Future Timeline

@futuretimeline.bsky.social

Future predictions, trends and forecasts – from the near future, to the far future and beyond. The official Bluesky page for http://FutureTimeline.net

My column on how capital becomes a death cult. Faced with a choice between profit and human life, the radical right chooses profit. Then it tries to persuade us that mass death is what we want. It's the new phase of climate denial: accept your fate, earthlings. www.theguardian.com/commentisfre...

Murderous heat, an endangered food supply, decimated landscapes: embrace the Mediterranean life | George Monbiot

As climate disaster stares us in the face, the radical right says ‘Embrace the Mediterranean life’. Embrace death, more like it, says Guardian columnist George Monbiot

theguardian.com

Concerns are growing that new wildfires could start in Greece, Italy and Central Europe over the coming days, while short-term outlook remains "very difficult" for France. If current fires in Portugal and Spain don't burn out by then, "we will have all Europe on fire". news.sky.com/story/france...

Europe wildfires latest: Continent could be on fire in days, warns EU agency

It's particularly warm today, and that risks spreading wildfires on the continent. The head of the EU's Emergency Response Coordination Centre has warned "all Europe" could be on fire in days if flame...

news.sky.com

OpenAI has revealed a cyber-attack carried out by rogue ChatGPT agents went further than just one company. Hugging Face was thought to be the only victim of the unprecedented hack - but OpenAI now admits its bot attacked several "public services". www.bbc.co.uk/news/article... #OpenAI #ChatGPT

OpenAI says its rogue AI tried to hack other companies

The out-of-control AI found four logins which allowed it to access multiple unnamed online services.

bbc.co.uk

The Jodrell Bank Observatory, which has housed the UK's largest telescope for nearly 70 years, has lost its funding and could now close All scientific observations are expected to cease on 1 April 2028 unless alternative funding can be found www.bbc.co.uk/news/article... #astronomy #JodrellBank

Jodrell Bank's Lovell telescope faces axe in science cuts, BBC understands

Astronomers warn it would tear the heart out of UK science, and leave a generation untrained.

bbc.co.uk

"Claude Opus 5 is available today. It comes close to the frontier intelligence of Claude Fable 5 at half the price. On coding and knowledge work evaluations, Opus 5 is the new state-of-the-art, though it remains behind Mythos 5 on cybersecurity tasks." www.anthropic.com/news/claude-... #Opus5

Introducing Claude Opus 5

Opus 5 is a step change improvement for the Opus tier powering long-running agents while delivering improvements in coding and professional work.

anthropic.com

“‘It’s a mix of the race being extremely fast and everyone trying to get to bigger capabilities as quickly as possible,’ said one person close to #OpenAI, who added that it was a combination of ‘underestimating the model’s capabilities’ and ‘not being as well prepared on the safety side.’” #GenAI

Ars Technica@arstechnica.com · 2w ago

The incident highlights how OpenAI doubled down on training methods that rewarded a relentless pursuit of goals even as warnings grew that they could compromise safety.

Global population growth peaked six decades ago— The increase in the world’s population is not exponential. The global population is growing, but the growth rate has declined since its peak six decades ago.

Line chart of annual global population growth rate (percentage) where growth peaked at 2.3% in 1963, fell to less than 1% by 2020, and UN projections show rates declining toward zero and becoming negative by 2100, implying a shrinking global population. Source: UN, World Population Prospects (2024). License: CC BY.

Thanks to the rapidly developing major El Niño event, global surface air and sea surface temperatures are approaching new record values. Typically it is the year following the event that yields new global temperature record, but it's possible we could see this year.

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Michael E. Mann@michaelemann.bsky.social · 2w ago

Latest "plume" of El Niño forecasts, via @climate.columbia.edu. Consensus dynamical forecast is now an HISTORICALLY STRONG max Nino3.4 ~3.0C (statistical forecasts are pointing toward still very strong ~2.5C). There is still a wide range of estimates, with some models reaching astonishing ~4.7C.