New paper: "Replication Certification at Publication: Checkable by Anyone, Anywhere, in Seconds, Forever" GaryKing.org/certify. with @xuyiqing & @YangYang_Leo. Comments welcome!
Replication Certification at Publication: Checkable by Anyone, Anywhere, in Seconds, Forever | Gary King
Authors increasingly deposit replication datasets—the data and code behind publications—in archives, and journals increasingly require them to, under progressively onerous rules. But a deposit alone p...
garyking.org
New 2026 US House & Senate election forecasts, using available political science knowledge & our methods from “If a Statistical Model Predicts That Common Events Should Occur Only Once in 10,000 Elections, Maybe It’s the Wrong Model” with @DannyCEbanks and @Jonathan_N_Katz. GaryKing.org/electit
ElectIt: forecasts for all US House and Senate seats in the 11/3/2026 election
By Danny Ebanks, Jonathan N. Katz, and Gary King. We make these forecasts (including all data, methods, and procedures) public because academics learn by making themselves vulnerable to being proven w...
garyking.org
New paper: "Who's to Blame for Survey Instability: Respondents with Nonexistent Preferences or Researchers with Flawed Measures?" with @LibbyJenke. Comments welcome! GaryKing.org/instability
New software: "Projoint: The One Stop Conjoint Stop" (with @aaronrkaufman & @YusakuHoriuchi), makes conjoint surveys easier & less biased, with everything from a drag-and-drop web survey design tool to specialized statistical analysis software. Suggestions welcome. yhoriuchi.github.io/projoint/
Conjoint Analysis with Reliability Correction and Visualization
Provides tools for analyzing data generated from conjoint survey experiments, a method widely used in the social sciences for studying multidimensional preferences. The package implements estimation o...
yhoriuchi.github.io
My talk on measurement error in conjoint survey analysis at UCF. youtu.be/yVuiAh59Hew using slides (download and view in Adobe Reader or Skim): gking.harvard.edu/presentation...
Correcting Measurement Error Bias in Conjoint Survey Experiments (University of Central Florida)
YouTube video by Gary King
youtu.be
Teaching or taking stats? Here's a new paper & app for you: "Statistical Intuition Without Coding (or Teachers)" with @NatLou21, @ZagrebMukerjee, & Dominic Skinnion. See gking.harvard.edu/2k1
New paper: "How American Politics Ensures Electoral Accountability in Congress" with @DannyCEbanks and @Jonathan_N_Katz. We'd appreciate an email with any comments you might have. See gking.harvard.edu/acc
