Guy Yeomans

@guyyeomans.bsky.social

Professional: Foresight & Horizon Scanning | Research: Resilience (CNI / Societal) & Comprehensive Security, Total Defence, National Preparedness | Emerging Risks & CM / EM | Military mobility | High North, GIUK-NGap & Arctic Futures | Personal: #OnXII

I am obliged to sound the #GIUK-NGap klaxon... In the linked thread @vesselspotter.eurosky.social is doing a great job tracking some ongoing RU #shadowfleet constabulary activity around the #FaroeIslands... #highnorth

@vesselspotter.eurosky.social · 4w ago

Saturday in North Atlantic #NorthAtlantic off #FO #FaroeIslands False-flagged heavylifters #BrightOcean / #GloryOcean dest #Russia ? 2 #RDN offshore patrolships S and SE of Faroe Islands Numerous #Shadowfleet tankers transiting

I am obliged to sound the #GIUK-NGap klaxon... "Denmark has a special responsibility for safeguarding security & defence in the Arctic & the North Atlantic". P-8A Poseidon acquisition, including cooperation with NATO allies & possibility of 'joint unit'... #highnorth www.fmn.dk/da/nyheder/2...

Danmark anskaffer nye maritime patruljefly

Der blev med Delaftale 2 om Arktis og Nordatlanten under forsvarsforliget 2024-2033 besluttet, at der skal opbygges en maritim patruljeflyskapacitet i samarbejde med en NATO-allieret til at styrke til...

fmn.dk

I am obliged to sound the #GIUK-NGap klaxon... "The announcement also tied the Common Combat Vessel directly to three new Atlantic operations... a set of programs designed to counter Russian military & intelligence activity in the North Atlantic & #highnorth". A "strategic posture statement"...

The Defence Blog@defence-blog.com · last mo.

The Royal Navy is scrapping plans for a traditional destroyer and building hybrid warships that command drone fleets instead. Read more: defence-blog.com/royal-navy-a...

UK: "We too need a strategy for society-wide resilience if the threats to our security worsen". While this useful states, explicitly, the need for enhanced national civilian preparedness, asserting its conditionality in this way is problematic, & the RAP isn't mentioned... #nationalresilience

PoliticsHome@politicshome.bsky.social · last mo.

Defence investment matters - but so does our strategy ✍️ Laura Kyrke Smith www.politicshome.com/opinion/arti...

I am obliged to sound the #GIUK-NGap klaxon...: strategic adjacency & prospective Norwegian Sea interdiction... #highnorth #thoiranaire

Christophe Kopp@chkopp.bsky.social · last mo.

"Currently, no one controls the #Bear #Gap. But Russian activities in the area have become more assertive over the past few years. #Russia’s strategy to establish control over this stretch of water seems to depend, fundamentally, on destabilising #Norway." theconversation.com/russias-push...

"In a full-scale peer conflict of this type, most currently serving officers would probably be casualties within 9–12 months. The people who would ultimately win the war are those mobilised from civilian life to replace them". High-intensity warfare sustainment. It won't just be about munitions...

Navy Lookout@navylookout.bsky.social · 2mo ago

Latest analysis article: Royal Navy officers warn NATO navies are struggling to absorb Ukraine’s maritime lessons www.navylookout.com/royal-navy-o...

I am obliged to sound the #GIUK-NGap klaxon...: "reflecting how thoroughly the P-8A has become NATO & allied aviation’s default maritime patrol aircraft...". Contract to 2031 & a reminder training infrastructure is essential for maintaining this capability for #highnorth ISR/ASW/ASUW... #thoiranaire

The Defence Blog@defence-blog.com · 2mo ago

The U.S. Navy handed Boeing up to $880M to keep the crews of its submarine-hunting jets combat-ready. The P-8A Poseidon flies for nine allied nations, and all of them rely on the same Boeing training system. defence-blog.com/boeing-wins-...

UK: In all the recent controversy regarding the SDR/DIP this element - #nationalresilience - has, IMHO, been consistently under-privileged even though there is a 'golden thread' from the SDR to Gov Resilience Action Plan & the LGD-CNI sectoral resilience strategies now being developed...

Russ Jones@russincheshire.bsky.social · 2mo ago

Al Carns won't be next PM, but what he argues resonates with me. 2026 defence is about resilience, not guns. That makes it a means of national renewal - infrastructure, services, food, energy, housing. It's a holistic approach that makes us less vulnerable, and improves lives. I'm on board.

UK: Will the delayed 10-year Defence Investment Plan (DIP) be fully released this Thursday? Or just a 'headline' announcement? Does Gov then need to re-run its UK defence supply chains wargame to understand the DIP's implications? #supplychainresilience #warpreparedness www.gov.uk/government/n...

UK tests defence supply chains under war conditions in major exercise

Major wargame exercise brings together leading defence companies to test supply chain resilience under wartime pressure.

gov.uk

UK: #foodresilience. What's interesting is the industry trade body explicitly calling for government to recognise it as Critical National Infrastructure (CNI) & for it's systemic risk potential to be included in the National Risk Register... #coldchainresilience www.theguardian.com/business/202...

‘Immediate national priority’: ministers accused of complacency over UK food supply

Cold storage and logistics body warns food supplies at risk from fuel shortages, cyber attacks and extreme weather

theguardian.com

Comments from @alanderminna.bsky.social on the #resilienceparadox & the challenges of the 'permissive environment' this may be facilitating... (recommend listening to the whole podcast, but from 21:30) #nationalresilience

Minna Ålander 🌻@alanderminna.bsky.social · 2mo ago

This week, it was @kaeggen.bsky.social and my time to shine on the Mildly Alarmed episode on hybrid warfare ! While @lapatina.bsky.social had some well-deserved time off, @frhoffmann.bsky.social was a very strict moderator and managed to stop Karen-Anna from presenting her whole PhD on the topic 😌