GW1 Premier league predictions - huge thanks to our predictors for being part of this especially @jonnyc.bsky.social, who has found time for this as well as developing @Solioanalytics.com Our next plan is to find expert fans for each PL team. Please DM me if that's you. Good luck! #FPL
fplresearch
@fplresearch.bsky.social
23/24 Massive Data (xMins) #1 "No matter how sophisticated our choices, how good we are at dominating the odds, randomness will have the last word."
Analytics Elite 64 (+Qualifier) are running again this year. As usual, apply though the v short form docs.google.com/forms/d/e/1F...
Analytics Elite 64 Application Form
How it works: Submit this form, and the top 58 ranked managers based on FPL Research's rankings (the same ones used to determine the FPL Review Elite 1000) will go into the league. 6 spots have been ...
docs.google.com
A few upgrades to the sites linear optimisation tool in advance of GW29 - Sensitivity Analysis added! - Chip plans now solved at once, rather than sequentially - Solver setting interface updated - Live output + ability to exit solves early added - Results now downloadable as a .jpg Details below
Step 5 of 5 complete✅ The Chip Timing function now has the Assistant Manager chip integrated. This is the last of the 5 milestones, though there are still a few bits and pieces to tidy up I'd suggest considering risk preferences when timing chips, as there will be big swings based on activation
Will get the new chip added in stages over the next weeks, expect it will look something like this: 1- Projections for managers added to site (by start of next week) 2- Enable using chip & picking manager (by end the of next week) 3- Link into Linear Optimiser (over Christmas)
🏆 Manager Rankings, January 2025 🏆 🥇 @tomdollimorefpl.bsky.social 🥈 Fábio Borges 🥉 John Walsh 26. Erin Robinson (OR1) Check your own rating here: fplresearch.com/tool
fplresearch.com - The home of FPL manager ratings
fplresearch.com
Step 1 of 5 complete✅ Assistant manager projections are included on the site and will be influenced by custom fixture schedule % inputs These projections update hourly along with the rest of the data and will reflect the impact of results shortly after the game is finished
Will get the new chip added in stages over the next weeks, expect it will look something like this: 1- Projections for managers added to site (by start of next week) 2- Enable using chip & picking manager (by end the of next week) 3- Link into Linear Optimiser (over Christmas)
for those of you asking for a view of five-year moving-average team strength in the English men's top flight going back to 1889
Visualising the strength of the Premier League "Big Six" with a long-term moving average of their xG dominance: a (logged) ratio of their xG relative to their xGA. For the first time in the last 6 years Man City are not 1st by this measure, but in fact 3rd behind Arsenal (1st) & Liverpool (2nd).
16 Elite64 managers sold Bryan Mbeumo this week. 0 Analytics Elite 64 managers did. Divergence.
Some pretty clear preferences! Everyone loves Bryan
Visualising the strength of the Premier League "Big Six" with a long-term moving average of their xG dominance: a (logged) ratio of their xG relative to their xGA. For the first time in the last 6 years Man City are not 1st by this measure, but in fact 3rd behind Arsenal (1st) & Liverpool (2nd).
Salah and Haaland ownership% in Analytics Elite 64 and Elite64 minileagues Elite64 managers were less keen to start with Salah, but were quicker to pick him up for GW4/5, and much keener to double up with Haaland for that period. AE64 managers were quicker to drop Haaland for Salah in GW10.
🏆 Manager Rankings, December 2024 🏆 🥇 @tomdollimorefpl.bsky.social 🥈 Fábio Borges 🥉 John Walsh Going forward rankings will be updated on fplresearch.com after every GW. Check your own rating here: fplresearch.com/tool
fplresearch.com - The home of FPL manager ratings
fplresearch.com
Arsenal Predicted line up for this game week. Ordered by predictor skill. Thanks to all of our predicting team, @spacemanjonny & @JamesHancock97 for great work on the data preparation. I will share commentary to go with these predictions. Good luck this game week everyone! #FPL
FPL review elite 1000 starter pack is here! I believe I have either added, or contacted everyone who send me a message or replied to my post. Please drop me another message if I have missed you 🙏. I will continue to update the list go.bsky.app/FmXrjSC
Gonna leave it a couple of days to let the traffic calm down but will be making the AE64/Q MD table again this season. As a reminder, if you are on this list: docs.google.com/spreadsheets... And don't have the qualifier league code/Discord link then DM me please
Analytics Leagues 24-25
docs.google.com
The Season Review tool is back up and running for 24/25! A few background changes on the way to make it a bit easier to run & maintain, this will mean xG rank updates daily overnight- rather than after the final match as per last season fplreview.com/season-review