4:24pm: Healthy storm un Columbiana County with heavy rain and a gusty wind. Pushing east toward Salem, Lisbon.
Eric Wilhelm
@ericwfmj.bsky.social
Chief Meteorologist, WFMJ-TV, Youngstown Ohio. The Ohio State University 🏌️ ⛈ 🍺 ♟
Classic summertime hit/miss stuff today. A few miles is often the difference between 1"+ of rain and very little. This is eastern Trumbull County.
Wednesday: the humidity is back today, and it'll be elevated for the next several days. Some parts of the area will have a shower or thunderstorm this afternoon into this evening.
Wednesday Day Planner: a warm and more humid one and some places will have a shower or thunderstorm in the afternoon and evening.
2 minutes, 8 seconds of daylight loss today. Solar Autumn is here...the 3 months of the year in which daylight is lost at the fastest rate.
Water temperatures typically peak over the next week. The upcoming weekend looks pretty good to find a lake or pool.
Columbiana County Fair: a beautiful Tuesday is on the way. Wednesday and Thursday will feature a fair amount of dry timer, but a shower or storm will be possible, mainly in the afternoon. More active Friday, but fewer raindrops for the weekend.
Now that we are into August, we should be easing out of our peak severe weather season. Climatologically, the chances for severe weather on August 3rd is 3-4% in our area; by month's end is around 1-2%.
Monday AM: What a nice start to the work week with lowering dewpoints and plenty of afternoon sun. The muggy air will return by Wednesday.
4:42pm: summer soakers getting ready to cross the state line and into Sharon, Sharpsville areas.
Sunday AM: A low-end severe weather risk will develop this afternoon, especially if we get some breaks in the cloud cover around midday....which would help to warm up/destabilize the atmosphere. A strong wind gust and tropical downpours could occur; tornado risk is non-zero.
Flood Watch for Columbiana, Mercer & Lawrence OH until midnight tonight. Flash flooding possible from heavy rain/TS. Excessive runoff may flood creeks, streams & low-lying areas. Avoid flooded roads.
Flood Watch for Trumbull & Mahoning until 12:00 AM Mon. Flash flooding possible from excessive rainfall (up to 2 in, locally higher). Watch for flooded roads/streams; avoid low-lying areas.
Saturday morning: a cloudier and muggier start; there might be a passing sprinkle or shower today. Higher rain chances tonight and Sunday; tropical downpours will be a possibility, especially Sunday afternoon/evening.
August Outlook: not many signals for an out-of-the-ordinary month for temperatures or precipitation. Much like July, the first half of the month is likely to be warmer vs. average than the 2nd half.
Day 2 of the Italian Fest will be a cloudier affair, but there should not be much more than a sprinkle or quick shower during the day. Rain chances will increase late Saturday evening.
Soggy Weekend Weather: Not much more than a sprinkle or quick shower Saturday, but some tropical soakers can be around at times Saturday night and Sunday. A regionwide average of an inch to 1.5 inches will be possible, and some localized flooding is a concern.
Rain compared to average since late April. Generally, the driest areas have been north of I-80.
Hourly rain chances for the upcoming weekend. Saturday will be fairly cloudy, but most of the rain will come Saturday night....a more showers and storms will be around on Sunday. Some tropical downpours will be possible.
El Nino continues to strengthen in the Pacific and this very warm tongue of water will have an impact on the jet stream over North America in the coming months. Odds will favor a milder winter for us, especially compared to the last 2 winters.
Summer So Far: almost 2/3 of the way through meteorological summer....temperatures are running about a degree above the average. It's been "less hot" than the last 2 summers, which was the expectation. The first half of August looks pretty warm.
A really hot start to July, but the relatively cool second half of the month has insured that the month will go into the record books as "unremarkable" in the temperature department.
July's full moon (the "Buck Moon") is tonight/tomorrow morning.
4:08pm: This complex of thunderstorms north of Lake Erie will continue dropping southward late this afternoon; this, in addition to new activity that should sprout up, will give us our first chance for showers and storms tonight....mainly between 7-10pm.
