wknd. Vrbl skies tdy, Thu. Mainly sunny/warm Fri. Clds chc 🚿wknd, coolish, as we start Aug wetly #YVR
Decaying cumulonimbus and nearly full moon over eastern Lake Ontario yesterday evening
Kingston, Ontario, Marina.Martello Tower, in the background with a cumulonimbus developing behind it
One last bfr I go: upr low to the SW lifts ovr SWBC tdy. Cooler, a few 🚿dvlpg this AM #YVR. Cold fnt to the NW moves thru the LM Sun w/rain tapering to 🚿 Mon AM. Upr low dvlpg ovr Wrn AK this AM (64N 165W) brings another round of precip Tue. So a wet end to the month. Dry, warmer Wed thru nxt wknd.
Daughter in Brisbane encountered this on her morning dog walk
Difficult day for firefighters and those affected as fires continue to grow over the southern 1/2 of BC. Pyro cumulonimbus from fire near Clinton last hour (growing green spot NNE of #YVR). I'm off to visit fam for a few days. I'll send a few pics.
Working Cariboo today - it's busy. Most of the ⚡ last nite + tdy has kept over Srn VI and recently over Juan de Fuca Strait. Mdls produce nada #YVR from ex-Elida as activity diminishes overnight but I'm slightly suspicious for this eve. Inflow knocked a few C off max T today. Similar Wx tomorrow.
Closest sounding to #YVR (In Quillayute, WA) shows energy consistent with Altocumulus Castellanus cloud and virga. But instability will increase this evening with a risk of low-no precipitation with lightning overnight/early Thu in Coastal SWBC and Srn VI
Cut-off mid lvl circulation of ex-Elida 41N 131W beginning to circulate a more unstbl airmass into SWBC as it flows over the Wrn apex of a huge upr ridge centered in OK. Vry warm tdy #YVR w/increasing clds PM. Light 🚿+ chc ⚡in the area Thu. Cooler/AM cld Fri. Clds/🚿/cool wknd w/a dissipating front.
A brief look at water vapor imagery shows the mid level circulation of ex pacific hurricane Elida lifting N off the California coast. A truly weird situation that will be responsible for the break in the weather later this week #YVR
Cirrus and contrail undulatus this morning under a SW flow at the apex of an upper ridge. It breaks down late Thu with a risk of showers and ⚡️. Cooler Friday. AQ looking OK the rest of the week but a bit hazy
Breezy outflow over Plumper Sound this morning (between S Pender and Saturna)
Away til tomorrow. Hazy sky and cirrus streaming overhead this AM #YVR with outflow at the sfc and high level moisture in a SSW flow aloft. That’s the weather for today-Wednesday and it’s on the warm side. Brisk NW wind beaches where you can cool off. Pattern cools off Thu w/inflow and instability
Upr trof N of #YVR this AM digs SE then E ovr the Srn Int. tdy. Bcmg mainly 🌞 tdy; breezy beach. Thermal trof cst+interior hi pressure combine to push wildfire smoke out to the cst tmrw AM, persisting til Thu. Smoke likely to reduce max T by a few C on what was going to be a hot wk on the cst
It’s kind of hard to make out but this evening, you can see some haze in the stratosphere that was injected to our level by fires in the interior yesterday afternoon #YVR. Little ripples aloft.
If the underlying meteorology is correct, we'll probably see pretty hazy conditions Monday, starting in the morning, as smoke from fires in central BC makes it to the S coast #YVR, carried in the outflow from the interior. Chart valid 0700 Monday. It gets worse from there.
Quick post before I go back to KFC. Upr low over VI tracks E tdy and weakens. Showers tdy risk ⚡alpine. Trailing upr trof moves thru SWBC Sun. Vrbl skies. Mainly sunny, warmer Mon -Thu as the SW US rdg expands to the NW. Fri we could be dealing w/another convective upr trof
Not much sky visible from our apartment, but still got a cool lightning shot! Thunder was a little quiet on this pass as the rain had intensified. #BCStorm #YVRWx @yvrwxwatcher.bsky.social @ensembleator.bsky.social
No time for #YVR weather today as serious fires develop/intensify on a very windy day in the southern and Central interior. One in the S Cariboo is generating lightning (Pyro Cumulonimbus).
Just a min to share latest imagery. Some lightning Garibaldi Park this AM but the main event is to the S over the WA Cascades, racing N. Showers, chc ⚡ltr this AM #YVR. Gusty winds in advance.
Vry busy KFC WX day. At home upr low off the OR cst pumps unstbl air int Srn BC. Tail of upr trof alg the OR cst phases with unstbl plume ovr central OR to lift some convection ovr the LM early Thu AM followed by busy ⚡in the surrounding alpine PM and perhaps more ⚡city Thu eve. Not much precip tho
Swamped in KFC today w/a busy period coming up. Remarkable figure 8 pivoting upr lows embedded in the upr trof ofshr w/# YVR under a dry SSW flow this eve. Upr lows coalesce to off the OR coast Wed eve and pump monsoonal moisture to the S into SWBC for a chc 🚿s and risk ⚡by Thu AM thru Fri AM
